** WTJP21 RJTD 111800 *** WARNING 111800. WARNING VALID 121800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0601 CHANCHU (0601) 980 HPA AT 12.4N 124.5E PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 121800UTC AT 14.2N 119.2E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 131800UTC AT 15.4N 115.1E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 141800UTC AT 16.1N 113.4E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 111800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0601 CHANCHU (0601) ANALYSIS PSTN 111800UTC 12.4N 124.5E FAIR MOVE WNW 13KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT 50KT 60NM 30KT 200NM FORECAST 24HF 121800UTC 14.2N 119.2E 80NM 70% MOVE W 13KT PRES 970HPA MXWD 065KT 48HF 131800UTC 15.4N 115.1E 150NM 70% MOVE W 10KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT 72HF 141800UTC 16.1N 113.4E 220NM 70% MOVE WNW SLOWLY PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 111800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS CHANCHU 0601 (0601) INITIAL TIME 111800 UTC 00HR 12.4N 124.8E 975HPA 30M/S 30KTS 300KM 50KTS 100KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H P+24HR 14.2N 120.6E 970HPA 35M/S P+48HR 15.6N 116.8E 970HPA 35M/S P+72HR 16.0N 114.2E 960HPA 40M/S= ** WTPQ20 VHHH 111945 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 111800 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CHANCHU (0603) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE TWO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (12.3 N) ONE TWO FOUR POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (124.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 13 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 200 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121800 UTC ONE FOUR POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (14.8 N) ONE TWO ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (120.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131800 UTC ONE FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (15.1 N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (117.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 141800 UTC ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (116.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. ** WTPN31 PGTW 112100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (CHANCHU) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z --- NEAR 12.4N 124.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 12.4N 124.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z --- 13.1N 122.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z --- 13.8N 120.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z --- 14.5N 119.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z --- 15.1N 117.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z --- 15.9N 116.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z --- 17.2N 115.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z --- 18.7N 115.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT --- REMARKS: 112100Z POSITION NEAR 12.6N 124.1E. TYPHOON (TY) 02W (CHANCHU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z, 120900Z, 121500Z AND 122100Z.// ** WTPH RPLL 111800 *** TTT STORM WARNING 12 AT 1800 11MAY SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CHANCHU 0601 WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE TWO POINT THREE NORTH ONE TWO FOUR POINT THREE EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO SIX METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTERS ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE EIGHT FOUR HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS TWO EIGHT METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER TWO FIVE METERS PER SECONDS WITHIN ONE ZERO ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 121800 ONE FOUR POINT FIVE NORTH ONE ONE NINE POINT SIX EAST AT 131800 ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO NORTH ONE ONE FIVE POINT TWO EAST AND AT 141800 TWO ZERO POINT SEVEN NORTH ONE ONE ONE POINT SEVEN EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM ARE ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD ** WTPQ20 RJTD 112100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0601 CHANCHU (0601) ANALYSIS PSTN 112100UTC 12.5N 124.0E FAIR MOVE WNW 11KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT 50KT 60NM 30KT 200NM FORECAST 24HF 122100UTC 14.3N 119.0E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 11KT PRES 970HPA MXWD 065KT 45HF 131800UTC 15.4N 115.1E 150NM 70% MOVE W 10KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT 69HF 141800UTC 16.1N 113.4E 220NM 70% MOVE WNW SLOWLY PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT = ** WTJP31 RJTD 112100 *** WARNING 112100. WARNING VALID 122100. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0601 CHANCHU (0601) 980 HPA AT 12.5N 124.0E PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 122100UTC AT 14.3N 119.0E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPH20 RPMM 111800 *** TTT STORM WARNING 12 AT 1800 11 MAY SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (CHANCHU) (0601) WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE TWO POINT THREE MORTH ONE TWO FOUR POINT THREE EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO SIX METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE EIGHT FOUR HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS TWO EIGHT METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER TWO FIVE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN ONE ZERO ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 121800 ONE FOUR POINT FIVE NORTH ONE ONE NINE POINT SIX EAST AT 131800 ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO NORTH ONE ONE FIVE POINT TWO EAST AND AT 141800 TWO ZERO POINT SEVEN NORTH ONE ONE ONE POINT SEVEN EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA= ** WTPQ20 VHHH 112245 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 112100 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CHANCHU (0603) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE TWO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (12.6 N) ONE TWO FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (124.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 13 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 122100 UTC ONE FOUR POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (14.5 N) ONE ONE NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (119.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 132100 UTC ONE FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (15.2 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (115.7 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 142100 UTC ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (114.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.