** WTSR20 WSSS 090600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTJP21 RJTD 091200 *** WARNING 091200. WARNING VALID 101200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0601 CHANCHU (0601) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 08.3N 132.0E SEA EAST OF MINDANAO MOVING WEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 09.0N 129.3E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 111200UTC AT 10.3N 126.6E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 12.1N 123.9E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 091200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0601 CHANCHU (0601) UPGRADED FROM TD ANALYSIS PSTN 091200UTC 08.3N 132.0E POOR MOVE W 06KT PRES 1000HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 120NM FORECAST 24HF 101200UTC 09.0N 129.3E 80NM 70% MOVE W 06KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 045KT 48HF 111200UTC 10.3N 126.6E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 07KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT 72HF 121200UTC 12.1N 123.9E 220NM 70% MOVE WNW 08KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT = ** WTKO20 RKSL 091200 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 1 NAME TS 0601 CHANCHU ANALYSIS POSITION 091200UTC 8.3N 132.2E MOVEMENT W 6KT PRES/VMAX 1000HPA 35KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 101200UTC 8.9N 130.3E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 994HPA 39KT 48HR POSITION 111200UTC 9.9N 127.6E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 985HPA 49KT 72HR POSITION 121200UTC 12.3N 124.1E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 985HPA 49KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 091200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS CHANCHU 0601 (0601) INITIAL TIME 091200 UTC 00HR 8.3N 132.1E 998HPA 18M/S 30KTS 80KM P12HR WNW 10KM/H P+24HR 9.1N 129.1E 995HPA 20M/S P+48HR 10.1N 126.5E 985HPA 25M/S P+72HR 11.0N 124.0E 985HPA 25M/S= ** WTPN31 PGTW 091500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (CHANCHU) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z --- NEAR 8.4N 131.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 8.4N 131.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z --- 8.9N 130.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z --- 9.5N 129.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z --- 10.3N 127.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z --- 11.2N 126.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z --- 12.3N 124.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z --- 13.4N 122.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z --- 14.6N 119.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT --- REMARKS: 091500Z POSITION NEAR 8.5N 131.6E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W (CHANCHU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 595 NM EAST OF ZAMBOANGA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z, 100300Z, 100900Z AND 101500Z.// ** WTPQ31 PGUM 091540 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CHANCHU (02W) ADVISORY NUMBER 4 200 AM GUAM LST WED MAY 10 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM CHANCHU MOVING AWAY FROM PALAU... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHANCHU WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 131.6 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 210 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF KOROR AND 215 MILES WEST OF KAYANGEL. TROPICAL STORM CHANCHU IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 MPH. CHANCHU IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...8.5 DEGREES NORTH AND 131.6 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 MPH. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 AM GUAM LST. $$ MIDDLEBROOKE ** WTPQ20 RJTD 091500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0601 CHANCHU (0601) ANALYSIS PSTN 091500UTC 08.4N 131.8E POOR MOVE WNW 06KT PRES 1000HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 120NM FORECAST 24HF 101500UTC 09.4N 129.2E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 06KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 045KT 45HF 111200UTC 10.3N 126.6E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 07KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT 69HF 121200UTC 12.1N 123.9E 220NM 70% MOVE WNW 08KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT = ** WTPH20 RPMM 091200 *** T T T GALE WARNING 03 AT 1200 09 MAY TROPICAL STORM (CHANCHU)(0601)UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT EIGHT POINT FOUR NORTH ONE THREE TWO POINT ONE EST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ZERO THREE METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN TWO ZERO ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE NINE SEVEN HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS ONE EIGHT METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN TWO ZERO ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 101200 EIGHT POINT NINE NORTH ONE TWO NINE POINT SEVEN EAST AT 111200 NINE POINT NINE NORTH ONE TWO SEVEN POINT SIX EAST AND AT 121200 ONE ONE POINT SIX NORTH ONE TWO FIVE POINT EIGHT EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEDND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA=