** WTPN31 PGTW 082100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/081051ZMAY06// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z --- NEAR 8.6N 135.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.6N 135.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 8.5N 133.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z --- 9.1N 132.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z --- 10.1N 131.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z --- 11.2N 129.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z --- 13.3N 127.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 082100Z POSITION NEAR 8.6N 134.9E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 02W LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 85 NM NORTH- NORTHEAST OF KOROR, PALAU HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND A 080929Z QUIKSCAT IMAGE INDICATE INCREASED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A MORE ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TD 02W WILL TRACK WEST IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT BEFORE HEADING NORTHWESTWARD. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 081051ZMAY06 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 081100) MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z, 090900Z, 091500Z AND 092100Z.// ** WTPQ31 PGUM 082137 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W ADVISORY NUMBER 1 800 AM GUAM LST TUE MAY 9 2006 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W DEVELOPS NEAR PALAU... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 134.9 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 95 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF KOROR AND 35 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF KAYANGEL. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W IS MOVING WEST AT 7 MPH. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W IS EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...8.6 DEGREES NORTH AND 134.9 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 7 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM GUAM LST. $$ MIDDLEBROOKE