** WTSR20 WSSS 260600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTIN01 DEMS 261200 *** SHIPPING BULLETIN FOR MET. AREA VIII NORTH OF EQUATOR VALID FOR 12 HRS. FROM 1200 UTC OF 26 APRIL 2006. DATE 26/4/2006 PART-I THE CLOCONIC STORM (MALA) OVER SOUTH EAST BAY MOVED IN A NORTHERLY DIRECTION AND NOW LIES CENTRED AT 14.30 HRS IST OF 26TH WITHIN HALF A DEG.OF LAT.11.0 DEG.NORTH/LONG 89.5 DEG.EAST ABOUT 350 KMS WESTSOUTHWEST OF PORT BLAIR. IT IS LIKELY TO INTENSIFY FUTHER AND MOVE SLOWLY IN A NORTHEASTERLY DIRECION. NOTE : NEXT SPECIAL BULLETIN WILL ORIGINATE AT 0100 UTC ON DATED 27TH IN ADDITION TO ROUTINE TWO DAILY BULLETINS ISSUED BY INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT ** WTIO31 PGTW 261500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B (MALA) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z --- NEAR 11.9N 90.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.9N 90.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z --- 12.8N 90.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z --- 13.9N 91.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z --- 14.8N 91.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z --- 15.8N 92.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 261500Z POSITION NEAR 12.1N 90.8E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02B (MALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 430 NM SOUTHWEST OF YANGON, MYANMAR, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. RECENT MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER, WHILE UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES TC 02B REMAINS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE TRACK OF TC 23B HAS BEEN HIGHLY ERRATIC OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS DUE TO A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT. A BUILDING LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE OVER SOUTHEAST ASIA WILL BECOME THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE CAUSING TC 02B TO TAKE A NORTHERLY TRACK. A CONTINUED ENVIRONMENT OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WIL LIMIT CLIMATOLOGICAL INTENSI- FICATION THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z AND 270900Z.//