** WTAU03 ADRM 251932 *** IDD20130 AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY NORTHERN TERRITORY DARWIN REGIONAL FORECASTING CENTRE 40:2:1:24:13S130E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN ISSUED AT 1930 UTC 25 APRIL 2006 PLEASE BE AWARE WIND GUSTS CAN BE A FURTHER 40 PERCENT STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE, AND MAXIMUM WAVES MAY BE UP TO TWICE THE HEIGHT. GALE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA SITUATION AT 1800 UTC TROPICAL LOW [EX-TROPICAL CYCLONE MONICA] 995 HPA CENTRED WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES OF 12.7 S 130.2 E MOVING SOUTHSOUTHWEST AT 5 KNOTS. THE LOW MAY REDEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 40 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE CENTRE. FORECAST CLOCKWISE WINDS 20/30 KNOTS MAY INCREASE TO 30/40 KNOTS WITHIN 12-24 HOURS IF THE LOW TAKES A MORE SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK THAN EXPECTED. ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS AND RISING SWELL. 0600 UTC 26 APR: CENTRE WITHIN 45 NAUTICAL MILES OF 13.4 S 129.9 E. 1800 UTC 26 APR: CENTRE WITHIN 80 NAUTICAL MILES OF 14.1 S 129.7 E. REMARKS SHIPS IN THE GENERAL AREA PLEASE TRANSMIT 3-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS. DARWIN TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE ** WTAU03 ADRM 251932 *** IDD20130 AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY NORTHERN TERRITORY DARWIN REGIONAL FORECASTING CENTRE 40:2:1:24:13S130E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN ISSUED AT 1930 UTC 25 APRIL 2006 PLEASE BE AWARE WIND GUSTS CAN BE A FURTHER 40 PERCENT STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE, AND MAXIMUM WAVES MAY BE UP TO TWICE THE HEIGHT. GALE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA SITUATION AT 1800 UTC TROPICAL LOW [EX-TROPICAL CYCLONE MONICA] 995 HPA CENTRED WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES OF 12.7 S 130.2 E MOVING SOUTHSOUTHWEST AT 5 KNOTS. THE LOW MAY REDEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 40 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE CENTRE. FORECAST CLOCKWISE WINDS 20/30 KNOTS MAY INCREASE TO 30/40 KNOTS WITHIN 12-24 HOURS IF THE LOW TAKES A MORE SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK THAN EXPECTED. ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS AND RISING SWELL. 0600 UTC 26 APR: CENTRE WITHIN 45 NAUTICAL MILES OF 13.4 S 129.9 E. 1800 UTC 26 APR: CENTRE WITHIN 80 NAUTICAL MILES OF 14.1 S 129.7 E. REMARKS SHIPS IN THE GENERAL AREA PLEASE TRANSMIT 3-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS. DARWIN TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE ** WTIO31 PGTW 252100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z --- NEAR 10.5N 89.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N 89.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z --- 10.9N 89.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z --- 11.3N 89.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z --- 11.8N 88.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z --- 12.4N 88.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 252100Z POSITION NEAR 10.6N 89.6E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 540 NM SOUTHWEST OF YANGON, MYANMAR, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED AND UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATE 02B REMAINS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS LIMITING DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEAR PERIOD. AS 23P (MONICA) TRACKS SLOWLY NORTHWARD IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT, SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION WILL OCCUR DUE TO PROXIMITY TO MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z AND 262100Z.//