** WTIN20 DEMS 250635 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS -RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 25-04-2006(.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) SUBJECT:DEPRESSION OVER BAY OF BENGAL A DEPRESSION HAS FORMED OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL TODAY MORNING AND LAY CENTRED AT 0300 UTC OF 25TH APRIL 2006 NEAR LAT. 9.5 DEG N AND LONG. 90.5 DEG E,ABOUT 350 KM SOUTHWEST OF PORT BLAIR AND 1200 KM SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI(.)THE SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO INTENSIFY FURTHER AND MOVE INITIALLY IN A NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION(.) BROKEN INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS SYSTEM(.) ** WTAU03 ADRM 250730 *** IDD20130 AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY NORTHERN TERRITORY DARWIN REGIONAL FORECASTING CENTRE 40:2:1:24:12S131E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN ISSUED AT 0700 UTC 25 APRIL 2006 PLEASE BE AWARE WIND GUSTS CAN BE A FURTHER 40 PERCENT STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE, AND MAXIMUM WAVES MAY BE UP TO TWICE THE HEIGHT. GALE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA SITUATION AT 0600 UTC TROPICAL LOW 998 HPA CENTRED WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES OF 12.3 S 130.7 E MOVING WESTNORTHWEST AT 7 KNOTS. THE LOW MAY DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE CENTRE FORECAST CLOCKWISE WINDS 20/25 KNOTS EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 30/40 KNOTS WITHIN 12-24 HOURS. ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS AND RISING SWELL. 1800 UTC 25 APR: CENTRE WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF 12.5 S 129.3 E. 994 HPA. WINDS TO 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE. 0600 UTC 26 APR: CENTRE WITHIN 85 NAUTICAL MILES OF 13.2 S 128.3 E. 988 HPA. WINDS TO 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE. REMARKS SHIPS IN THE GENERAL AREA PLEASE TRANSMIT 3-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS. DARWIN TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE ** WTAU03 ADRM 250730 *** IDD20130 AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY NORTHERN TERRITORY DARWIN REGIONAL FORECASTING CENTRE 40:2:1:24:12S131E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN ISSUED AT 0700 UTC 25 APRIL 2006 PLEASE BE AWARE WIND GUSTS CAN BE A FURTHER 40 PERCENT STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE, AND MAXIMUM WAVES MAY BE UP TO TWICE THE HEIGHT. GALE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA SITUATION AT 0600 UTC TROPICAL LOW 998 HPA CENTRED WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES OF 12.3 S 130.7 E MOVING WESTNORTHWEST AT 7 KNOTS. THE LOW MAY DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE CENTRE FORECAST CLOCKWISE WINDS 20/25 KNOTS EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 30/40 KNOTS WITHIN 12-24 HOURS. ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS AND RISING SWELL. 1800 UTC 25 APR: CENTRE WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF 12.5 S 129.3 E. 994 HPA. WINDS TO 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE. 0600 UTC 26 APR: CENTRE WITHIN 85 NAUTICAL MILES OF 13.2 S 128.3 E. 988 HPA. WINDS TO 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE. REMARKS SHIPS IN THE GENERAL AREA PLEASE TRANSMIT 3-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS. DARWIN TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE ** WTIO31 PGTW 250900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z --- NEAR 10.0N 89.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N 89.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z --- 10.9N 89.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z --- 11.7N 88.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z --- 12.5N 88.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z --- 13.3N 87.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 250900Z POSITION NEAR 10.2N 89.5E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 560 NM SOUTHWEST OF YANGON, MYANMAR, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND A 250234Z SSMI MICROWAVE IMAGE INDICATE INCREASED CONVECTION ON THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM. A BUILDING LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE OVER SOUTHEAST ASIA WILL SHIFT THE TRACK OF TC 02B NORTHWEST- WARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND THE SYSTEM WILL INTENSIFY AT A NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE WITH FAVORABLE POLEWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z AND 260900Z.//