** WTSR20 WSSS 230600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTAU03 ADRM 231308 *** IDD20130 AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY NORTHERN TERRITORY DARWIN REGIONAL FORECASTING CENTRE 40:2:2:24:11S137E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN ISSUED AT 1330 UTC 23 APRIL 2006 PLEASE BE AWARE WIND GUSTS CAN BE A FURTHER 40 PERCENT STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE, AND MAXIMUM WAVES MAY BE UP TO TWICE THE HEIGHT. HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA SITUATION AT 1200 UTC SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE MONICA ESTIMATED WITHIN 15 NAUTICAL MILES OF 11.3 S 136.7 E MOVING WEST AT 6 KNOTS. CENTRAL PRESSURE 905 HPA. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE CENTRE. FORECAST SUSTAINED WINDS TO 135 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE. WINDS ABOVE 64 KNOTS WITHIN 25 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE WITH VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS. WINDS ABOVE 48 KNOTS WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE WITH VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS AND MODERATE TO HEAVY SWELL. WINDS ABOVE 34 KNOTS WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE WITH ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS AND MODERATE SWELL. 0000 UTC 24 APR: CENTRE WITHIN 40 NAUTICAL MILES OF 11.3 S 134.9 E. 915 HPA. WINDS TO 125 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE. 1200 UTC 24 APR: CENTRE WITHIN 75 NAUTICAL MILES OF 11.7 S 133.2 E. 915 HPA. WINDS TO 125 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE. REMARKS SHIPS IN THE GENERAL AREA PLEASE TRANSMIT 3-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS. DARWIN TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE ** WTAU03 ADRM 231308 *** IDD20130 AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY NORTHERN TERRITORY DARWIN REGIONAL FORECASTING CENTRE 40:2:2:24:11S137E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN ISSUED AT 1330 UTC 23 APRIL 2006 PLEASE BE AWARE WIND GUSTS CAN BE A FURTHER 40 PERCENT STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE, AND MAXIMUM WAVES MAY BE UP TO TWICE THE HEIGHT. HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA SITUATION AT 1200 UTC SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE MONICA ESTIMATED WITHIN 15 NAUTICAL MILES OF 11.3 S 136.7 E MOVING WEST AT 6 KNOTS. CENTRAL PRESSURE 905 HPA. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE CENTRE. FORECAST SUSTAINED WINDS TO 135 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE. WINDS ABOVE 64 KNOTS WITHIN 25 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE WITH VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS. WINDS ABOVE 48 KNOTS WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE WITH VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS AND MODERATE TO HEAVY SWELL. WINDS ABOVE 34 KNOTS WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE WITH ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS AND MODERATE SWELL. 0000 UTC 24 APR: CENTRE WITHIN 40 NAUTICAL MILES OF 11.3 S 134.9 E. 915 HPA. WINDS TO 125 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE. 1200 UTC 24 APR: CENTRE WITHIN 75 NAUTICAL MILES OF 11.7 S 133.2 E. 915 HPA. WINDS TO 125 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE. REMARKS SHIPS IN THE GENERAL AREA PLEASE TRANSMIT 3-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS. DARWIN TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE ** WTPS31 PGTW 231500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (MONICA) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z --- NEAR 11.3S 136.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.3S 136.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 11.3S 135.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z --- 11.6S 133.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z --- 12.3S 132.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z --- 13.1S 130.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 231500Z POSITION NEAR 11.3S 136.4E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23P (MONICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 360 NM EAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM HAS SLIGHTLY INTENSIFIED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS DUE TO FAVORABLE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TC 23P WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD THROUGH TAU 24, DECREASING AS IT MAKES LANDFALL. LAND EFFECTS WILL THEN BEGIN TO BRING DOWN THE INTENSITY FROM TAU 36 THROUGH TAU 48. THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN IN THE LATER TAUS AS A MAJOR SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES OVER WESTERN AUST- RALIA CAUSING THE SYSTEM TO BEGIN A MORE POLEWARD TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z AND 241500Z.//