** WTSR20 WSSS 220600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTSR20 WSSS 220600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTAU03 ADRM 221337 *** IDD20130 AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY NORTHERN TERRITORY DARWIN REGIONAL FORECASTING CENTRE 40:2:2:24:12S139E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN ISSUED AT 1330 UTC 22 APRIL 2006 PLEASE BE AWARE WIND GUSTS CAN BE A FURTHER 40 PERCENT STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE, AND MAXIMUM WAVES MAY BE UP TO TWICE THE HEIGHT. HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA SITUATION AT 1200 UTC SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE MONICA ESTIMATED WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES OF 12.1 S 138.7 E MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 KNOTS. CENTRAL PRESSURE 925 HPA. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 80 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING TO 120 NAUTICAL MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE FORECAST SUSTAINED WINDS TO 125 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE. WINDS ABOVE 64 KNOTS WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE WITH VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS. WINDS ABOVE 48 KNOTS WITHIN 50 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE WITH VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS AND MODERATE TO HEAVY SWELL. WINDS ABOVE 34 KNOTS WITHIN 80 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE, EXTENDING TO 120 NAUTICAL MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, WITH ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS AND MODERATE SWELL. 0000 UTC 23 APR: CENTRE WITHIN 45 NAUTICAL MILES OF 11.7 S 137.6 E. 925 HPA. WINDS TO 125 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE. 1200 UTC 23 APR: CENTRE WITHIN 80 NAUTICAL MILES OF 11.5 S 136.1 E. 925 HPA. WINDS TO 125 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE. REMARKS SHIPS IN THE GENERAL AREA PLEASE TRANSMIT 3-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS. DARWIN TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE ** WTPS31 PGTW 221500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (MONICA) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z --- NEAR 12.1S 138.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.1S 138.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 11.7S 137.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 11.4S 136.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 11.4S 135.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z --- 11.7S 133.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 221500Z POSITION NEAR 12.0S 138.4E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23P (MONICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 460 NM EAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM HAS GRADUALLY INCREASED FORWARD SPEED AND REMAINS ON A GENERAL NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. BY THE 24 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD, A DEEPENING TROUGH WILL MOVE OVER SOUTHERN AUSTRALIA, WEAKENING THE STEERING RIDGE, ALLOWING THE SYSTEM TO BEGIN A MORE WESTWARD TRACK. THE DEVELOPING RIDGE TO THE SOUTHWEST IS BEGINNING TO IMPINGE ON THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW, BUT INTENSITY WILL BE MAINTAINED THROUGHOUT THE FIRST 12 HOURS OF THE FORECAST. INTENSITY WILL DE- CREASE BEYOND THE 12 HOUR PERIOD AS TC 23P BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH THE COAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 37 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z AND 231500Z.//