** WTSR20 WSSS 211800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTAU03 ADRM 220137 *** IDD20130 AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY NORTHERN TERRITORY DARWIN REGIONAL FORECASTING CENTRE 40:2:2:24:13S139E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN ISSUED AT 0100 UTC 22 APRIL 2006 PLEASE BE AWARE WIND GUSTS CAN BE A FURTHER 40 PERCENT STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE, AND MAXIMUM WAVES MAY BE UP TO TWICE THE HEIGHT. HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA SITUATION AT 0000 UTC SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE MONICA ESTIMATED WITHIN 15 NAUTICAL MILES OF 12.6 S 139.4 E MOVING SLOWLY NORTH NORTHWEST. CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 HPA. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING TO 120 NAUTICAL MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE FORECAST SUSTAINED WINDS TO 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE INCREASING TO 115 KNOTS WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS. WINDS ABOVE 64 KNOTS WITHIN 25 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE WITH VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS. WINDS ABOVE 48 KNOTS WITHIN 50 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE WITH VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS AND MODERATE TO HEAVY SWELL. WINDS ABOVE 34 KNOTS WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE, EXTENDING TO 100 NAUTICAL MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, WITH ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS AND MODERATE SWELL. 1200 UTC 22 APR: CENTRE WITHIN 40 NAUTICAL MILES OF 12.5 S 138.6 E. 935 HPA. WINDS TO 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE. 0000 UTC 23 APR: CENTRE WITHIN 75 NAUTICAL MILES OF 12.4 S 137.4 E. 930 HPA. WINDS TO 115 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE. REMARKS SHIPS IN THE GENERAL AREA PLEASE TRANSMIT 3-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS. DARWIN TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE ** WTAU03 ADRM 220137 *** IDD20130 AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY NORTHERN TERRITORY DARWIN REGIONAL FORECASTING CENTRE 40:2:2:24:13S139E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN ISSUED AT 0100 UTC 22 APRIL 2006 PLEASE BE AWARE WIND GUSTS CAN BE A FURTHER 40 PERCENT STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE, AND MAXIMUM WAVES MAY BE UP TO TWICE THE HEIGHT. HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA SITUATION AT 0000 UTC SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE MONICA ESTIMATED WITHIN 15 NAUTICAL MILES OF 12.6 S 139.4 E MOVING SLOWLY NORTH NORTHWEST. CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 HPA. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING TO 120 NAUTICAL MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE FORECAST SUSTAINED WINDS TO 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE INCREASING TO 115 KNOTS WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS. WINDS ABOVE 64 KNOTS WITHIN 25 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE WITH VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS. WINDS ABOVE 48 KNOTS WITHIN 50 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE WITH VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS AND MODERATE TO HEAVY SWELL. WINDS ABOVE 34 KNOTS WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE, EXTENDING TO 100 NAUTICAL MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, WITH ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS AND MODERATE SWELL. 1200 UTC 22 APR: CENTRE WITHIN 40 NAUTICAL MILES OF 12.5 S 138.6 E. 935 HPA. WINDS TO 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE. 0000 UTC 23 APR: CENTRE WITHIN 75 NAUTICAL MILES OF 12.4 S 137.4 E. 930 HPA. WINDS TO 115 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE. REMARKS SHIPS IN THE GENERAL AREA PLEASE TRANSMIT 3-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS. DARWIN TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE ** WTPS31 PGTW 220300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (MONICA) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z --- NEAR 12.6S 139.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.6S 139.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 12.4S 138.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 12.2S 137.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 12.0S 135.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 12.0S 134.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 220300Z POSITION NEAR 12.5S 139.1E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23P (MONICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 490 NM EAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. A BUILDING SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER WESTERN AUSTRALIA WILL INDUCE A SIGNIFICANT WEST- WARD SHIFT IN THE FORECAST TRACK AS TC 23P BECOMES SITUATED ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THIS STEERING MECHANISM. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD DUE TO REDUCED UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW, THE INGESTION OF DRIER AIR, AND DISRUPTED LOW LEVEL INFLOW AS THE SYSTEM INTERACTS WITH LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 35 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z AND 230300Z.//