** WTSR20 WSSS 210600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTAU03 ADRM 211331 *** IDD20130 AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY NORTHERN TERRITORY DARWIN REGIONAL FORECASTING CENTRE 40:2:2:24:13S140E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN ISSUED AT 1330 UTC 21 APRIL 2006 PLEASE BE AWARE WIND GUSTS CAN BE A FURTHER 40 PERCENT STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE, AND MAXIMUM WAVES MAY BE UP TO TWICE THE HEIGHT. HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA SITUATION AT 1200 UTC SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE MONICA ESTIMATED WITHIN 15 NAUTICAL MILES OF 13.1 S 139.7 E MOVING WESTNORTHWEST AT 2 KNOTS. CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 HPA. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING TO 110 NAUTICAL MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE FORECAST SUSTAINED WINDS TO 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE INCREASING TO 110 KNOTS WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS. WINDS ABOVE 64 KNOTS WITHIN 25 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE WITH VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS. WINDS ABOVE 48 KNOTS WITHIN 50 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE WITH VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS AND MODERATE TO HEAVY SWELL. WINDS ABOVE 34 KNOTS WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE, EXTENDING TO 100 NAUTICAL MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, WITH ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS AND MODERATE SWELL. 0000 UTC 22 APR: CENTRE WITHIN 40 NAUTICAL MILES OF 12.9 S 139.1 E. 940 HPA. WINDS TO 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE. 1200 UTC 22 APR: CENTRE WITHIN 75 NAUTICAL MILES OF 12.7 S 138.4 E. 934 HPA. WINDS TO 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE. REMARKS SHIPS IN THE GENERAL AREA PLEASE TRANSMIT 3-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS. DARWIN TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE ** WTAU03 ADRM 211331 *** IDD20130 AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY NORTHERN TERRITORY DARWIN REGIONAL FORECASTING CENTRE 40:2:2:24:13S140E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN ISSUED AT 1330 UTC 21 APRIL 2006 PLEASE BE AWARE WIND GUSTS CAN BE A FURTHER 40 PERCENT STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE, AND MAXIMUM WAVES MAY BE UP TO TWICE THE HEIGHT. HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA SITUATION AT 1200 UTC SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE MONICA ESTIMATED WITHIN 15 NAUTICAL MILES OF 13.1 S 139.7 E MOVING WESTNORTHWEST AT 2 KNOTS. CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 HPA. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING TO 110 NAUTICAL MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE FORECAST SUSTAINED WINDS TO 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE INCREASING TO 110 KNOTS WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS. WINDS ABOVE 64 KNOTS WITHIN 25 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE WITH VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS. WINDS ABOVE 48 KNOTS WITHIN 50 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE WITH VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS AND MODERATE TO HEAVY SWELL. WINDS ABOVE 34 KNOTS WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE, EXTENDING TO 100 NAUTICAL MILES IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, WITH ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS AND MODERATE SWELL. 0000 UTC 22 APR: CENTRE WITHIN 40 NAUTICAL MILES OF 12.9 S 139.1 E. 940 HPA. WINDS TO 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE. 1200 UTC 22 APR: CENTRE WITHIN 75 NAUTICAL MILES OF 12.7 S 138.4 E. 934 HPA. WINDS TO 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE. REMARKS SHIPS IN THE GENERAL AREA PLEASE TRANSMIT 3-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS. DARWIN TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE ** WTPS31 PGTW 211500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (MONICA) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z --- NEAR 13.2S 139.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.2S 139.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z --- 12.8S 139.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 12.5S 138.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 12.2S 137.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 11.9S 136.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 211500Z POSITION NEAR 13.1S 139.6E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23P (MONICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 520 NM EAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. A BUILDING SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER SOUTHWESTERN AUSTRALIA WILL STEER TC 23P IN A MORE WESTERLY DIRECTION DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE VERTICAL WIND SHEER ENVIRON- MENT REMAINS FAVORABLE. ONLY MODEST STRENGTHENING IS ANTICIPATED, HOWEVER, AS UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW TO THE SOUTH DIMINISHES AND THE STORM BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z AND 221500Z.//