** WTSR20 WSSS 201800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTAU03 ADRM 210125 *** IDD20130 AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY NORTHERN TERRITORY DARWIN REGIONAL FORECASTING CENTRE 40:2:2:24:13S140E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN ISSUED AT 0100 UTC 21 APRIL 2006 PLEASE BE AWARE WIND GUSTS CAN BE A FURTHER 40 PERCENT STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE, AND MAXIMUM WAVES MAY BE UP TO TWICE THE HEIGHT. HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA SITUATION AT 0000 UTC SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE MONICA ESTIMATED WITHIN 15 NAUTICAL MILES OF 13.4 S 140.0 E MOVING SLOWLY NORTHNORTHWEST. CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 HPA. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE CENTRE FORECAST SUSTAINED WINDS TO 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE INCREASING TO 100 KNOTS WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS. WINDS ABOVE 64 KNOTS WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE WITH VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS. WINDS ABOVE 48 KNOTS WITHIN 45 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE WITH VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS AND MODERATE TO HEAVY SWELL. WINDS ABOVE 34 KNOTS WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE WITH ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS AND MODERATE SWELL. 1200 UTC 21 APR: CENTRE WITHIN 40 NAUTICAL MILES OF 13.0 S 139.5 E. 950 HPA. WINDS TO 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE. 0000 UTC 22 APR: CENTRE WITHIN 75 NAUTICAL MILES OF 12.5 S 138.4 E. 945 HPA. WINDS TO 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE. REMARKS SHIPS IN THE GENERAL AREA PLEASE TRANSMIT 3-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS. DARWIN TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE ** WTAU03 ADRM 210125 *** IDD20130 AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY NORTHERN TERRITORY DARWIN REGIONAL FORECASTING CENTRE 40:2:2:24:13S140E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN ISSUED AT 0100 UTC 21 APRIL 2006 PLEASE BE AWARE WIND GUSTS CAN BE A FURTHER 40 PERCENT STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE, AND MAXIMUM WAVES MAY BE UP TO TWICE THE HEIGHT. HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA SITUATION AT 0000 UTC SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE MONICA ESTIMATED WITHIN 15 NAUTICAL MILES OF 13.4 S 140.0 E MOVING SLOWLY NORTHNORTHWEST. CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 HPA. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE CENTRE FORECAST SUSTAINED WINDS TO 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE INCREASING TO 100 KNOTS WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS. WINDS ABOVE 64 KNOTS WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE WITH VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS. WINDS ABOVE 48 KNOTS WITHIN 45 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE WITH VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS AND MODERATE TO HEAVY SWELL. WINDS ABOVE 34 KNOTS WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE WITH ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS AND MODERATE SWELL. 1200 UTC 21 APR: CENTRE WITHIN 40 NAUTICAL MILES OF 13.0 S 139.5 E. 950 HPA. WINDS TO 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE. 0000 UTC 22 APR: CENTRE WITHIN 75 NAUTICAL MILES OF 12.5 S 138.4 E. 945 HPA. WINDS TO 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE. REMARKS SHIPS IN THE GENERAL AREA PLEASE TRANSMIT 3-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS. DARWIN TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE ** WTPS31 PGTW 210300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (MONICA) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z --- NEAR 13.4S 139.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.4S 139.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z --- 13.0S 139.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z --- 12.5S 138.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 11.9S 137.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 11.4S 136.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 210300Z POSITION NEAR 13.3S 139.8E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23P (MONICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 530 NM EAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 23P CONTINUES TO TRACK ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN PERIPHERY A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED TO THE SOUTHWEST. A FAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL ASSOCIATED WITH MIDLATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR INTENSIFI- CATION IN THE NEAR PERIOD. TC 23P WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL DECOUPLES FROM THE WESTERLY MIDLATITUDE FLOW AND THE LOW LEVEL INFLOW BECOMES DISRUPTED AS TC 23P APPROACHES THE NORTHERN TERRITORY OF AUSTRALIA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z AND 220300Z.//