** WTSR20 WSSS 200600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTAU03 ADRM 201318 *** IDD20130 AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY NORTHERN TERRITORY DARWIN REGIONAL FORECASTING CENTRE 40:2:2:24:14S140E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN ISSUED AT 1330 UTC 20 APRIL 2006 PLEASE BE AWARE WIND GUSTS CAN BE A FURTHER 40 PERCENT STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE, AND MAXIMUM WAVES MAY BE UP TO TWICE THE HEIGHT. HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA SITUATION AT 1200 UTC TROPICAL CYCLONE MONICA ESTIMATED WITHIN 15 NAUTICAL MILES OF 13.8 S 140.4 E NEAR STATIONARY. CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HPA. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE CENTRE. FORECAST SUSTAINED WINDS TO 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE INCREASING TO 85 KNOTS WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS. WINDS INCREASING ABOVE 64 KNOTS WITHIN 25 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE WITH VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS IN 6 HOURS. WINDS ABOVE 48 KNOTS WITHIN 50 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE WITH VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS AND MODERATE TO HEAVY SWELL. WINDS ABOVE 34 KNOTS WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE WITH ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS AND MODERATE SWELL. 0000 UTC 21 APR: CENTRE WITHIN 50 NAUTICAL MILES OF 13.5 S 139.8 E. 960 HPA. WINDS TO 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE. 1200 UTC 21 APR: CENTRE WITHIN 120 NAUTICAL MILES OF 13.0 S 139.3 E. 945 HPA. WINDS TO 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE. REMARKS SHIPS IN THE GENERAL AREA PLEASE TRANSMIT 3-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS. DARWIN TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE ** WTAU03 ADRM 201318 *** IDD20130 AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY NORTHERN TERRITORY DARWIN REGIONAL FORECASTING CENTRE 40:2:2:24:14S140E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN ISSUED AT 1330 UTC 20 APRIL 2006 PLEASE BE AWARE WIND GUSTS CAN BE A FURTHER 40 PERCENT STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE, AND MAXIMUM WAVES MAY BE UP TO TWICE THE HEIGHT. HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA SITUATION AT 1200 UTC TROPICAL CYCLONE MONICA ESTIMATED WITHIN 15 NAUTICAL MILES OF 13.8 S 140.4 E NEAR STATIONARY. CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HPA. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE CENTRE. FORECAST SUSTAINED WINDS TO 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE INCREASING TO 85 KNOTS WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS. WINDS INCREASING ABOVE 64 KNOTS WITHIN 25 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE WITH VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS IN 6 HOURS. WINDS ABOVE 48 KNOTS WITHIN 50 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE WITH VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS AND MODERATE TO HEAVY SWELL. WINDS ABOVE 34 KNOTS WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE WITH ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS AND MODERATE SWELL. 0000 UTC 21 APR: CENTRE WITHIN 50 NAUTICAL MILES OF 13.5 S 139.8 E. 960 HPA. WINDS TO 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE. 1200 UTC 21 APR: CENTRE WITHIN 120 NAUTICAL MILES OF 13.0 S 139.3 E. 945 HPA. WINDS TO 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE. REMARKS SHIPS IN THE GENERAL AREA PLEASE TRANSMIT 3-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS. DARWIN TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE ** WTPS31 PGTW 201500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (MONICA) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z --- NEAR 13.9S 140.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.9S 140.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z --- 13.5S 139.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z --- 13.1S 138.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z --- 12.6S 137.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 12.0S 135.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 005 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 201500Z POSITION NEAR 13.8S 140.0E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23P (MONICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 550 NM EAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 23P HAS REEMERGED OVER THE WARM WATERS OF THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO STEER THE STORM TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. A FAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL ASSOCIATED WITH MIDLATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR INTENS- IFICATION IN THE NEAR PERIOD. AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BUILDS, THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL WILL DECOUPLE FROM THE STORM, IN- HIBITING FURTHER STRENGTHENING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z AND 211500Z.//