** WTSR20 WSSS 190600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTAU01 ABRF 191329 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1329 UTC 19 April 2006 GALE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Severe Tropical Cyclone Monica with a central pressure of 965 hectopascals centred at 191200 UTC over Cape York Peninsula near 13.6 south 142.6 east moving west southwest at 11 knots. Position good. AREA AFFECTED 12S 143E to 12S 145E to 14S 146E to 15S 145.3E to 14S 143.5E to 12S 143E. FORECAST NW to NE winds 34/45 knots decreasing below 34 knots during the next 12 hours. Very rough seas on heavy swells. Forecast positions At 201200 UTC in the Gulf of Carpentaria near 13.6 S 149.7 E. Monica is expected to continue to move west across the Gulf of Carpentaria during the following 24 hours. REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732200221 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 191329 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1329 UTC 19 April 2006 GALE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Severe Tropical Cyclone Monica with a central pressure of 965 hectopascals centred at 191200 UTC over Cape York Peninsula near 13.6 south 142.6 east moving west southwest at 11 knots. Position good. AREA AFFECTED 12S 143E to 12S 145E to 14S 146E to 15S 145.3E to 14S 143.5E to 12S 143E. FORECAST NW to NE winds 34/45 knots decreasing below 34 knots during the next 12 hours. Very rough seas on heavy swells. Forecast positions At 201200 UTC in the Gulf of Carpentaria near 13.6 S 149.7 E. Monica is expected to continue to move west across the Gulf of Carpentaria during the following 24 hours. REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732200221 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 191329 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1329 UTC 19 APRIL 2006 GALE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE MONICA WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 965 HECTOPASCALS CENTRED AT 191200 UTC OVER CAPE YORK PENINSULA NEAR 13.6 SOUTH 142.6 EAST MOVING WEST SOUTHWEST AT 11 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. AREA AFFECTED 12S 143E TO 12S 145E TO 14S 146E TO 15S 145.3E TO 14S 143.5E TO 12S 143E. FORECAST NW TO NE WINDS 34/45 KNOTS DECREASING BELOW 34 KNOTS DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. VERY ROUGH SEAS ON HEAVY SWELLS. FORECAST POSITIONS AT 201200 UTC IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA NEAR 13.6 S 149.7 E. MONICA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST ACROSS THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA DURING THE FOLLOWING 24 HOURS. REMARKS ALL SHIPS IN THE AREA PLEASE SEND WEATHER REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS. REGULAR WEATHER OBSERVING SHIPS USE NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER SHIPS PLEASE USE EITHER EMAIL TO MARWXQLD@BOM.GOV.AU OR FAX TO +61732200221 OR SATELLITE TO SAC 41 THROUGH LAND EARTH STATION PERTH 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 191329 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1329 UTC 19 APRIL 2006 GALE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE MONICA WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 965 HECTOPASCALS CENTRED AT 191200 UTC OVER CAPE YORK PENINSULA NEAR 13.6 SOUTH 142.6 EAST MOVING WEST SOUTHWEST AT 11 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. AREA AFFECTED 12S 143E TO 12S 145E TO 14S 146E TO 15S 145.3E TO 14S 143.5E TO 12S 143E. FORECAST NW TO NE WINDS 34/45 KNOTS DECREASING BELOW 34 KNOTS DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. VERY ROUGH SEAS ON HEAVY SWELLS. FORECAST POSITIONS AT 201200 UTC IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA NEAR 13.6 S 149.7 E. MONICA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST ACROSS THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA DURING THE FOLLOWING 24 HOURS. REMARKS ALL SHIPS IN THE AREA PLEASE SEND WEATHER REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS. REGULAR WEATHER OBSERVING SHIPS USE NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER SHIPS PLEASE USE EITHER EMAIL TO MARWXQLD@BOM.GOV.AU OR FAX TO +61732200221 OR SATELLITE TO SAC 41 THROUGH LAND EARTH STATION PERTH 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU03 ADRM 191335 *** IDD20130 AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY NORTHERN TERRITORY DARWIN REGIONAL FORECASTING CENTRE 40:2:2:24:12S138E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN ISSUED AT 1330 UTC 19 APRIL 2006 PLEASE BE AWARE WIND GUSTS CAN BE A FURTHER 40 PERCENT STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE, AND MAXIMUM WAVES MAY BE UP TO TWICE THE HEIGHT. HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA SITUATION AT 1200 UTC SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE MONICA 965HPA CENTRED OVER CAPE YORK PENINSULA WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF 13.6 S 142.6 E MOVING WEST SOUTHWEST AT 11 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 70 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE CENTRE. FORECAST CLOCKWISE WINDS GREATER THAN 34 KNOTS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTRE. MAXIMUM WINDS TO 70 KNOTS NEAR THE CENTRE INCREASING TO 80 KNOTS IN 24 HOURS WITHIN 70 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE. HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS ON HEAVY SWELLS. 0000 UTC 20 APR: CENTRE NEAR 13.9 S 141.1 E WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 HPA. WINDS TO 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE. 1200 UTC 20 APR: CENTRE IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA NEAR 13.6 S 139.7 E WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 HPA. WINDS TO 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE. MONICA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST OVER THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND REINTENSIFY IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA DURING THE FOLLOWING 24 HOURS. REMARKS ALL SHIPS IN THE AREA PLEASE SEND WEATHER REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS. DARWIN TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE ** WTAU03 ADRM 191335 *** IDD20130 AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY NORTHERN TERRITORY DARWIN REGIONAL FORECASTING CENTRE 40:2:2:24:12S138E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN ISSUED AT 1330 UTC 19 APRIL 2006 PLEASE BE AWARE WIND GUSTS CAN BE A FURTHER 40 PERCENT STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE, AND MAXIMUM WAVES MAY BE UP TO TWICE THE HEIGHT. HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA SITUATION AT 1200 UTC SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE MONICA 965HPA CENTRED OVER CAPE YORK PENINSULA WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF 13.6 S 142.6 E MOVING WEST SOUTHWEST AT 11 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 70 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE CENTRE. FORECAST CLOCKWISE WINDS GREATER THAN 34 KNOTS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTRE. MAXIMUM WINDS TO 70 KNOTS NEAR THE CENTRE INCREASING TO 80 KNOTS IN 24 HOURS WITHIN 70 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE. HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS ON HEAVY SWELLS. 0000 UTC 20 APR: CENTRE NEAR 13.9 S 141.1 E WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 HPA. WINDS TO 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE. 1200 UTC 20 APR: CENTRE IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA NEAR 13.6 S 139.7 E WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 HPA. WINDS TO 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTRE. MONICA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST OVER THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND REINTENSIFY IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA DURING THE FOLLOWING 24 HOURS. REMARKS ALL SHIPS IN THE AREA PLEASE SEND WEATHER REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS. DARWIN TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE ** WTAU01 ABRF 191337 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN 1 CORRECTED HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1336 UTC 19 April 2006 GALE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Severe Tropical Cyclone Monica with a central pressure of 965 hectopascals centred at 191200 UTC over Cape York Peninsula near 13.6 south 142.6 east moving west southwest at 11 knots. Position good. AREA AFFECTED 12S 143E to 12S 145E to 14S 146E to 15S 145.3E to 14S 143.5E to 12S 143E. FORECAST NW to NE winds 34/45 knots decreasing below 34 knots during the next 12 hours. Very rough seas on heavy swells. Forecast positions At 201200 UTC in the Gulf of Carpentaria near 13.6 S 139.7 E. Monica is expected to continue to move west across the Gulf of Carpentaria during the following 24 hours. REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732200221 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 191337 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN 1 CORRECTED HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1336 UTC 19 April 2006 GALE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Severe Tropical Cyclone Monica with a central pressure of 965 hectopascals centred at 191200 UTC over Cape York Peninsula near 13.6 south 142.6 east moving west southwest at 11 knots. Position good. AREA AFFECTED 12S 143E to 12S 145E to 14S 146E to 15S 145.3E to 14S 143.5E to 12S 143E. FORECAST NW to NE winds 34/45 knots decreasing below 34 knots during the next 12 hours. Very rough seas on heavy swells. Forecast positions At 201200 UTC in the Gulf of Carpentaria near 13.6 S 139.7 E. Monica is expected to continue to move west across the Gulf of Carpentaria during the following 24 hours. REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732200221 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 191337 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN 1 CORRECTED HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1336 UTC 19 APRIL 2006 GALE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE MONICA WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 965 HECTOPASCALS CENTRED AT 191200 UTC OVER CAPE YORK PENINSULA NEAR 13.6 SOUTH 142.6 EAST MOVING WEST SOUTHWEST AT 11 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. AREA AFFECTED 12S 143E TO 12S 145E TO 14S 146E TO 15S 145.3E TO 14S 143.5E TO 12S 143E. FORECAST NW TO NE WINDS 34/45 KNOTS DECREASING BELOW 34 KNOTS DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. VERY ROUGH SEAS ON HEAVY SWELLS. FORECAST POSITIONS AT 201200 UTC IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA NEAR 13.6 S 139.7 E. MONICA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST ACROSS THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA DURING THE FOLLOWING 24 HOURS. REMARKS ALL SHIPS IN THE AREA PLEASE SEND WEATHER REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS. REGULAR WEATHER OBSERVING SHIPS USE NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER SHIPS PLEASE USE EITHER EMAIL TO MARWXQLD@BOM.GOV.AU OR FAX TO +61732200221 OR SATELLITE TO SAC 41 THROUGH LAND EARTH STATION PERTH 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 191337 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN 1 CORRECTED HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1336 UTC 19 APRIL 2006 GALE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE MONICA WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 965 HECTOPASCALS CENTRED AT 191200 UTC OVER CAPE YORK PENINSULA NEAR 13.6 SOUTH 142.6 EAST MOVING WEST SOUTHWEST AT 11 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. AREA AFFECTED 12S 143E TO 12S 145E TO 14S 146E TO 15S 145.3E TO 14S 143.5E TO 12S 143E. FORECAST NW TO NE WINDS 34/45 KNOTS DECREASING BELOW 34 KNOTS DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. VERY ROUGH SEAS ON HEAVY SWELLS. FORECAST POSITIONS AT 201200 UTC IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA NEAR 13.6 S 139.7 E. MONICA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST ACROSS THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA DURING THE FOLLOWING 24 HOURS. REMARKS ALL SHIPS IN THE AREA PLEASE SEND WEATHER REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS. REGULAR WEATHER OBSERVING SHIPS USE NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER SHIPS PLEASE USE EITHER EMAIL TO MARWXQLD@BOM.GOV.AU OR FAX TO +61732200221 OR SATELLITE TO SAC 41 THROUGH LAND EARTH STATION PERTH 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTPS31 PGTW 191500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (MONICA) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z --- NEAR 13.6S 142.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.6S 142.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z --- 13.9S 141.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z --- 13.9S 140.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z --- 13.6S 138.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z --- 13.2S 137.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 191500Z POSITION NEAR 13.7S 142.3E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23P (MONICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 65 NM SOUTHEAST OF WEIPA, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS A SUBSTANTIAL BREAKDOWN IN CORE CONVECTION AND FRAGMENTED RADIAL OUTFLOW. DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS, TC 23P WILL TRACK SLIGHTLY POLEWARD AS A TRANSIENT MAJOR SHORTWAVE TROUGH WEAKENS THE STEERING RIDGE OVER CENTRAL AUSTRALIA. AFTER TAU 24, THE RIDGE WILL REDEVELOP OVER WESTERN AUSTRALIA AND CAUSE TC 23P TO TRACK NORTHWEST- WARD. THE INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM WILL DECREASE THROUGH TAU 12, HOWEVER ONCE TC 23P MOVES OVER THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA, IT WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN AS SURFACE INFLOW IMPROVES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z AND 201500Z.//