** WTSR20 WSSS 180600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTAU01 ABRF 181310 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1310 UTC 18 April 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Severe Tropical Cyclone Monica with a central pressure of 970 hectopascals centred at 1200 UTC near 13.0 south 145.6 east moving west at 10 knots. Position good. AREA AFFECTED Within 120 nm of the centre. FORECAST Clockwise winds greater than 34 knots within 120 nm of the centre. Maximum winds to 70 knots near the centre. High to very high seas on heavy swells. Forecast positions At 190000 UTC near 13.0 S 143.6 E with central pressure 960 hPa and maximum winds near the centre to 85 knots. At 191200 UTC overland near 13.0 S 141.9 E with central pressure 985 hPa and maximum winds near the centre to 50 knots. Monica is expected to move west over the Gulf of Carpentaria and reintensify during the following 24 hours. REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732200221 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 181310 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1310 UTC 18 April 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Severe Tropical Cyclone Monica with a central pressure of 970 hectopascals centred at 1200 UTC near 13.0 south 145.6 east moving west at 10 knots. Position good. AREA AFFECTED Within 120 nm of the centre. FORECAST Clockwise winds greater than 34 knots within 120 nm of the centre. Maximum winds to 70 knots near the centre. High to very high seas on heavy swells. Forecast positions At 190000 UTC near 13.0 S 143.6 E with central pressure 960 hPa and maximum winds near the centre to 85 knots. At 191200 UTC overland near 13.0 S 141.9 E with central pressure 985 hPa and maximum winds near the centre to 50 knots. Monica is expected to move west over the Gulf of Carpentaria and reintensify during the following 24 hours. REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732200221 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 181310 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1310 UTC 18 APRIL 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE MONICA WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 970 HECTOPASCALS CENTRED AT 1200 UTC NEAR 13.0 SOUTH 145.6 EAST MOVING WEST AT 10 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE CENTRE. FORECAST CLOCKWISE WINDS GREATER THAN 34 KNOTS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE CENTRE. MAXIMUM WINDS TO 70 KNOTS NEAR THE CENTRE. HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS ON HEAVY SWELLS. FORECAST POSITIONS AT 190000 UTC NEAR 13.0 S 143.6 E WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 HPA AND MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE TO 85 KNOTS. AT 191200 UTC OVERLAND NEAR 13.0 S 141.9 E WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 HPA AND MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE TO 50 KNOTS. MONICA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST OVER THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA AND REINTENSIFY DURING THE FOLLOWING 24 HOURS. REMARKS ALL SHIPS IN THE AREA PLEASE SEND WEATHER REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS. REGULAR WEATHER OBSERVING SHIPS USE NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER SHIPS PLEASE USE EITHER EMAIL TO MARWXQLD@BOM.GOV.AU OR FAX TO +61732200221 OR SATELLITE TO SAC 41 THROUGH LAND EARTH STATION PERTH 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 181310 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1310 UTC 18 APRIL 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE MONICA WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 970 HECTOPASCALS CENTRED AT 1200 UTC NEAR 13.0 SOUTH 145.6 EAST MOVING WEST AT 10 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE CENTRE. FORECAST CLOCKWISE WINDS GREATER THAN 34 KNOTS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE CENTRE. MAXIMUM WINDS TO 70 KNOTS NEAR THE CENTRE. HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS ON HEAVY SWELLS. FORECAST POSITIONS AT 190000 UTC NEAR 13.0 S 143.6 E WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 HPA AND MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE TO 85 KNOTS. AT 191200 UTC OVERLAND NEAR 13.0 S 141.9 E WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 HPA AND MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE TO 50 KNOTS. MONICA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST OVER THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA AND REINTENSIFY DURING THE FOLLOWING 24 HOURS. REMARKS ALL SHIPS IN THE AREA PLEASE SEND WEATHER REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS. REGULAR WEATHER OBSERVING SHIPS USE NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER SHIPS PLEASE USE EITHER EMAIL TO MARWXQLD@BOM.GOV.AU OR FAX TO +61732200221 OR SATELLITE TO SAC 41 THROUGH LAND EARTH STATION PERTH 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTPS31 PGTW 181500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (MONICA) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z --- NEAR 13.1S 145.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.1S 145.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z --- 13.3S 143.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z --- 13.4S 141.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z --- 13.4S 140.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z --- 13.1S 138.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 181500Z POSITION NEAR 13.1S 145.3E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23P (MONICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM NORTH OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS IMPROVED RADIAL OUTFLOW AND A FLUCTUATING CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST. TC 23P HAS MAINTAINED A RELATIVELY STEADY WESTWARD TRACK FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS, AND THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO STAY ON THIS COURSE AS IT MOVES ACROSS CAPE YORK. THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS, TC 23P WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA AS IT TRACKS ALONG THE EQUATORWARD PERIPHERY OF A STEERING RIDGE SITUATED OVER CENTRAL AUSTRALIA. THE INTENSITY WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD, HOWEVER IT SHOULD WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AT TAU 18 DUE TO PASSAGE OVER LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z AND 191500Z.//