** WTSR20 WSSS 170600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTAU01 ABRF 171245 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1245 UTC 17 APRIL 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION TROPICAL CYCLONE MONICA WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED NEAR 12.6 SOUTH 149.4 EAST AT 171200 UTC MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST ABOUT 5 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE CENTRE. FORECAST CLOCKWISE WINDS 34 TO 45 KNOTS INCREASING TO 65 KNOTS NEAR THE CENTRE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SEAS RISING TO VERY ROUGH TO HIGH. FORECAST POSITION 180000 UTC NEAR 12.5 SOUTH 147.6 EAST WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HPA AND MAXIMUM WINDS TO 55 KNOTS 181200 UTC NEAR 12.4 SOUTH 145.8 EAST WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 HPA AND MAXIMUM WINDS TO 65 KNOTS NEAR THE CENTRE. REMARKS ALL SHIPS IN THE AREA PLEASE SEND WEATHER REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS. REGULAR WEATHER OBSERVING SHIPS USE NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER SHIPS PLEASE USE EITHER EMAIL TO MARWXQLD@BOM.GOV.AU OR FAX TO +61732200221 OR SATELLITE TO SAC 41 THROUGH LAND EARTH STATION PERTH 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 171245 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1245 UTC 17 April 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Tropical cyclone Monica with a central pressure of 990 hectopascals was centred near 12.6 south 149.4 east at 171200 UTC moving west-southwest about 5 knots. Position fair. AREA AFFECTED Within 120 nm of the centre. FORECAST Clockwise winds 34 to 45 knots increasing to 65 knots near the centre within the next 24 hours. Seas rising to very rough to high. Forecast position 180000 UTC near 12.5 south 147.6 east with central pressure 980 hPa and maximum winds to 55 knots 181200 UTC near 12.4 south 145.8 east with central pressure 970 hpa and maximum winds to 65 knots near the centre. REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732200221 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 171245 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1245 UTC 17 April 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Tropical cyclone Monica with a central pressure of 990 hectopascals was centred near 12.6 south 149.4 east at 171200 UTC moving west-southwest about 5 knots. Position fair. AREA AFFECTED Within 120 nm of the centre. FORECAST Clockwise winds 34 to 45 knots increasing to 65 knots near the centre within the next 24 hours. Seas rising to very rough to high. Forecast position 180000 UTC near 12.5 south 147.6 east with central pressure 980 hPa and maximum winds to 55 knots 181200 UTC near 12.4 south 145.8 east with central pressure 970 hpa and maximum winds to 65 knots near the centre. REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732200221 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 171245 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1245 UTC 17 APRIL 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION TROPICAL CYCLONE MONICA WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED NEAR 12.6 SOUTH 149.4 EAST AT 171200 UTC MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST ABOUT 5 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE CENTRE. FORECAST CLOCKWISE WINDS 34 TO 45 KNOTS INCREASING TO 65 KNOTS NEAR THE CENTRE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SEAS RISING TO VERY ROUGH TO HIGH. FORECAST POSITION 180000 UTC NEAR 12.5 SOUTH 147.6 EAST WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HPA AND MAXIMUM WINDS TO 55 KNOTS 181200 UTC NEAR 12.4 SOUTH 145.8 EAST WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 HPA AND MAXIMUM WINDS TO 65 KNOTS NEAR THE CENTRE. REMARKS ALL SHIPS IN THE AREA PLEASE SEND WEATHER REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS. REGULAR WEATHER OBSERVING SHIPS USE NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER SHIPS PLEASE USE EITHER EMAIL TO MARWXQLD@BOM.GOV.AU OR FAX TO +61732200221 OR SATELLITE TO SAC 41 THROUGH LAND EARTH STATION PERTH 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTPS31 PGTW 171500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (MONICA) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z --- NEAR 12.7S 149.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.7S 149.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z --- 13.0S 147.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z --- 13.1S 146.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z --- 13.1S 144.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z --- 13.2S 142.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT --- REMARKS: 171500Z POSITION NEAR 12.8S 149.0E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23P (MONICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM SOUTHEAST OF PORT MORESBY, PAPUA NEW GUINEA, HAS TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. A BUILDING MID LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH OF TC 23P WILL STEER THE STORM WESTWARD TOWARDS CAPE YORK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. A LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DIVER- GENCE WILL ALLOW FOR INTENSIFICATION UNTIL LANDFALL JUST PAST TAU 36. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z AND 181500Z.//