** WTSR20 WSSS 161800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTAU01 ABRF 170050 *** IDQ20008 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 0050 UTC 17 April 2006 GALE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Tropical cyclone Monica with a central pressure of 995 hectopascals has developed near 12.4 south 150.0 east at 170000 UTC moving southwest at 7 knots. Position fair. AREA AFFECTED Within 120 nm of the centre. FORECAST Clockwise winds 30 to 40 knots increasing to 50 knots near the centre within the next 24 hours. Seas rising to very rough. Forecast position 171200 UTC near 13.0 south 147.7 east with central pressure 990 hPa and 180000 UTC near 12.4 south 146.7 east with central pressure 985 hpa. REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732200221 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 170050 *** IDQ20008 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 0050 UTC 17 April 2006 GALE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Tropical cyclone Monica with a central pressure of 995 hectopascals has developed near 12.4 south 150.0 east at 170000 UTC moving southwest at 7 knots. Position fair. AREA AFFECTED Within 120 nm of the centre. FORECAST Clockwise winds 30 to 40 knots increasing to 50 knots near the centre within the next 24 hours. Seas rising to very rough. Forecast position 171200 UTC near 13.0 south 147.7 east with central pressure 990 hPa and 180000 UTC near 12.4 south 146.7 east with central pressure 985 hpa. REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732200221 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 170050 *** IDQ20008 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 0050 UTC 17 APRIL 2006 GALE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION TROPICAL CYCLONE MONICA WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 995 HECTOPASCALS HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 12.4 SOUTH 150.0 EAST AT 170000 UTC MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 7 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE CENTRE. FORECAST CLOCKWISE WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS INCREASING TO 50 KNOTS NEAR THE CENTRE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SEAS RISING TO VERY ROUGH. FORECAST POSITION 171200 UTC NEAR 13.0 SOUTH 147.7 EAST WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HPA AND 180000 UTC NEAR 12.4 SOUTH 146.7 EAST WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 HPA. REMARKS ALL SHIPS IN THE AREA PLEASE SEND WEATHER REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS. REGULAR WEATHER OBSERVING SHIPS USE NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER SHIPS PLEASE USE EITHER EMAIL TO MARWXQLD@BOM.GOV.AU OR FAX TO +61732200221 OR SATELLITE TO SAC 41 THROUGH LAND EARTH STATION PERTH 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 170050 *** IDQ20008 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 0050 UTC 17 APRIL 2006 GALE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION TROPICAL CYCLONE MONICA WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 995 HECTOPASCALS HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 12.4 SOUTH 150.0 EAST AT 170000 UTC MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 7 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE CENTRE. FORECAST CLOCKWISE WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS INCREASING TO 50 KNOTS NEAR THE CENTRE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SEAS RISING TO VERY ROUGH. FORECAST POSITION 171200 UTC NEAR 13.0 SOUTH 147.7 EAST WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HPA AND 180000 UTC NEAR 12.4 SOUTH 146.7 EAST WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 HPA. REMARKS ALL SHIPS IN THE AREA PLEASE SEND WEATHER REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS. REGULAR WEATHER OBSERVING SHIPS USE NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER SHIPS PLEASE USE EITHER EMAIL TO MARWXQLD@BOM.GOV.AU OR FAX TO +61732200221 OR SATELLITE TO SAC 41 THROUGH LAND EARTH STATION PERTH 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTPS31 PGTW 170300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/162021ZAPR06// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (MONICA) WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z --- NEAR 12.2S 150.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.2S 150.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z --- 13.4S 148.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z --- 13.7S 146.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z --- 13.6S 145.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z --- 13.6S 143.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT --- REMARKS: 170300Z POSITION NEAR 12.5S 149.8E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23P (MONICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 240 NM SOUTHEAST OF PORT MORESBY, PAPUA NEW GUINEA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND MULTIPLE MICROWAVE PASSES INDICATE THAT THE CONVECTION IS WRAPPING INTO THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE WILL CAUSE THE SYSTEM TO SHIFT TO THE WEST AFTER TAU 12 AND AN OFFSET UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE WILL PROVIDE FAVOR- ABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 162021ZAPR2006 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 162030). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z AND 180300Z.// ** WTPS31 PGTW 170300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/162021ZAPR06// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23P (MONICA) WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z --- NEAR 12.2S 150.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.2S 150.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z --- 13.4S 148.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z --- 13.7S 146.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z --- 13.6S 145.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z --- 13.6S 143.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT --- REMARKS: 170300Z POSITION NEAR 12.5S 149.8E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23P (MONICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 240 NM SOUTHEAST OF PORT MORESBY, PAPUA NEW GUINEA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND MULTIPLE MICROWAVE PASSES INDICATE THAT THE CONVECTION IS WRAPPING INTO THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE WILL CAUSE THE SYSTEM TO SHIFT TO THE WEST AFTER TAU 12 AND AN OFFSET UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE WILL PROVIDE FAVOR- ABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 162021ZAPR2006 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 162030). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z AND 180300Z.//