** WTSR20 WSSS 130600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTIO20 FMEE 131227 *** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/04/2006 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 007/13 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 13/04/2006 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 13 995 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.4S / 89.5E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 3 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 30 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/04/14 AT 00 UTC: 13.6S / 88.5E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2006/04/14 AT 12 UTC: 14.2S / 86.8E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM ELIA GETS SLOWLY ORGANIZED, STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. ELIA IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING MAINLY SOUTHWESTWARDS, INTENSIFYING GRADUALLY.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 131227 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 7/13/20052006 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 13 2.A POSITION 2006/04/13 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.4S / 89.5E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 995 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 060 SE: 090 SO: 090 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/04/14 00 UTC: 13.6S/88.5E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 24H: 2006/04/14 12 UTC: 14.2S/86.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2006/04/15 00 UTC: 15.1S/85.2E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 48H: 2006/04/15 12 UTC: 16.9S/84.3E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 60H: 2006/04/16 00 UTC: 18.8S/83.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 72H: 2006/04/16 12 UTC: 20.7S/83.2E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.5+ ACCORDING TO THE LATEST MICRO-WAVE IMAGERY (AQUA 0801Z AND TRMM 0925Z), THE CONVECTION HARDLY CONSOLIDATES AROUND THE SYSTEM. THE UPPER LEVEL CONFIGURATION IS FAVOURABLE, BUT THE POTENTIAL FOR AN INTENSIFICATION IS LIMITED BY A WEAK LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE (DUE TO A POORLY DEFINED MOONSON FLOW). THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING MAINLY SOUTHWESTWARDS DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS, BEFORE VEERING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARDS TOWARDS THE TRANSIENT TROUGH SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM.= ** WTIO20 FMEE 131227 *** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/04/2006 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 007/13 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 13/04/2006 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 13 995 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.4S / 89.5E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 3 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 30 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/04/14 AT 00 UTC: 13.6S / 88.5E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2006/04/14 AT 12 UTC: 14.2S / 86.8E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM ELIA GETS SLOWLY ORGANIZED, STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. ELIA IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING MAINLY SOUTHWESTWARDS, INTENSIFYING GRADUALLY. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 131227 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 7/13/20052006 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 13 2.A POSITION 2006/04/13 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.4S / 89.5E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 995 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 060 SE: 090 SO: 090 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/04/14 00 UTC: 13.6S/88.5E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 24H: 2006/04/14 12 UTC: 14.2S/86.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 36H: 2006/04/15 00 UTC: 15.1S/85.2E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 48H: 2006/04/15 12 UTC: 16.9S/84.3E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 60H: 2006/04/16 00 UTC: 18.8S/83.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 72H: 2006/04/16 12 UTC: 20.7S/83.2E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.5+ ACCORDING TO THE LATEST MICRO-WAVE IMAGERY (AQUA 0801Z AND TRMM 0925Z), THE CONVECTION HARDLY CONSOLIDATES AROUND THE SYSTEM. THE UPPER LEVEL CONFIGURATION IS FAVOURABLE, BUT THE POTENTIAL FOR AN INTENSIFICATION IS LIMITED BY A WEAK LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE (DUE TO A POORLY DEFINED MOONSON FLOW). THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING MAINLY SOUTHWESTWARDS DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS, BEFORE VEERING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARDS TOWARDS THE TRANSIENT TROUGH SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. . ** WTIO21 FMEE 131227 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 13/04/2006 A 1200 UTC. NUMERO: 007/13 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE COUP DE VENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: JEUDI 13/04/2006 A 1200 UTC. PHENOMENE: TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE 13 995 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 13.4S / 89.5E (TREIZE DEGRES QUATRE SUD ET QUATRE-VINGT-NEUF DEGRES CINQ EST) A 1200 UTC DEPLACEMENT: OUEST-SUD-OUEST 3 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 80 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 150 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. COUP DE VENT 35 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE PRES DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 30 MN DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. GRAND FRAIS 30KT ET MER FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 50 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 14/04/2006 A 00 UTC: 13.6S / 88.5E, VENT MAX = 40 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. A 24H POUR LE 14/04/2006 A 12 UTC: 14.2S / 86.8E, VENT MAX = 40 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE SYSTEME ELIA S'ORGANISE LENTEMENT, LES VENTS LES PLUS FORTS SONT LOCALISES DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. ELIA EST PREVU POURSUIVRE UNE TRAJECTOIRE EN DIRECTION GLOBALE DU SUD-OUEST EN S'INTENSIFIANT PROGRESSIVEMENT. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 131232 CCA *** *************** CORRECTIVE ************** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 7/13/20052006 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 13 (ELIA) 2.A POSITION 2006/04/13 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.4S / 89.5E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 995 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 060 SE: 090 SO: 090 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/04/14 00 UTC: 13.6S/88.5E, MAX WIND=040KT , MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H: 2006/04/14 12 UTC: 14.2S/86.8E, MAX WIND=040KT , MODERATE TROP. STORM. 36H: 2006/04/15 00 UTC: 15.1S/85.2E, MAX WIND=045KT , MODERATE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2006/04/15 12 UTC: 16.9S/84.3E, MAX WIND=045KT , MODERATE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2006/04/16 00 UTC: 18.8S/83.7E, MAX WIND=040KT , MODERATE TROP. STORM. 72H: 2006/04/16 12 UTC: 20.7S/83.2E, MAX WIND=040KT , MODERATE TROP. STORM. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.5+ ACCORDING TO THE LATEST MICRO-WAVE IMAGERY (AQUA 0801Z AND TRMM 0925Z), THE CONVECTION HARDLY CONSOLIDATES AROUND THE SYSTEM. THE UPPER LEVEL CONFIGURATION IS FAVOURABLE, BUT THE POTENTIAL FOR AN INTENSIFICATION IS LIMITED BY A WEAK LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE (DUE TO A POORLY DEFINED MOONSON FLOW). THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING MAINLY SOUTHWESTWARDS DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS, BEFORE VEERING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARDS TOWARDS THE TRANSIENT TROUGH SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 131232 CCA *** *************** CORRECTIVE ************** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 7/13/20052006 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 13 (ELIA) 2.A POSITION 2006/04/13 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.4S / 89.5E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 995 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 060 SE: 090 SO: 090 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/04/14 00 UTC: 13.6S/88.5E, MAX WIND=040KT , MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H: 2006/04/14 12 UTC: 14.2S/86.8E, MAX WIND=040KT , MODERATE TROP. STORM. 36H: 2006/04/15 00 UTC: 15.1S/85.2E, MAX WIND=045KT , MODERATE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2006/04/15 12 UTC: 16.9S/84.3E, MAX WIND=045KT , MODERATE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2006/04/16 00 UTC: 18.8S/83.7E, MAX WIND=040KT , MODERATE TROP. STORM. 72H: 2006/04/16 12 UTC: 20.7S/83.2E, MAX WIND=040KT , MODERATE TROP. STORM. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.5+ ACCORDING TO THE LATEST MICRO-WAVE IMAGERY (AQUA 0801Z AND TRMM 0925Z), THE CONVECTION HARDLY CONSOLIDATES AROUND THE SYSTEM. THE UPPER LEVEL CONFIGURATION IS FAVOURABLE, BUT THE POTENTIAL FOR AN INTENSIFICATION IS LIMITED BY A WEAK LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE (DUE TO A POORLY DEFINED MOONSON FLOW). THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING MAINLY SOUTHWESTWARDS DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS, BEFORE VEERING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARDS TOWARDS THE TRANSIENT TROUGH SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. . ** WTIO20 FMEE 131233 CCA *** *************** CORRECTIVE ************** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/04/2006 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 007/13 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 13/04/2006 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 13 (ELIA) 995 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.4S / 89.5E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 3 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 30 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/04/14 AT 00 UTC: 13.6S / 88.5E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2006/04/14 AT 12 UTC: 14.2S / 86.8E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM ELIA GETS SLOWLY ORGANIZED, STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. ELIA IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING MAINLY SOUTHWESTWARDS, INTENSIFYING GRADUALLY.= ** WTIO21 FMEE 131233 CCA *** *************** CORRECTIF *************** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 13/04/2006 A 1200 UTC. NUMERO: 007/13 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE COUP DE VENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: JEUDI 13/04/2006 A 1200 UTC. PHENOMENE: TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE 13 (ELIA) 995 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 13.4S / 89.5E (TREIZE DEGRES QUATRE SUD ET QUATRE-VINGT-NEUF DEGRES CINQ EST) A 1200 UTC DEPLACEMENT: OUEST-SUD-OUEST 3 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 80 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 150 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. COUP DE VENT 35 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE PRES DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 30 MN DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. GRAND FRAIS 30KT ET MER FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 50 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 14/04/2006 A 00 UTC: 13.6S / 88.5E, VENT MAX = 40 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. A 24H POUR LE 14/04/2006 A 12 UTC: 14.2S / 86.8E, VENT MAX = 40 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE SYSTEME ELIA S'ORGANISE LENTEMENT, LES VENTS LES PLUS FORTS SONT LOCALISES DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. ELIA EST PREVU POURSUIVRE UNE TRAJECTOIRE EN DIRECTION GLOBALE DU SUD-OUEST EN S'INTENSIFIANT PROGRESSIVEMENT. . ** WTIO20 FMEE 131233 CCA *** *************** CORRECTIVE ************** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/04/2006 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 007/13 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 13/04/2006 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 13 (ELIA) 995 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.4S / 89.5E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 3 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 30 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/04/14 AT 00 UTC: 13.6S / 88.5E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2006/04/14 AT 12 UTC: 14.2S / 86.8E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM ELIA GETS SLOWLY ORGANIZED, STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. ELIA IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING MAINLY SOUTHWESTWARDS, INTENSIFYING GRADUALLY. . ** WTXS31 PGTW 131500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z --- NEAR 13.2S 89.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.2S 89.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z --- 13.5S 88.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z --- 14.2S 87.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z --- 15.2S 86.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z --- 16.6S 86.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 131500Z POSITION NEAR 13.3S 89.3E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 440 NM WEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE FORWARD SPEED OF TC 22S HAS CONTINUED TO SLOW OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, AND THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWLY INTENSIFIED IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE POLEWARD OUTFLOW. TC 22S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT TRACKS ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING ANTI- CYCLONE LOCATED TO THE EAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z AND 141500Z.//