** WTIO20 FMEE 130615 *** SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/04/2006 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 006/13 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 13/04/2006 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13 997 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.3S / 89.6E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY NINE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 25NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING 35KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS UP TO 50NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/04/13 AT 18 UTC: 13.9S / 89.1E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. 24H, VALID 2006/04/14 AT 06 UTC: 14.2S / 88.0E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY SHOWING A BETTER ORGANIZATION THAN DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS ; THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS ASYMETRIC, WITH STRONGEST WINDS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARDS, INTENSIFYING GRADUALLY.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 130616 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 6/13/20052006 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13 2.A POSITION 2006/04/13 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.3S / 89.6E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY NINE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 997 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 040 SE: 080 SO: 080 NO: 040 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/04/13 18 UTC: 13.9S/89.1E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 24H: 2006/04/14 06 UTC: 14.2S/88.0E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 36H: 2006/04/14 18 UTC: 14.5S/86.9E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 48H: 2006/04/15 06 UTC: 14.8S/85.7E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 60H: 2006/04/15 18 UTC: 15.2S/84.5E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 72H: 2006/04/16 06 UTC: 15.6S/83.2E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.5 RECENT ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BETTER ORGANIZATION AND A CONSOLIDATING CONVECTION AROUND AN ASYMETRIC LLCC ; MAXIMUM WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. THE UPPER LEVEL CONFIGURATION IS FAVOURABLE, BUT THE POTENTIAL FOR AN INTENSIFICATION IS LIMITED BY A WEAK LOW LEVEL CONVER GENCE (DUE TO A BADLY DEFINED MOONSON FLOW). THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARDS. . ** WTIO20 FMEE 130615 *** SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/04/2006 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 006/13 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 13/04/2006 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13 997 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.3S / 89.6E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY NINE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 25NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING 35KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS UP TO 50NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/04/13 AT 18 UTC: 13.9S / 89.1E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. 24H, VALID 2006/04/14 AT 06 UTC: 14.2S / 88.0E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY SHOWING A BETTER ORGANIZATION THAN DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS ; THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS ASYMETRIC, WITH STRONGEST WINDS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARDS, INTENSIFYING GRADUALLY. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 130616 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 6/13/20052006 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13 2.A POSITION 2006/04/13 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.3S / 89.6E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY NINE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 997 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 040 SE: 080 SO: 080 NO: 040 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/04/13 18 UTC: 13.9S/89.1E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 24H: 2006/04/14 06 UTC: 14.2S/88.0E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2006/04/14 18 UTC: 14.5S/86.9E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 48H: 2006/04/15 06 UTC: 14.8S/85.7E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 60H: 2006/04/15 18 UTC: 15.2S/84.5E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 72H: 2006/04/16 06 UTC: 15.6S/83.2E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.5 RECENT ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BETTER ORGANIZATION AND A CONSOLIDATING CONVECTION AROUND AN ASYMETRIC LLCC ; MAXIMUM WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. THE UPPER LEVEL CONFIGURATION IS FAVOURABLE, BUT THE POTENTIAL FOR AN INTENSIFICATION IS LIMITED BY A WEAK LOW LEVEL CONVER GENCE (DUE TO A BADLY DEFINED MOONSON FLOW). THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARDS.=