** WTIO20 FMEE 121809 *** SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/04/2006 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 004/13 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 12/04/2006 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13 998 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.1S / 90.0E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND NINETY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST ) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/25 KT, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 25NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/04/13 AT 06 UTC: 13.5S / 88.9E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. 24H, VALID 2006/04/13 AT 18 UTC: 13.8S / 87.9E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: AFTER 4 DAYS OVER THE AUSTRALIAN AREA AT A WEAK INTENSITY, THE SYSTEM NAO13 IS COMING BACK OVER OUR AREA OF RESPONSABILITY WITH A LIGHT INTENSIFICATION. THE SYSTEM SHOULD TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD.= ** WTIO20 FMEE 121809 *** SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/04/2006 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 004/13 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 12/04/2006 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13 998 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.1S / 90.0E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND NINETY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST ) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/25 KT, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 25NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/04/13 AT 06 UTC: 13.5S / 88.9E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. 24H, VALID 2006/04/13 AT 18 UTC: 13.8S / 87.9E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: AFTER 4 DAYS OVER THE AUSTRALIAN AREA AT A WEAK INTENSITY, THE SYSTEM NAo13 IS COMING BACK OVER OUR AREA OF RESPONSABILITY WITH A LIGHT INTENSIFICATION. THE SYSTEM SHOULD TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD. . ** WTIO21 FMEE 121809 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 12/04/2006 A 1800 UTC. NUMERO: 004/13 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE GRAND FRAIS DEBUT DE VALIDITE: MERCREDI 12/04/2006 A 1800 UTC. PHENOMENE: DEPRESSION TROPICALE 13 998 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 13.1S / 90.0E (TREIZE DEGRES UN SUD ET QUATRE-VINGT-DIX DEGRES ZERO EST) A 1800 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-OUEST 6 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 70 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 150 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 15/25 KT ET MER AGITEE A FORTE, ATTEIGNANT LE GRAND FRAIS 30KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 25MN AUOUR DU CENTRE. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 13/04/2006 A 06 UTC: 13.5S / 88.9E, VENT MAX = 35 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. A 24H POUR LE 13/04/2006 A 18 UTC: 13.8S / 87.9E, VENT MAX = 35 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: APRES AVOIR EVOLUE DURANT 4 JOURS A UN STADE DE FAIBLE INTENSITE SUR LA ZONE AUSTRALIENNE, LE SYSTEME NAo13 RETRAVERSE LE 90EME MERIDIEN EST EN S'INTENSIFIANT LEGEREMENT. LE SYSTEME EST PREVU POURSUIVRE VERS LE SUD-OUEST . ** WTIO30 FMEE 121821 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 4/13/20052006 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13 2.A POSITION 2006/04/12 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.1S / 90.0E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND NINETY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /D 0.5/18 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/04/13 06 UTC: 13.5S/88.9E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 24H: 2006/04/13 18 UTC: 13.8S/87.9E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2006/04/14 06 UTC: 14.1S/86.9E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 48H: 2006/04/14 18 UTC: 14.5S/85.9E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 60H: 2006/04/15 06 UTC: 14.9S/84.8E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 72H: 2006/04/15 18 UTC: 15.3S/83.7E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTION IS POORLY SPREAD AND RATHER WARM, BUT ITS ORGANIZATION IS LICHTLY IMPROVING ABOVE THE LLCC. THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS WEAK AND THE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS RATHER FAVORABLE BUT LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS WEAK, MAINLY DUE TO A BADLY DEFINED MOONSON FLOW IN THE NORTHERN PART.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 121821 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 4/13/20052006 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13 2.A POSITION 2006/04/12 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.1S / 90.0E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND NINETY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /D 0.5/18 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/04/13 06 UTC: 13.5S/88.9E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 24H: 2006/04/13 18 UTC: 13.8S/87.9E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 36H: 2006/04/14 06 UTC: 14.1S/86.9E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 48H: 2006/04/14 18 UTC: 14.5S/85.9E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 60H: 2006/04/15 06 UTC: 14.9S/84.8E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 72H: 2006/04/15 18 UTC: 15.3S/83.7E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTION IS POORLY SPREAD AND RATHER WARM, BUT ITS ORGANIZATION IS LICHTLY IMPROVING ABOVE THE LLCC. THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS WEAK AND THE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS RATHER FAVORABLE BUT LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS WEAK, MAINLY DUE TO A BADLY DEFINED MOONSON FLOW IN THE NORTHERN PART. .