** WTAU05 APRF 051855 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:17S116E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1847UTC 5 APRIL 2006 STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1800 UTC Tropical Cyclone Hubert located within 40 nautical miles of Latitude seventeen decimal four degrees South [17.4S] Longitude one hundred and fifteen decimal eight degrees East [115.8E] Recent movement : south southwest at 7 knots. Maximum winds : 35 knots. Central pressure: 988hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 60 nautical miles of the centre, extending to 90 nautical miles in southwest quadrant. FORECAST Within 60 nautical miles of the centre, extending to 90 nautical miles in southwest quadrant: Clockwise winds 30/45 knots, rough to very rough seas and moderate swell. Winds increasing to 55 knots near the centre by 1800 UTC 6 April. At 0600 UTC 06 April: Within 60 nautical miles of 18.4 South 114.9 East Central pressure 982 hPa. Winds to 45 knots near centre. At 1800 UTC 06 April: Within 80 nautical miles of 19.2 South 114.3 East Central pressure 970 hPa. Winds to 55 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0100 UTC 06 April 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU05 APRF 051855 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:17S116E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1847UTC 5 APRIL 2006 STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1800 UTC Tropical Cyclone Hubert located within 40 nautical miles of Latitude seventeen decimal four degrees South [17.4S] Longitude one hundred and fifteen decimal eight degrees East [115.8E] Recent movement : south southwest at 7 knots. Maximum winds : 35 knots. Central pressure: 988hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 60 nautical miles of the centre, extending to 90 nautical miles in southwest quadrant. FORECAST Within 60 nautical miles of the centre, extending to 90 nautical miles in southwest quadrant: Clockwise winds 30/45 knots, rough to very rough seas and moderate swell. Winds increasing to 55 knots near the centre by 1800 UTC 6 April. At 0600 UTC 06 April: Within 60 nautical miles of 18.4 South 114.9 East Central pressure 982 hPa. Winds to 45 knots near centre. At 1800 UTC 06 April: Within 80 nautical miles of 19.2 South 114.3 East Central pressure 970 hPa. Winds to 55 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0100 UTC 06 April 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU05 APRF 051855 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:17S116E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1847UTC 5 APRIL 2006 STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1800 UTC Tropical Cyclone Hubert located within 40 nautical miles of Latitude seventeen decimal four degrees South [17.4S] Longitude one hundred and fifteen decimal eight degrees East [115.8E] Recent movement : south southwest at 7 knots. Maximum winds : 35 knots. Central pressure: 988hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 60 nautical miles of the centre, extending to 90 nautical miles in southwest quadrant. FORECAST Within 60 nautical miles of the centre, extending to 90 nautical miles in southwest quadrant: Clockwise winds 30/45 knots, rough to very rough seas and moderate swell. Winds increasing to 55 knots near the centre by 1800 UTC 6 April. At 0600 UTC 06 April: Within 60 nautical miles of 18.4 South 114.9 East Central pressure 982 hPa. Winds to 45 knots near centre. At 1800 UTC 06 April: Within 80 nautical miles of 19.2 South 114.3 East Central pressure 970 hPa. Winds to 55 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0100 UTC 06 April 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU05 APRF 051855 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:17S116E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1847UTC 5 APRIL 2006 STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1800 UTC Tropical Cyclone Hubert located within 40 nautical miles of Latitude seventeen decimal four degrees South [17.4S] Longitude one hundred and fifteen decimal eight degrees East [115.8E] Recent movement : south southwest at 7 knots. Maximum winds : 35 knots. Central pressure: 988hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 60 nautical miles of the centre, extending to 90 nautical miles in southwest quadrant. FORECAST Within 60 nautical miles of the centre, extending to 90 nautical miles in southwest quadrant: Clockwise winds 30/45 knots, rough to very rough seas and moderate swell. Winds increasing to 55 knots near the centre by 1800 UTC 6 April. At 0600 UTC 06 April: Within 60 nautical miles of 18.4 South 114.9 East Central pressure 982 hPa. Winds to 45 knots near centre. At 1800 UTC 06 April: Within 80 nautical miles of 19.2 South 114.3 East Central pressure 970 hPa. Winds to 55 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0100 UTC 06 April 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTXS31 PGTW 052100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HUBERT) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z --- NEAR 17.9S 115.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.9S 115.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z --- 18.7S 114.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z --- 19.5S 113.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z --- 20.4S 113.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z --- 21.5S 112.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 23.6S 111.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 052100Z POSITION NEAR 18.1S 115.2E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21S (HUBERT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWEST- WARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TS 21S IS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER AUSTRALIA. THE STORM SHOULD INTENSIFY IN THE NEAR TERM AS IT BENEFITS FROM A LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. AS TS 21S MOVES SOUTHWESTWARD, VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL IN- CREASE PAST TAU 48, RESULTING IN A WEAKENING TREND AND THE BEGINNING OF EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z, 060900Z, 061500Z AND 062100Z.// ** WTXS31 PGTW 052100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HUBERT) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z --- NEAR 17.9S 115.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.9S 115.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z --- 18.7S 114.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z --- 19.5S 113.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z --- 20.4S 113.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z --- 21.5S 112.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 23.6S 111.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 052100Z POSITION NEAR 18.1S 115.2E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 21S (HUBERT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWEST- WARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 21S IS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER AUSTRALIA. THE STORM SHOULD INTENSIFY IN THE NEAR TERM AS IT BENEFITS FROM A LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. AS TC 21S MOVES SOUTHWESTWARD, VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL IN- CREASE PAST TAU 48, RESULTING IN A WEAKENING TREND AND THE BEGINNING OF EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z, 060900Z, 061500Z AND 062100Z.//