** WTAU05 APRF 041848 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:16S115E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1802UTC 4 APRIL 2006 GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1800UTC tropical low located within 30 nautical miles of Latitude fourteen decimal six degrees South [14.6S] Longitude one hundred and fifteen decimal three degrees East [115.3E] Recent movement : slowly south. Maximum winds : 30 knots. Central pressure: 998hPa. Note: The low is expected to move erratically over the next 12 to 24 hours and then begin moving south or southwestwards once it has developed further. AREA AFFECTED Within 60 nautical miles of the centre extending to within 100 nautical miles in western quadrants. FORECAST Low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 18 to 24 hours causing clockwise winds 30/40 knots, rough to very rough seas and moderate swell. At 0600 UTC 05 April: Within 50 nautical miles of 15.4 South 115.2 East Central pressure 994 hPa. Winds to 30 knots near centre. At 1800 UTC 05 April: Within 80 nautical miles of 16.4 South 114.9 East Central pressure 988 hPa. Winds to 40 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0100 UTC 05 April 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU05 APRF 041848 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:16S115E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1802UTC 4 APRIL 2006 GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1800UTC tropical low located within 30 nautical miles of Latitude fourteen decimal six degrees South [14.6S] Longitude one hundred and fifteen decimal three degrees East [115.3E] Recent movement : slowly south. Maximum winds : 30 knots. Central pressure: 998hPa. Note: The low is expected to move erratically over the next 12 to 24 hours and then begin moving south or southwestwards once it has developed further. AREA AFFECTED Within 60 nautical miles of the centre extending to within 100 nautical miles in western quadrants. FORECAST Low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 18 to 24 hours causing clockwise winds 30/40 knots, rough to very rough seas and moderate swell. At 0600 UTC 05 April: Within 50 nautical miles of 15.4 South 115.2 East Central pressure 994 hPa. Winds to 30 knots near centre. At 1800 UTC 05 April: Within 80 nautical miles of 16.4 South 114.9 East Central pressure 988 hPa. Winds to 40 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0100 UTC 05 April 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTXS21 PGTW 042030 *** ALERT ATCF MIL 93X XXX 060404180000 2006040418 -13.6 115.5 -17.7 113.5 130 -14.8 114.9 042030 0604042021 1 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 042021Z APR 06// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 130 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.6S 115.5E TO 17.7S 113.5E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IM AGERY AT 041730Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.8S 114.9E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 052030Z. // SH, 93, 2006040212, , BEST, 0, 159S, 1153E, 15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, SH, 93, 2006040218, , BEST, 0, 159S, 1147E, 15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, SH, 93, 2006040300, , BEST, 0, 158S, 1141E, 15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, SH, 93, 2006040306, , BEST, 0, 156S, 1135E, 15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, SH, 93, 2006040312, , BEST, 0, 153S, 1132E, 15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, SH, 93, 2006040318, , BEST, 0, 149S, 1133E, 15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, SH, 93, 2006040400, , BEST, 0, 142S, 1140E, 20, 1004, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1008, 150, 45, 0, 0, S, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, SH, 93, 2006040406, , BEST, 0, 140S, 1147E, 20, 1002, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1006, 150, 45, 0, 0, S, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, SH, 93, 2006040412, , BEST, 0, 143S, 1152E, 25, 1002, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1006, 150, 45, 0, 0, S, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, SH, 93, 2006040418, , BEST, 0, 148S, 1149E, 30, 1000, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1004, 150, 45, 0, 0, S, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,