** WTIN20 DEMS 040628 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS - RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 04-04-2006 (.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) NO CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN . RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA PASSES THROUGH 10.0 DEG NORTH OVER THE INDIAN REGION (.) ** WTIN20 DEMS 040628 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS - RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 04-04-2006 (.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) NO CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN . RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA PASSES THROUGH 10.0 DEG NORTH OVER THE INDIAN REGION (.) ** WTAU05 APRF 040658 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:16S114E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 0626UTC 4 APRIL 2006 GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 0600UTC tropical low located within 15 nautical miles of Latitude fourteen decimal one degrees South [14.1S] Longitude one hundred and fifteen decimal four degrees East [115.4E] Recent movement : nearly stationary. Maximum winds : 30 knots. Central pressure: 998hPa. Note: recent movement is given as "nearly stationary" because the short term movement of the low is not likely to be indicative of the longer term movement. The low is expected to move erratically over the next 12 to 24 hours and then begin moving southwards once it has developed into a tropical cyclone. AREA AFFECTED Within 70 nautical miles of the centre extending to within 100 nautical miles in western quadrants. FORECAST Low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 18 to 24 hours causing clockwise winds 30/40 knots, rough to very rough seas and moderate swell. At 1800 UTC 04 April: Within 50 nautical miles of 15.0 South 115.0 East Central pressure 994 hPa. Winds to 30 knots near centre. At 0600 UTC 05 April: Within 90 nautical miles of 16.0 South 115.5 East Central pressure 988 hPa. Winds to 40 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1300 UTC 04 April 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU05 APRF 040658 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:16S114E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 0626UTC 4 APRIL 2006 GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 0600UTC tropical low located within 15 nautical miles of Latitude fourteen decimal one degrees South [14.1S] Longitude one hundred and fifteen decimal four degrees East [115.4E] Recent movement : nearly stationary. Maximum winds : 30 knots. Central pressure: 998hPa. Note: recent movement is given as "nearly stationary" because the short term movement of the low is not likely to be indicative of the longer term movement. The low is expected to move erratically over the next 12 to 24 hours and then begin moving southwards once it has developed into a tropical cyclone. AREA AFFECTED Within 70 nautical miles of the centre extending to within 100 nautical miles in western quadrants. FORECAST Low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 18 to 24 hours causing clockwise winds 30/40 knots, rough to very rough seas and moderate swell. At 1800 UTC 04 April: Within 50 nautical miles of 15.0 South 115.0 East Central pressure 994 hPa. Winds to 30 knots near centre. At 0600 UTC 05 April: Within 90 nautical miles of 16.0 South 115.5 East Central pressure 988 hPa. Winds to 40 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1300 UTC 04 April 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTIN20 DEMS 040628 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS - RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 04-04-2006 (.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) NO CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN . RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA PASSES THROUGH 10.0 DEG NORTH OVER THE INDIAN REGION (.) ** WTIN20 DEMS 040628 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS - RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 04-04-2006 (.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) NO CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN . RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA PASSES THROUGH 10.0 DEG NORTH OVER THE INDIAN REGION (.)