** WTAU06 APRF 300645 *** IDW23200 40:3:2:24:20S116E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 0644UTC 30 MARCH 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 0600UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Glenda located within 15 nautical miles of Latitude twenty decimal seven degrees South [20.7S] Longitude one hundred and fifteen decimal eight degrees East [115.8E] Recent movement : south southwest at 13 knots. Maximum winds : 95 knots. Central pressure : 930hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 120 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Sustained winds near the centre to 95 knots, easing from 1200UTC 30 March 2006 as the system moves inland. Within 30 nautical miles of centre, clockwise winds above 64 knots, phenomenal seas and heavy swell. Within 60 nautical miles of centre, clockwise winds above 48 knots, very high seas and heavy swell. Within 120 nautical miles of centre, winds above 33 knots with very rough seas and heavy swell. At 1800UTC 30 March: Inland within 40 nautical miles of 22.9 South 114.9 East Central pressure 962hPa. Winds to 70 knots near centre. At 0600UTC 31 March: Within 60 nautical miles of 25.3 South 114.4 East Central pressure 984hPa. Winds to 45 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1300UTC 30 March 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU06 APRF 300645 *** IDW23200 40:3:2:24:20S116E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 0644UTC 30 MARCH 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 0600UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Glenda located within 15 nautical miles of Latitude twenty decimal seven degrees South [20.7S] Longitude one hundred and fifteen decimal eight degrees East [115.8E] Recent movement : south southwest at 13 knots. Maximum winds : 95 knots. Central pressure : 930hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 120 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Sustained winds near the centre to 95 knots, easing from 1200UTC 30 March 2006 as the system moves inland. Within 30 nautical miles of centre, clockwise winds above 64 knots, phenomenal seas and heavy swell. Within 60 nautical miles of centre, clockwise winds above 48 knots, very high seas and heavy swell. Within 120 nautical miles of centre, winds above 33 knots with very rough seas and heavy swell. At 1800UTC 30 March: Inland within 40 nautical miles of 22.9 South 114.9 East Central pressure 962hPa. Winds to 70 knots near centre. At 0600UTC 31 March: Within 60 nautical miles of 25.3 South 114.4 East Central pressure 984hPa. Winds to 45 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1300UTC 30 March 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTIN20 DEMS 300600 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 30-03-2006 AAA TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA)VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC(.) CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER NORTH ANDAMAN SEA(.) RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA PASSES THROUGH 11.0 DEG NORTH OVER THE INDIAN REGION(.) ** WTXS31 PGTW 300900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GLENDA) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z --- NEAR 20.9S 115.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.9S 115.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 23.3S 114.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z --- 25.4S 114.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 300900Z POSITION NEAR 21.5S 115.5E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 20S (GLENDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 25 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BARROW ISLAND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. GIVEN THE 300600Z POSITION AND MOVEMENT, EXPECT LANDFALL TO OCCUR APPROXIMATELY 25NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MARDIE, AUSTRALIA, NEAR 300830Z. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY AND DISSIPATE OVER LAND AS THE REMAINS OF THE SYSTEM TRACK AROUND THE AXIS OF THE MIDLEVEL STEERING RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z, 302100Z AND 310300Z.//