** WTSR20 WSSS 280600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTAU06 APRF 281321 *** IDW23200 40:3:2:24:17S120E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1317UTC 28 MARCH 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 120UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Glenda located within 15 nautical miles of Latitude sixteen decimal seven degrees South [16.7S] Longitude one hundred and twenty one decimal four degrees East [120.4E] Recent movement : Southwest at 10 knots. Maximum winds : 115 knots. Central pressure : 915hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 60 nautical miles of the centre, extending to within 80 nautical miles of the centre by 1200UTC 29 March. FORECAST Sustained winds near the centre to 120 knots. Within 20 nautical miles of centre, clockwise winds above 64 knots, phenomenal seas and heavy swell. Within 30 nautical miles of centre, clockwise winds above 48 knots, very high seas and heavy swell. Within 60 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 80 nautical miles of the centre by 1200UTC 29 March, winds above 35 knots with very rough seas and heavy swell. At 0000UTC 29 March: Within 35 nautical miles of 17.9 South 118.9 East Central pressure 905hPa. Winds to 120 knots near centre. At 1200UTC 29 March: Within 60 nautical miles of 18.9 South 117.4 East Central pressure 905hPa. Winds to 120 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1900UTC 28 March 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU06 APRF 281321 *** IDW23200 40:3:2:24:17S120E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1317UTC 28 MARCH 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 120UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Glenda located within 15 nautical miles of Latitude sixteen decimal seven degrees South [16.7S] Longitude one hundred and twenty one decimal four degrees East [120.4E] Recent movement : Southwest at 10 knots. Maximum winds : 115 knots. Central pressure : 915hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 60 nautical miles of the centre, extending to within 80 nautical miles of the centre by 1200UTC 29 March. FORECAST Sustained winds near the centre to 120 knots. Within 20 nautical miles of centre, clockwise winds above 64 knots, phenomenal seas and heavy swell. Within 30 nautical miles of centre, clockwise winds above 48 knots, very high seas and heavy swell. Within 60 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 80 nautical miles of the centre by 1200UTC 29 March, winds above 35 knots with very rough seas and heavy swell. At 0000UTC 29 March: Within 35 nautical miles of 17.9 South 118.9 East Central pressure 905hPa. Winds to 120 knots near centre. At 1200UTC 29 March: Within 60 nautical miles of 18.9 South 117.4 East Central pressure 905hPa. Winds to 120 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1900UTC 28 March 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU06 APRF 281343 *** IDW23200 40:3:2:24:17S120E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1342UTC 28 MARCH 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1200UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Glenda located within 15 nautical miles of Latitude sixteen decimal seven degrees South [16.7S] Longitude one hundred and twenty decimal four degrees East [120.4E] Recent movement : Southwest at 10 knots. Maximum winds : 115 knots. Central pressure : 910hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 60 nautical miles of the centre, extending to within 80 nautical miles of the centre by 1200UTC 29 March. FORECAST Sustained winds near the centre to 120 knots. Within 20 nautical miles of centre, clockwise winds above 64 knots, phenomenal seas and heavy swell. Within 30 nautical miles of centre, clockwise winds above 48 knots, very high seas and heavy swell. Within 60 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 80 nautical miles of the centre by 1200UTC 29 March, winds above 35 knots with very rough seas and heavy swell. At 0000UTC 29 March: Within 35 nautical miles of 17.9 South 118.9 East Central pressure 905hPa. Winds to 120 knots near centre. At 1200UTC 29 March: Within 60 nautical miles of 18.9 South 117.4 East Central pressure 905hPa. Winds to 120 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1900UTC 28 March 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU06 APRF 281343 *** IDW23200 40:3:2:24:17S120E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1342UTC 28 MARCH 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1200UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Glenda located within 15 nautical miles of Latitude sixteen decimal seven degrees South [16.7S] Longitude one hundred and twenty decimal four degrees East [120.4E] Recent movement : Southwest at 10 knots. Maximum winds : 115 knots. Central pressure : 910hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 60 nautical miles of the centre, extending to within 80 nautical miles of the centre by 1200UTC 29 March. FORECAST Sustained winds near the centre to 120 knots. Within 20 nautical miles of centre, clockwise winds above 64 knots, phenomenal seas and heavy swell. Within 30 nautical miles of centre, clockwise winds above 48 knots, very high seas and heavy swell. Within 60 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 80 nautical miles of the centre by 1200UTC 29 March, winds above 35 knots with very rough seas and heavy swell. At 0000UTC 29 March: Within 35 nautical miles of 17.9 South 118.9 East Central pressure 905hPa. Winds to 120 knots near centre. At 1200UTC 29 March: Within 60 nautical miles of 18.9 South 117.4 East Central pressure 905hPa. Winds to 120 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1900UTC 28 March 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTXS31 PGTW 281500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GLENDA) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z --- NEAR 16.8S 120.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.8S 120.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z --- 17.9S 118.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z --- 19.0S 117.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z --- 20.2S 116.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 21.5S 115.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 25.6S 115.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 281500Z POSITION NEAR 17.1S 120.0E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 20S (GLENDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 235 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH- WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. TC 20S CONTINUES TO TRACK TOWARDS A WEAKNESS CREATED IN THE STEERING RIDGE BY A TRANSIENT MIDLATITUDE TROUGH OFF THE WEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA. THE SYSTEM WILL REACH MAX INTENSITY NEAR TAU 24 IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OVER 30 DEGREES CELSIUS WITH AN ENHANCED POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL ASSOCIATED WITH A SUBTROPICAL JET. AS TC 20S TRACKS CLOSER TO THE JET, INCREASING VERTICAL WIND WILL WEAKEN THE SYSTEM UNTIL LANDFALL IS MADE NEAR TAU 48. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 40 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z, 290300Z, 290900Z AND 291500Z.//