** WTSR20 WSSS 271800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTAU06 APRF 280103 *** IDW23200 40:3:2:24:15S123E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 0059UTC 28 MARCH 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 0000UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Glenda located within 20 nautical miles of Latitude fifteen decimal six degrees South [15.6S] Longitude one hundred and twenty one decimal six degrees East [121.6E] Recent movement : West southwest at 6 knots. Maximum winds : 80 knots. Central pressure : 955hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 75 nautical miles of the centre, extending to within 90 nautical miles of the centre by 0000UTC 29 March. FORECAST Sustained winds near the centre to 80 knots, increasing to 105 knots by 0000UTC 29 March. Within 15 nautical miles of centre increasing to within 20nm of centre by 0000UTC 29 March, clockwise winds above 64 knots, phenomenal seas and heavy swell. Within 30 nautical miles of centre increasing to within 40nm of centre by 0000UTC 29 March, clockwise winds above 48 knots, very high seas and heavy swell. Within 75 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 90 nautical miles of the centre by 0000UTC 29 March, winds above 35 knots with very rough seas and heavy swell. At 1200UTC 28 March: Within 40 nautical miles of 16.2 South 120.3 East Central pressure 935hPa. Winds to 90 knots near centre. At 0000UTC 29 March: Within 60 nautical miles of 17.0 South 118.8 East Central pressure 915hPa. Winds to 105 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0700UTC 28 March 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU06 APRF 280103 *** IDW23200 40:3:2:24:15S123E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 0059UTC 28 MARCH 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 0000UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Glenda located within 20 nautical miles of Latitude fifteen decimal six degrees South [15.6S] Longitude one hundred and twenty one decimal six degrees East [121.6E] Recent movement : West southwest at 6 knots. Maximum winds : 80 knots. Central pressure : 955hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 75 nautical miles of the centre, extending to within 90 nautical miles of the centre by 0000UTC 29 March. FORECAST Sustained winds near the centre to 80 knots, increasing to 105 knots by 0000UTC 29 March. Within 15 nautical miles of centre increasing to within 20nm of centre by 0000UTC 29 March, clockwise winds above 64 knots, phenomenal seas and heavy swell. Within 30 nautical miles of centre increasing to within 40nm of centre by 0000UTC 29 March, clockwise winds above 48 knots, very high seas and heavy swell. Within 75 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 90 nautical miles of the centre by 0000UTC 29 March, winds above 35 knots with very rough seas and heavy swell. At 1200UTC 28 March: Within 40 nautical miles of 16.2 South 120.3 East Central pressure 935hPa. Winds to 90 knots near centre. At 0000UTC 29 March: Within 60 nautical miles of 17.0 South 118.8 East Central pressure 915hPa. Winds to 105 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0700UTC 28 March 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTXS31 PGTW 280300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GLENDA) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z --- NEAR 15.6S 121.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S 121.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z --- 16.0S 120.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z --- 16.9S 119.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z --- 17.9S 117.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z --- 19.1S 116.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z --- 22.0S 114.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 280300Z POSITION NEAR 15.7S 121.3E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 20S (GLENDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 115 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAMPI SOUND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. TC 20S IS TRACKING ON THE NORTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A STEERING RIDGE OVER AUSTRALIA. THE SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED AND DEVELOPED A BANDING EYE IN MICROWAVE IMAGERY. INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS TC 20S IS LOCATED IN A FAVORABLE AREA FOR DEVELOPMENT, WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z, 281500Z, 282100Z AND 290300Z.//