** WTAU06 APRF 271841 *** IDW23200 40:3:2:24:15S123E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1840UTC 27 MARCH 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1800UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Glenda located within 20 nautical miles of Latitude fifteen decimal six degrees South [15.6S] Longitude one hundred and twenty two decimal two degrees East [122.2E] Recent movement : West southwest at 8 knots. Maximum winds : 70 knots. Central pressure : 965hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 60 nautical miles of the centre, extending to within 80 nautical miles of the centre by 1800UTC 28 March. FORECAST Sustained winds near the centre to 70 knots, increasing to 100 knots by 1800UTC 28 March. Within 20 nautical miles of centre increasing to within 30nm of centre by 1800UTC 28 March, clockwise winds above 48 knots, high seas and moderate increasing swell. Within 60 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 80 nautical miles of the centre by 1800UTC 28 March, winds above 35 knots with very rough seas and heavy swell. At 0600UTC 28 March: Within 40 nautical miles of 16.4 South 120.5 East Central pressure 945hPa. Winds to 85 knots near centre. At 1800UTC 28 March: Within 70 nautical miles of 16.9 South 119.0 East Central pressure 930hPa. Winds to 100 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0100UTC 28 March 2006 WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU06 APRF 271841 *** IDW23200 40:3:2:24:15S123E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1840UTC 27 MARCH 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1800UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Glenda located within 20 nautical miles of Latitude fifteen decimal six degrees South [15.6S] Longitude one hundred and twenty two decimal two degrees East [122.2E] Recent movement : West southwest at 8 knots. Maximum winds : 70 knots. Central pressure : 965hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 60 nautical miles of the centre, extending to within 80 nautical miles of the centre by 1800UTC 28 March. FORECAST Sustained winds near the centre to 70 knots, increasing to 100 knots by 1800UTC 28 March. Within 20 nautical miles of centre increasing to within 30nm of centre by 1800UTC 28 March, clockwise winds above 48 knots, high seas and moderate increasing swell. Within 60 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 80 nautical miles of the centre by 1800UTC 28 March, winds above 35 knots with very rough seas and heavy swell. At 0600UTC 28 March: Within 40 nautical miles of 16.4 South 120.5 East Central pressure 945hPa. Winds to 85 knots near centre. At 1800UTC 28 March: Within 70 nautical miles of 16.9 South 119.0 East Central pressure 930hPa. Winds to 100 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0100UTC 28 March 2006 WEATHER PERTH ** WTXS31 PGTW 272100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/271351Z MAR 06// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GLENDA) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z --- NEAR 15.6S 122.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S 122.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z --- 16.1S 120.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z --- 16.8S 119.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z --- 17.6S 118.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z --- 18.8S 117.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 21.5S 115.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 272100Z POSITION NEAR 15.7S 121.9E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 20S (GLENDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 90 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAMPI SOUND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. TC 20S IS TRACKING ON THE NORTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A STEERING RIDGE OVER AUSTRALIA. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED IN A FAVORABLE AREA FOR DEVELOPMENT, WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SIG- NIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z, 280900Z, 281500Z AND 282100Z.//