** WTSR20 WSSS 270600 ***
NO STORM WARNING=




** WTAU06 APRF 271312 ***
IDW23200
40:3:2:24:15S123E999:11:00
PANPAN

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 1301UTC 27 MARCH 2006
 
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 1200UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Glenda located within 20 nautical miles of
Latitude fifteen decimal four degrees South [15.4S]
Longitude one hundred and twenty three decimal zero degrees East [123.0E]
Recent movement  : West southwest at 5 knots.
Maximum winds    : 65 knots.
Central pressure : 970hPa.


AREA AFFECTED
Within 50 nautical miles of the centre, extending to within 80 nautical miles of
the centre by 1200UTC 28 March. 


FORECAST
Sustained winds near the centre to 65 knots, increasing to 90 knots by 1200UTC
28 March.
Within 20 nautical miles of centre increasing to within 25nm of centre by
0600UTC 28 March, clockwise winds above 48 knots, high seas and moderate
increasing swell.
Within 50 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 80 nautical miles of the
centre by 1200UTC 28 March, winds above 35 knots with very rough seas and
moderate increasing swell.
                                                                                
                                                                  
At 0000UTC 28 March: Within 45 nautical miles of 15.8 South 121.7 East
                     Central pressure 950hPa.
                     Winds to 80 knots near centre.
At 1200UTC 28 March: Within 70 nautical miles of 16.7 South 120.5 East
                     Central pressure 940hPa.
                     Winds to 90 knots near centre.

Next warning issued by 1900UTC 27 March 2006

WEATHER PERTH




** WTAU06 APRF 271312 ***
IDW23200

40:3:2:24:15S123E999:11:00

PANPAN



HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE

AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

CENTRE PERTH AT 1301UTC 27 MARCH 2006

 

HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA



Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the

averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.



SITUATION

At 1200UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Glenda located within 20 nautical miles of

Latitude fifteen decimal four degrees South [15.4S]

Longitude one hundred and twenty three decimal zero degrees East [123.0E]

Recent movement  : West southwest at 5 knots.

Maximum winds    : 65 knots.

Central pressure : 970hPa.





AREA AFFECTED

Within 50 nautical miles of the centre, extending to within 80 nautical miles of

the centre by 1200UTC 28 March. 





FORECAST

Sustained winds near the centre to 65 knots, increasing to 90 knots by 1200UTC

28 March.

Within 20 nautical miles of centre increasing to within 25nm of centre by

0600UTC 28 March, clockwise winds above 48 knots, high seas and moderate

increasing swell.

Within 50 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 80 nautical miles of the

centre by 1200UTC 28 March, winds above 35 knots with very rough seas and

moderate increasing swell.

                                                                                

                                                                  

At 0000UTC 28 March: Within 45 nautical miles of 15.8 South 121.7 East

                     Central pressure 950hPa.

                     Winds to 80 knots near centre.

At 1200UTC 28 March: Within 70 nautical miles of 16.7 South 120.5 East

                     Central pressure 940hPa.

                     Winds to 90 knots near centre.



Next warning issued by 1900UTC 27 March 2006



WEATHER PERTH




** WTXS21 PGTW 271400 ***
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 271351Z MAR 06//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A
300 NM RADIUS OF 17.3S 103.8E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAIL-
ABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE
WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 TO 35
KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 271200Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER
IS LOCATED NEAR 17.4S 103.7E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD
AT 12 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5S
101.9E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.4S 103.7E, APPROXIMATELY 650 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA. RECENT ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED
WITH LOW LEVEL CLOUD BANDS SPIRALING TOWARDS THE CENTER. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS INDICATES DECENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND A LOW TO MODERATE
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 30 TO 35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
281400Z.//