** WTAU06 APRF 261910 *** IDW23200 40:0:1:24:12S102E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1902UTC 26 MARCH 2006 GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1800UTC developing tropical low located within 20 nautical miles of Latitude fifteen decimal one degrees South [15.1S] Longitude one hundred and twenty four decimal seven degrees East [124.7E] Recent movement : West at 4 knots. Maximum winds : 30 knots. Central pressure : 996hPa. The low is expected to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 6 hours. AREA AFFECTED Within 60 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Sustained winds near the centre increasing to 35 knots by 2200UTC 26 March and 60 knots by 1800UTC 27 March. Within 25 nautical miles of centre winds above 48 knots by 0900UTC 27 March with high seas and moderate increasing swell. Within 60 nautical miles of centre winds above 35 knots by 2200UTC 26 March with very rough seas and moderate increasing swell. At 0600UTC 27 March: Within 40 nautical miles of 15.3 South 123.7 East Central pressure 980hPa. Winds to 45 knots near centre. At 1800UTC 27 March: Within 60 nautical miles of 15.6 South 122.6 East Central pressure 970hPa. Winds to 60 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0100UTC 26 March 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU06 APRF 261910 *** IDW23200 40:0:1:24:12S102E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1902UTC 26 MARCH 2006 GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1800UTC developing tropical low located within 20 nautical miles of Latitude fifteen decimal one degrees South [15.1S] Longitude one hundred and twenty four decimal seven degrees East [124.7E] Recent movement : West at 4 knots. Maximum winds : 30 knots. Central pressure : 996hPa. The low is expected to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 6 hours. AREA AFFECTED Within 60 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Sustained winds near the centre increasing to 35 knots by 2200UTC 26 March and 60 knots by 1800UTC 27 March. Within 25 nautical miles of centre winds above 48 knots by 0900UTC 27 March with high seas and moderate increasing swell. Within 60 nautical miles of centre winds above 35 knots by 2200UTC 26 March with very rough seas and moderate increasing swell. At 0600UTC 27 March: Within 40 nautical miles of 15.3 South 123.7 East Central pressure 980hPa. Winds to 45 knots near centre. At 1800UTC 27 March: Within 60 nautical miles of 15.6 South 122.6 East Central pressure 970hPa. Winds to 60 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0100UTC 26 March 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU06 APRF 261914 *** IDW23200 40:0:1:24:12S102E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1913UTC 26 MARCH 2006 GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1800UTC developing tropical low located within 20 nautical miles of Latitude fifteen decimal one degrees South [15.1S] Longitude one hundred and twenty four decimal seven degrees East [124.7E] Recent movement : West at 4 knots. Maximum winds : 30 knots. Central pressure : 996hPa. The low is expected to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 6 hours. AREA AFFECTED Within 60 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Sustained winds near the centre increasing to 35 knots by 2200UTC 26 March and 60 knots by 1800UTC 27 March. Within 25 nautical miles of centre winds above 48 knots by 0900UTC 27 March with high seas and moderate increasing swell. Within 60 nautical miles of centre winds above 35 knots by 2200UTC 26 March with very rough seas and moderate increasing swell. At 0600UTC 27 March: Within 40 nautical miles of 15.3 South 123.7 East Central pressure 980hPa. Winds to 45 knots near centre. At 1800UTC 27 March: Within 60 nautical miles of 15.6 South 122.6 East Central pressure 970hPa. Winds to 60 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0100UTC 27 March 2006 [corrected] WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU06 APRF 261914 *** IDW23200 40:0:1:24:12S102E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1913UTC 26 MARCH 2006 GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1800UTC developing tropical low located within 20 nautical miles of Latitude fifteen decimal one degrees South [15.1S] Longitude one hundred and twenty four decimal seven degrees East [124.7E] Recent movement : West at 4 knots. Maximum winds : 30 knots. Central pressure : 996hPa. The low is expected to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 6 hours. AREA AFFECTED Within 60 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Sustained winds near the centre increasing to 35 knots by 2200UTC 26 March and 60 knots by 1800UTC 27 March. Within 25 nautical miles of centre winds above 48 knots by 0900UTC 27 March with high seas and moderate increasing swell. Within 60 nautical miles of centre winds above 35 knots by 2200UTC 26 March with very rough seas and moderate increasing swell. At 0600UTC 27 March: Within 40 nautical miles of 15.3 South 123.7 East Central pressure 980hPa. Winds to 45 knots near centre. At 1800UTC 27 March: Within 60 nautical miles of 15.6 South 122.6 East Central pressure 970hPa. Winds to 60 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0100UTC 27 March 2006 [corrected] WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU07 APRF 261928 *** IDW23300 40:0:1:24:12S102E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1926UTC 26 MARCH 2006 GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1800UTC developing tropical low located within 30 nautical miles of Latitude thirteen decimal three degrees South [13.3S] Longitude one hundred and one decimal nine degrees East [101.9E] Recent movement : South at 4 knots. Maximum winds : 30 knots. Central pressure : 998hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 90 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 18 to 24 hours causing clockwise winds 30/40 knots, rough to very rough seas and moderate swell. At 0600UTC 27 March: Within 60 nautical miles of 14.3 South 101.7 East Central pressure 994hPa. Winds to 30 knots near centre. At 1800UTC 27 March: Within 80 nautical miles of 14.7 South 101.5 East Central pressure 990hPa. Winds to 40 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0200UTC 27 March 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU07 APRF 261928 *** IDW23300 40:0:1:24:12S102E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1926UTC 26 MARCH 2006 GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1800UTC developing tropical low located within 30 nautical miles of Latitude thirteen decimal three degrees South [13.3S] Longitude one hundred and one decimal nine degrees East [101.9E] Recent movement : South at 4 knots. Maximum winds : 30 knots. Central pressure : 998hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 90 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 18 to 24 hours causing clockwise winds 30/40 knots, rough to very rough seas and moderate swell. At 0600UTC 27 March: Within 60 nautical miles of 14.3 South 101.7 East Central pressure 994hPa. Winds to 30 knots near centre. At 1800UTC 27 March: Within 80 nautical miles of 14.7 South 101.5 East Central pressure 990hPa. Winds to 40 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0200UTC 27 March 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU05 APRF 261939 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:20S113E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1934UTC 26 MARCH 2006 GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1800UTC Tropical Cyclone Floyd located within 20 nautical miles of Latitude twenty decimal two South [20.2S] Longitude one hundred and twelve decimal six East [112.6E] Recent movement : south at 4 knots. Maximum winds : 45 knots. Central pressure : 985 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 60 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Sustained winds to 45 knots near centre decreasing to 30 knots by 27/1200UTC. Very rough seas and moderate to heavy swell. At 0600UTC 27 March: 21.0 south 112.4 east Central pressure 990 hPa. Winds to 35 knots near centre. At 1800UTC 27 March: 21.3 south 112.1 east Central pressure 996 hPa. Winds to 25 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0100 UTC 27 March 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU05 APRF 261939 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:20S113E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1934UTC 26 MARCH 2006 GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1800UTC Tropical Cyclone Floyd located within 20 nautical miles of Latitude twenty decimal two South [20.2S] Longitude one hundred and twelve decimal six East [112.6E] Recent movement : south at 4 knots. Maximum winds : 45 knots. Central pressure : 985 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 60 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Sustained winds to 45 knots near centre decreasing to 30 knots by 27/1200UTC. Very rough seas and moderate to heavy swell. At 0600UTC 27 March: 21.0 south 112.4 east Central pressure 990 hPa. Winds to 35 knots near centre. At 1800UTC 27 March: 21.3 south 112.1 east Central pressure 996 hPa. Winds to 25 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0100 UTC 27 March 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTXS31 PGTW 262100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (FLOYD) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z --- NEAR 20.1S 112.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.1S 112.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z --- 20.5S 113.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 262100Z POSITION NEAR 20.2S 112.9E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S (FLOYD), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 145 NM NORTH- NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY AND A 261628Z TRMM PASS REVEAL THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS DEVOID OF CONVECTION. THE LLCC IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN A REGION OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND SUBSIDENCE ALOFT. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 15 FEET.// ** WTXS21 PGTW 262130 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT/252251ZMAR2006// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/252251Z MAR 06// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 252300)// RMKS/ SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 262121Z MAR 06// 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 115 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15.2S 124.8E TO 16.0S 121.0E WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 TO 35 KNOTS. METSAT IM AGERY AT 261800Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.3S 124.5E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.2S 124.8E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.3S 124.5E, APPROX- IMATELY 210 NM WEST OF WYNDHAM, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY REVEALS INCREASED DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUING TO WRAP INWARD TOWARD A WELL-DEVELOPED, COASTAL LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), WHICH CONTINUES TO DRIFT SLOWLY WESTWARD. RECENT SATELLITE POSITION ESTI- MATES PLACE THIS CIRCULATION ON THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR KURI BAY. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW AND THE POSSIBLE FORMATION OF EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNELS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 TO 35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. GIVEN THE IMPROVING CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE AND PROXIMITY TO THE COAST, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 272130Z.// ** WTAU05 APRF 262349 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:20S112E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 2345UTC 26 MARCH 2006 GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 0000UTC Tropical Cyclone Floyd located within 20 nautical miles of Latitude twenty decimal six South [20.6S] Longitude one hundred and eleven decimal eight East [111.8E] Recent movement : south southwest at 6 knots. Maximum winds : 40 knots. Central pressure : 986 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 30 nautical miles in northern quadrants increasing to 70 nautical miles in southern quadrants. FORECAST Sustained winds to 40 knots near the centre decreasing to below 34 knots by 27/1200UTC. Very rough seas and moderate swell, easing. At 1200UTC 27 March: 21.9 south 111.7 east Central pressure 994 hPa. Winds to 30 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0700 UTC 27 March 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU05 APRF 262349 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:20S112E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 2345UTC 26 MARCH 2006 GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 0000UTC Tropical Cyclone Floyd located within 20 nautical miles of Latitude twenty decimal six South [20.6S] Longitude one hundred and eleven decimal eight East [111.8E] Recent movement : south southwest at 6 knots. Maximum winds : 40 knots. Central pressure : 986 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 30 nautical miles in northern quadrants increasing to 70 nautical miles in southern quadrants. FORECAST Sustained winds to 40 knots near the centre decreasing to below 34 knots by 27/1200UTC. Very rough seas and moderate swell, easing. At 1200UTC 27 March: 21.9 south 111.7 east Central pressure 994 hPa. Winds to 30 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0700 UTC 27 March 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU05 APRF 262349 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:20S112E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 2345UTC 26 MARCH 2006 GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 0000UTC Tropical Cyclone Floyd located within 20 nautical miles of Latitude twenty decimal six South [20.6S] Longitude one hundred and eleven decimal eight East [111.8E] Recent movement : south southwest at 6 knots. Maximum winds : 40 knots. Central pressure : 986 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 30 nautical miles in northern quadrants increasing to 70 nautical miles in southern quadrants. FORECAST Sustained winds to 40 knots near the centre decreasing to below 34 knots by 27/1200UTC. Very rough seas and moderate swell, easing. At 1200UTC 27 March: 21.9 south 111.7 east Central pressure 994 hPa. Winds to 30 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0700 UTC 27 March 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU05 APRF 262349 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:20S112E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 2345UTC 26 MARCH 2006 GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 0000UTC Tropical Cyclone Floyd located within 20 nautical miles of Latitude twenty decimal six South [20.6S] Longitude one hundred and eleven decimal eight East [111.8E] Recent movement : south southwest at 6 knots. Maximum winds : 40 knots. Central pressure : 986 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 30 nautical miles in northern quadrants increasing to 70 nautical miles in southern quadrants. FORECAST Sustained winds to 40 knots near the centre decreasing to below 34 knots by 27/1200UTC. Very rough seas and moderate swell, easing. At 1200UTC 27 March: 21.9 south 111.7 east Central pressure 994 hPa. Winds to 30 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0700 UTC 27 March 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU05 APRF 262349 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:20S112E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 2345UTC 26 MARCH 2006 GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 0000UTC Tropical Cyclone Floyd located within 20 nautical miles of Latitude twenty decimal six South [20.6S] Longitude one hundred and eleven decimal eight East [111.8E] Recent movement : south southwest at 6 knots. Maximum winds : 40 knots. Central pressure : 986 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 30 nautical miles in northern quadrants increasing to 70 nautical miles in southern quadrants. FORECAST Sustained winds to 40 knots near the centre decreasing to below 34 knots by 27/1200UTC. Very rough seas and moderate swell, easing. At 1200UTC 27 March: 21.9 south 111.7 east Central pressure 994 hPa. Winds to 30 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0700 UTC 27 March 2006. WEATHER PERTH