** WTSR20 WSSS 250600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTAU05 APRF 251304 *** IDW23100 40:3:2:24:19S111E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1258UTC 25 MARCH 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1200UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Floyd located within 20 nautical miles of Latitude eighteen decimal eight South [18.8S] Longitude one hundred and eleven decimal one East [111.1E] Recent movement : Southeast at 10 knots. Maximum winds : 80 knots. Central pressure : 955 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 90 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Sustained winds to 80 knots near the centre, weakening to 50 knots by 1200UTC 26 March. Within 20 nautical miles of centre: winds above 64 knots until 0000UTC 26 March with very high to phenomenal seas and moderate to heavy swell. Within 35 nautical miles of centre: winds above 48 knots with high seas and moderate to heavy swell. Within 80 nautical miles of centre: winds above 34 knots with very rough seas and moderate to heavy swell. At 0000UTC 26 March: 19.8 south 112.1 east Central pressure 965 hPa Winds to 65 knots near centre. At 1200UTC 26 March: 20.9 south 112.6 east Central pressure 980 hPa Winds to 50 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1900UTC 25 March 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU05 APRF 251304 *** IDW23100 40:3:2:24:19S111E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1258UTC 25 MARCH 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1200UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Floyd located within 20 nautical miles of Latitude eighteen decimal eight South [18.8S] Longitude one hundred and eleven decimal one East [111.1E] Recent movement : Southeast at 10 knots. Maximum winds : 80 knots. Central pressure : 955 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 90 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Sustained winds to 80 knots near the centre, weakening to 50 knots by 1200UTC 26 March. Within 20 nautical miles of centre: winds above 64 knots until 0000UTC 26 March with very high to phenomenal seas and moderate to heavy swell. Within 35 nautical miles of centre: winds above 48 knots with high seas and moderate to heavy swell. Within 80 nautical miles of centre: winds above 34 knots with very rough seas and moderate to heavy swell. At 0000UTC 26 March: 19.8 south 112.1 east Central pressure 965 hPa Winds to 65 knots near centre. At 1200UTC 26 March: 20.9 south 112.6 east Central pressure 980 hPa Winds to 50 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1900UTC 25 March 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTXS31 PGTW 251500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (FLOYD) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z --- NEAR 18.8S 110.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.8S 110.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z --- 19.8S 111.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z --- 21.1S 112.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z --- 22.5S 112.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z --- 23.9S 113.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z --- 26.0S 114.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 251500Z POSITION NEAR 19.1S 111.0E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S (FLOYD), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 275 NM NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. TC 19S WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK TOWARD A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL STEERING RIDGE CAUSED BY A TRANSIENT MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. TC 19S WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS POLEWARD INTO AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 33 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z, 260300Z, 260900Z AND 261500Z.//