** WTSR20 WSSS 240600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTAU01 ABRF 241233 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1232 UTC 24 March 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Severe Tropical Cyclone Wati with a central pressure of 960 hectopascals was centred at 1200 UTC near 24 south 160.9 east moving southeast at 16 knots. Position good. AREA AFFECTED Within 80 nm in Northwest quadrant, 200nm in the Northeast Quadrant and 300nm in remaining quadrants. FORECAST Clockwise winds 34/45 knots, increasing to 45/63 knots within 80 nm of the centre, extending 150 nm in the southwest quadrant. Winds reaching 64/75 knots within 30 nm of the centre. Phenomenal seas with heavy swells. Forecast Positions At 25 0000 UTC 26.8 S 162.0 E with central pressure 960 hPa At 25 1200 UTC 29.2 S 163.4 E with central pressure 960 hPa REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732200221 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. Next warning will be issued at 250000 UTC. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 241233 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1232 UTC 24 March 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Severe Tropical Cyclone Wati with a central pressure of 960 hectopascals was centred at 1200 UTC near 24 south 160.9 east moving southeast at 16 knots. Position good. AREA AFFECTED Within 80 nm in Northwest quadrant, 200nm in the Northeast Quadrant and 300nm in remaining quadrants. FORECAST Clockwise winds 34/45 knots, increasing to 45/63 knots within 80 nm of the centre, extending 150 nm in the southwest quadrant. Winds reaching 64/75 knots within 30 nm of the centre. Phenomenal seas with heavy swells. Forecast Positions At 25 0000 UTC 26.8 S 162.0 E with central pressure 960 hPa At 25 1200 UTC 29.2 S 163.4 E with central pressure 960 hPa REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732200221 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. Next warning will be issued at 250000 UTC. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 241233 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1232 UTC 24 MARCH 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE WATI WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED AT 1200 UTC NEAR 24 SOUTH 160.9 EAST MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 16 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 80 NM IN NORTHWEST QUADRANT, 200NM IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT AND 300NM IN REMAINING QUADRANTS. FORECAST CLOCKWISE WINDS 34/45 KNOTS, INCREASING TO 45/63 KNOTS WITHIN 80 NM OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING 150 NM IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. WINDS REACHING 64/75 KNOTS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE CENTRE. PHENOMENAL SEAS WITH HEAVY SWELLS. FORECAST POSITIONS AT 25 0000 UTC 26.8 S 162.0 E WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 HPA AT 25 1200 UTC 29.2 S 163.4 E WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 HPA REMARKS ALL SHIPS IN THE AREA PLEASE SEND WEATHER REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS. REGULAR WEATHER OBSERVING SHIPS USE NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER SHIPS PLEASE USE EITHER EMAIL TO MARWXQLD@BOM.GOV.AU OR FAX TO +61732200221 OR SATELLITE TO SAC 41 THROUGH LAND EARTH STATION PERTH 222. NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED AT 250000 UTC. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 241233 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1232 UTC 24 MARCH 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE WATI WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED AT 1200 UTC NEAR 24 SOUTH 160.9 EAST MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 16 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 80 NM IN NORTHWEST QUADRANT, 200NM IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT AND 300NM IN REMAINING QUADRANTS. FORECAST CLOCKWISE WINDS 34/45 KNOTS, INCREASING TO 45/63 KNOTS WITHIN 80 NM OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING 150 NM IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. WINDS REACHING 64/75 KNOTS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE CENTRE. PHENOMENAL SEAS WITH HEAVY SWELLS. FORECAST POSITIONS AT 25 0000 UTC 26.8 S 162.0 E WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 HPA AT 25 1200 UTC 29.2 S 163.4 E WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 HPA REMARKS ALL SHIPS IN THE AREA PLEASE SEND WEATHER REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS. REGULAR WEATHER OBSERVING SHIPS USE NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER SHIPS PLEASE USE EITHER EMAIL TO MARWXQLD@BOM.GOV.AU OR FAX TO +61732200221 OR SATELLITE TO SAC 41 THROUGH LAND EARTH STATION PERTH 222. NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED AT 250000 UTC. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU05 APRF 241246 *** IDW23100 40:3:2:24:14S109E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1245UTC 24 MARCH 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1200UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Floyd located within 20 nautical miles of Latitude sixteen decimal five South [16.5S] Longitude one hundred and eight decimal four East [108.4E] Recent movement : S at 6 knots. Maximum winds : 95 knots. Central pressure : 930 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 90 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Sustained winds to 95 knots near the centre. Within 20 nautical miles of centre winds above 64 knots with very high to phenomenal seas and moderate to heavy swell. Within 40 nautical miles of centre winds above 48 knots with high seas and moderate to heavy swell. Within 90 nautical miles of centre winds above 34 knots with very rough seas and moderate to heavy swell. At 0000UTC 25 March: 17.5 south 108.6 east Central pressure 950 hPa Winds to 80 knots near centre. At 1200UTC 25 March: 18.6 south 109.3 east Central pressure 965 hPa Winds to 65 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1900UTC 24 March 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU05 APRF 241246 *** IDW23100 40:3:2:24:14S109E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1245UTC 24 MARCH 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1200UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Floyd located within 20 nautical miles of Latitude sixteen decimal five South [16.5S] Longitude one hundred and eight decimal four East [108.4E] Recent movement : S at 6 knots. Maximum winds : 95 knots. Central pressure : 930 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 90 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Sustained winds to 95 knots near the centre. Within 20 nautical miles of centre winds above 64 knots with very high to phenomenal seas and moderate to heavy swell. Within 40 nautical miles of centre winds above 48 knots with high seas and moderate to heavy swell. Within 90 nautical miles of centre winds above 34 knots with very rough seas and moderate to heavy swell. At 0000UTC 25 March: 17.5 south 108.6 east Central pressure 950 hPa Winds to 80 knots near centre. At 1200UTC 25 March: 18.6 south 109.3 east Central pressure 965 hPa Winds to 65 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1900UTC 24 March 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTPS11 NFFN 241200 *** Tropical Disturbance Advisory Number A6 issued from RSMC NADI Mar 24/1351 UTC 2006 UTC. Tropical Cyclone Wati [960hPa] centre was located near 24.0 South 160.9 East at 241200 UTC. Position good based on MTSAT IR imagery with animation. Cyclone moving southeast 16 knots. Maximum 10-minute average winds near the centre estimated at 75 knots. Expect winds over 63 knots within 30 miles of centre, over 47 knots within 150 miles of centre in the southwest quadrant and within 80 miles of centre elsewhere. Expect winds over 33 knots within 80 miles of centre in northwest quadrant, within 200 miles of centre in northeast quadrant and within 300 miles of centre in remaining quadrants. Dvorak analysis yields T3.5/4.5/W1.0/24hrs. Wati is undergoing extra-tropical transition in response to an amplifying midlatitude 250 hPa trough to the west. Cloud tops have warmed and sheared to the southeast of the LLCC. Vertical wind shear is more than 25 knots over Wati. Increasing environmental shear further south, cooler SSTs and dry air wrapping into the system are expected to further weaken the cyclone. Consensus of available global models agree on a soouthsoutheast track. FORECAST: 12hrs valid at 250000 UTC near 26.8S 162.0E mov SSE 16kt with 75kt close to centre. 24hrs valid at 251200 UTC near 29.2S 163.4E mov SSE 15kt with 75kt close to centre. OUTLOOK: 36hrs valid at 260000 UTC near 32.8S 164.5E mov SSE 15kt with 60kt close to centre. 48hrs valid at 261200 UTC near 34.7S 165.2E mov SSE 15kt with 55kt close to centre. This is the final Tropical Disturbance Advisory on Tropical Cyclone Wati as it is moving into Wellington's area of responsibility. ** WTPS11 NFFN 241200 *** Tropical Disturbance Advisory Number A6 issued from RSMC NADI Mar 24/1351 UTC 2006 UTC. Tropical Cyclone Wati [960hPa] centre was located near 24.0 South 160.9 East at 241200 UTC. Position good based on MTSAT IR imagery with animation. Cyclone moving southeast 16 knots. Maximum 10-minute average winds near the centre estimated at 75 knots. Expect winds over 63 knots within 30 miles of centre, over 47 knots within 150 miles of centre in the southwest quadrant and within 80 miles of centre elsewhere. Expect winds over 33 knots within 80 miles of centre in northwest quadrant, within 200 miles of centre in northeast quadrant and within 300 miles of centre in remaining quadrants. Dvorak analysis yields T3.5/4.5/W1.0/24hrs. Wati is undergoing extra-tropical transition in response to an amplifying midlatitude 250 hPa trough to the west. Cloud tops have warmed and sheared to the southeast of the LLCC. Vertical wind shear is more than 25 knots over Wati. Increasing environmental shear further south, cooler SSTs and dry air wrapping into the system are expected to further weaken the cyclone. Consensus of available global models agree on a soouthsoutheast track. FORECAST: 12hrs valid at 250000 UTC near 26.8S 162.0E mov SSE 16kt with 75kt close to centre. 24hrs valid at 251200 UTC near 29.2S 163.4E mov SSE 15kt with 75kt close to centre. OUTLOOK: 36hrs valid at 260000 UTC near 32.8S 164.5E mov SSE 15kt with 60kt close to centre. 48hrs valid at 261200 UTC near 34.7S 165.2E mov SSE 15kt with 55kt close to centre. This is the final Tropical Disturbance Advisory on Tropical Cyclone Wati as it is moving into Wellington's area of responsibility. ** WTPS11 NFFN 241200 *** PART 02 48HRS VALID AT 261200 UTC NEAR 34.7S 165.2E MOV SSE 15KT WITH 55KT CLOSE TO CENTRE. THIS IS THE FINAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY ON TROPICAL CYCLONE WATI AS IT IS MOVING INTO WELLINGTON'S AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY. END PART 02 OF 02 ** WTPS11 NFFN 241200 *** PART 01 TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A6 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI MAR 24/1351 UTC 2006 UTC. TROPICAL CYCLONE WATI [960HPA] CENTRE WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.0 SOUTH 160.9 EAST AT 241200 UTC. POSITION GOOD BASED ON MTSAT IR IMAGERY WITH ANIMATION. CYCLONE MOVING SOUTHEAST 16 KNOTS. MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS. EXPECT WINDS OVER 63 KNOTS WITHIN 30 MILES OF CENTRE, OVER 47 KNOTS WITHIN 150 MILES OF CENTRE IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT AND WITHIN 80 MILES OF CENTRE ELSEWHERE. EXPECT WINDS OVER 33 KNOTS WITHIN 80 MILES OF CENTRE IN NORTHWEST QUADRANT, WITHIN 200 MILES OF CENTRE IN NORTHEAST QUADRANT AND WITHIN 300 MILES OF CENTRE IN REMAINING QUADRANTS. DVORAK ANALYSIS YIELDS T3.5/4.5/W1.0/24HRS. WATI IS UNDERGOING EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION IN RESPONSE TO AN AMPLIFYING MIDLATITUDE 250 HPA TROUGH TO THE WEST. CLOUD TOPS HAVE WARMED AND SHEARED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE LLCC. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS MORE THAN 25 KNOTS OVER WATI. INCREASING ENVIRONMENTAL SHEAR FURTHER SOUTH, COOLER SSTS AND DRY AIR WRAPPING INTO THE SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED TO FURTHER WEAKEN THE CYCLONE. CONSENSUS OF AVAILABLE GLOBAL MODELS AGREE ON A SOOUTHSOUTHEAST TRACK. FORECAST: 12HRS VALID AT 250000 UTC NEAR 26.8S 162.0E MOV SSE 16KT WITH 75KT CLOSE TO CENTRE. 24HRS VALID AT 251200 UTC NEAR 29.2S 163.4E MOV SSE 15KT WITH 75KT CLOSE TO CENTRE. OUTLOOK: 36HRS VALID AT 260000 UTC NEAR 32.8S 164.5E MOV SSE 15KT WITH 60KT CLOSE TO CENTRE. END PART 01 ** WTPS11 NFFN 241200 *** PART 02 48HRS VALID AT 261200 UTC NEAR 34.7S 165.2E MOV SSE 15KT WITH 55KT CLOSE TO CENTRE. THIS IS THE FINAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY ON TROPICAL CYCLONE WATI AS IT IS MOVING INTO WELLINGTON'S AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY. END PART 02 OF 02 ** WTPS11 NFFN 241200 *** PART 01 TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A6 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI MAR 24/1351 UTC 2006 UTC. TROPICAL CYCLONE WATI [960HPA] CENTRE WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.0 SOUTH 160.9 EAST AT 241200 UTC. POSITION GOOD BASED ON MTSAT IR IMAGERY WITH ANIMATION. CYCLONE MOVING SOUTHEAST 16 KNOTS. MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS. EXPECT WINDS OVER 63 KNOTS WITHIN 30 MILES OF CENTRE, OVER 47 KNOTS WITHIN 150 MILES OF CENTRE IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT AND WITHIN 80 MILES OF CENTRE ELSEWHERE. EXPECT WINDS OVER 33 KNOTS WITHIN 80 MILES OF CENTRE IN NORTHWEST QUADRANT, WITHIN 200 MILES OF CENTRE IN NORTHEAST QUADRANT AND WITHIN 300 MILES OF CENTRE IN REMAINING QUADRANTS. DVORAK ANALYSIS YIELDS T3.5/4.5/W1.0/24HRS. WATI IS UNDERGOING EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION IN RESPONSE TO AN AMPLIFYING MIDLATITUDE 250 HPA TROUGH TO THE WEST. CLOUD TOPS HAVE WARMED AND SHEARED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE LLCC. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS MORE THAN 25 KNOTS OVER WATI. INCREASING ENVIRONMENTAL SHEAR FURTHER SOUTH, COOLER SSTS AND DRY AIR WRAPPING INTO THE SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED TO FURTHER WEAKEN THE CYCLONE. CONSENSUS OF AVAILABLE GLOBAL MODELS AGREE ON A SOOUTHSOUTHEAST TRACK. FORECAST: 12HRS VALID AT 250000 UTC NEAR 26.8S 162.0E MOV SSE 16KT WITH 75KT CLOSE TO CENTRE. 24HRS VALID AT 251200 UTC NEAR 29.2S 163.4E MOV SSE 15KT WITH 75KT CLOSE TO CENTRE. OUTLOOK: 36HRS VALID AT 260000 UTC NEAR 32.8S 164.5E MOV SSE 15KT WITH 60KT CLOSE TO CENTRE. END PART 01 ** WTPS11 NFFN 241200 *** PART 01 TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A6 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI MAR 24/1351 UTC 2006 UTC. TROPICAL CYCLONE WATI [960HPA] CENTRE WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.0 SOUTH 160.9 EAST AT 241200 UTC. POSITION GOOD BASED ON MTSAT IR IMAGERY WITH ANIMATION. CYCLONE MOVING SOUTHEAST 16 KNOTS. MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS. EXPECT WINDS OVER 63 KNOTS WITHIN 30 MILES OF CENTRE, OVER 47 KNOTS WITHIN 150 MILES OF CENTRE IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT AND WITHIN 80 MILES OF CENTRE ELSEWHERE. EXPECT WINDS OVER 33 KNOTS WITHIN 80 MILES OF CENTRE IN NORTHWEST QUADRANT, WITHIN 200 MILES OF CENTRE IN NORTHEAST QUADRANT AND WITHIN 300 MILES OF CENTRE IN REMAINING QUADRANTS. DVORAK ANALYSIS YIELDS T3.5/4.5/W1.0/24HRS. WATI IS UNDERGOING EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION IN RESPONSE TO AN AMPLIFYING MIDLATITUDE 250 HPA TROUGH TO THE WEST. CLOUD TOPS HAVE WARMED AND SHEARED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE LLCC. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS MORE THAN 25 KNOTS OVER WATI. INCREASING ENVIRONMENTAL SHEAR FURTHER SOUTH, COOLER SSTS AND DRY AIR WRAPPING INTO THE SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED TO FURTHER WEAKEN THE CYCLONE. CONSENSUS OF AVAILABLE GLOBAL MODELS AGREE ON A SOOUTHSOUTHEAST TRACK. FORECAST: 12HRS VALID AT 250000 UTC NEAR 26.8S 162.0E MOV SSE 16KT WITH 75KT CLOSE TO CENTRE. 24HRS VALID AT 251200 UTC NEAR 29.2S 163.4E MOV SSE 15KT WITH 75KT CLOSE TO CENTRE. OUTLOOK: 36HRS VALID AT 260000 UTC NEAR 32.8S 164.5E MOV SSE 15KT WITH 60KT CLOSE TO CENTRE. END PART 01 ** WTPS11 NFFN 241200 *** PART 02 48HRS VALID AT 261200 UTC NEAR 34.7S 165.2E MOV SSE 15KT WITH 55KT CLOSE TO CENTRE. THIS IS THE FINAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY ON TROPICAL CYCLONE WATI AS IT IS MOVING INTO WELLINGTON'S AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY. END PART 02 OF 02 ** WTXS31 PGTW 241500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (FLOYD) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z --- NEAR 16.6S 108.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.6S 108.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z --- 17.8S 108.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z --- 18.9S 109.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z --- 19.8S 110.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z --- 20.8S 111.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z --- 22.9S 111.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 241500Z POSITION NEAR 16.9S 108.4E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S (FLOYD), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 460 NM NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE EAST- WARD COMPONENT IN TRACK IS DUE TO RIDGING BUILDING IN NORTH- EAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 19S WILL CONTINUE IN A GENERAL SOUTH- SOUTHEAST TRACK TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. AS THE STORM TRACKS FARTHER SOUTH, VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL INCREASE, SIGNIFICANTLY RESULTING IN A DECLINING INTENSITY TREND THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z IS 40 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z, 250300Z, 250900Z AND 251500Z.//