** WTSR20 WSSS 230600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTAU01 ABRF 231252 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1252 UTC 23 March 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Severe Tropical Cyclone Wati with a central pressure of 960 hectopascals was centred at 1200 UTC near 19.2 south 156.0 east moving southeast at 7 knots. Position good. AREA AFFECTED Within 120 nm in south-west quadrant and 80 nm in remaining quadrants. FORECAST Clockwise winds 34/45 knots increasing to 45/63 knots within 40/60 nm of the centre and to 64/85 knots within 25 nm of the centre. Maximum wind gusts to 120 knots near the centre. Seas high to phenomenal with heavy swells. Forecast Positions At 24 0000 UTC 20.9 S 157.0 E with central pressure 960 hPa At 24 1200 UTC 22.8 S 158.6 E with central pressure 960 hPa REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732200221 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. Next warning will be issued at 231900 UTC. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 231252 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1252 UTC 23 March 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Severe Tropical Cyclone Wati with a central pressure of 960 hectopascals was centred at 1200 UTC near 19.2 south 156.0 east moving southeast at 7 knots. Position good. AREA AFFECTED Within 120 nm in south-west quadrant and 80 nm in remaining quadrants. FORECAST Clockwise winds 34/45 knots increasing to 45/63 knots within 40/60 nm of the centre and to 64/85 knots within 25 nm of the centre. Maximum wind gusts to 120 knots near the centre. Seas high to phenomenal with heavy swells. Forecast Positions At 24 0000 UTC 20.9 S 157.0 E with central pressure 960 hPa At 24 1200 UTC 22.8 S 158.6 E with central pressure 960 hPa REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732200221 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. Next warning will be issued at 231900 UTC. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 231252 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1252 UTC 23 MARCH 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE WATI WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED AT 1200 UTC NEAR 19.2 SOUTH 156.0 EAST MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 7 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 120 NM IN SOUTH-WEST QUADRANT AND 80 NM IN REMAINING QUADRANTS. FORECAST CLOCKWISE WINDS 34/45 KNOTS INCREASING TO 45/63 KNOTS WITHIN 40/60 NM OF THE CENTRE AND TO 64/85 KNOTS WITHIN 25 NM OF THE CENTRE. MAXIMUM WIND GUSTS TO 120 KNOTS NEAR THE CENTRE. SEAS HIGH TO PHENOMENAL WITH HEAVY SWELLS. FORECAST POSITIONS AT 24 0000 UTC 20.9 S 157.0 E WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 HPA AT 24 1200 UTC 22.8 S 158.6 E WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 HPA REMARKS ALL SHIPS IN THE AREA PLEASE SEND WEATHER REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS. REGULAR WEATHER OBSERVING SHIPS USE NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER SHIPS PLEASE USE EITHER EMAIL TO MARWXQLD@BOM.GOV.AU OR FAX TO +61732200221 OR SATELLITE TO SAC 41 THROUGH LAND EARTH STATION PERTH 222. NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED AT 231900 UTC. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 231252 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1252 UTC 23 MARCH 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE WATI WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED AT 1200 UTC NEAR 19.2 SOUTH 156.0 EAST MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 7 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 120 NM IN SOUTH-WEST QUADRANT AND 80 NM IN REMAINING QUADRANTS. FORECAST CLOCKWISE WINDS 34/45 KNOTS INCREASING TO 45/63 KNOTS WITHIN 40/60 NM OF THE CENTRE AND TO 64/85 KNOTS WITHIN 25 NM OF THE CENTRE. MAXIMUM WIND GUSTS TO 120 KNOTS NEAR THE CENTRE. SEAS HIGH TO PHENOMENAL WITH HEAVY SWELLS. FORECAST POSITIONS AT 24 0000 UTC 20.9 S 157.0 E WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 HPA AT 24 1200 UTC 22.8 S 158.6 E WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 HPA REMARKS ALL SHIPS IN THE AREA PLEASE SEND WEATHER REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS. REGULAR WEATHER OBSERVING SHIPS USE NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER SHIPS PLEASE USE EITHER EMAIL TO MARWXQLD@BOM.GOV.AU OR FAX TO +61732200221 OR SATELLITE TO SAC 41 THROUGH LAND EARTH STATION PERTH 222. NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED AT 231900 UTC. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU05 APRF 231302 *** IDW23100 40:3:2:24:14S109E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1244UTC 23 MARCH 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1200UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Floyd located within 20 nautical miles of Latitude fourteen decimal zero South [14.0S] Longitude one hundred and nine decimal zero East [109.0E] Recent movement : SW at 7 knots. Maximum winds : 90 knots. Central pressure : 940 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 80 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Sustained winds to 90 knots near centre, increasing to 105 knots in the next 24 hours. Within 20 nautical miles of centre winds above 64 knots with very high to phenomenal seas and moderate to heavy swell. Within 35 nautical miles of centre winds above 48 knots with high seas and moderate to heavy swell. Within 80 nautical miles of centre winds above 34 knots with very rough seas and moderate to heavy swell. At 0000UTC 24 March: 15.1 south 108.1 east Central pressure 925 hPa Winds to 100 knots near centre. At 1200UTC 24 March: 16.2 south 108.1 east Central pressure 920 hPa Winds to 105 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1900 UTC 23 March 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU05 APRF 231302 *** IDW23100 40:3:2:24:14S109E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1244UTC 23 MARCH 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1200UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Floyd located within 20 nautical miles of Latitude fourteen decimal zero South [14.0S] Longitude one hundred and nine decimal zero East [109.0E] Recent movement : SW at 7 knots. Maximum winds : 90 knots. Central pressure : 940 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 80 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Sustained winds to 90 knots near centre, increasing to 105 knots in the next 24 hours. Within 20 nautical miles of centre winds above 64 knots with very high to phenomenal seas and moderate to heavy swell. Within 35 nautical miles of centre winds above 48 knots with high seas and moderate to heavy swell. Within 80 nautical miles of centre winds above 34 knots with very rough seas and moderate to heavy swell. At 0000UTC 24 March: 15.1 south 108.1 east Central pressure 925 hPa Winds to 100 knots near centre. At 1200UTC 24 March: 16.2 south 108.1 east Central pressure 920 hPa Winds to 105 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1900 UTC 23 March 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU01 ABRF 231315 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN 1 CORRECTED HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1315 UTC 23 MARCH 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE WATI WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED AT 1200 UTC NEAR 19.2 SOUTH 156.0 EAST MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 7 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 230 NM IN SOUTH-WEST QUADRANT AND 80 NM IN REMAINING QUADRANTS. FORECAST CLOCKWISE WINDS 34/45 KNOTS INCREASING TO 45/63 KNOTS WITHIN 40/60 NM OF THE CENTRE AND TO 64/85 KNOTS WITHIN 25 NM OF THE CENTRE. MAXIMUM WIND GUSTS TO 120 KNOTS NEAR THE CENTRE. SEAS HIGH TO PHENOMENAL WITH HEAVY SWELLS. FORECAST POSITIONS AT 24 0000 UTC 20.9 S 157.0 E WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 HPA AT 24 1200 UTC 22.8 S 158.6 E WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 HPA REMARKS ALL SHIPS IN THE AREA PLEASE SEND WEATHER REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS. REGULAR WEATHER OBSERVING SHIPS USE NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER SHIPS PLEASE USE EITHER EMAIL TO MARWXQLD@BOM.GOV.AU OR FAX TO +61732200221 OR SATELLITE TO SAC 41 THROUGH LAND EARTH STATION PERTH 222. NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED AT 231900 UTC. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 231315 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN 1 CORRECTED HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1315 UTC 23 March 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Severe Tropical Cyclone Wati with a central pressure of 960 hectopascals was centred at 1200 UTC near 19.2 south 156.0 east moving southeast at 7 knots. Position good. AREA AFFECTED Within 230 nm in south-west quadrant and 80 nm in remaining quadrants. FORECAST Clockwise winds 34/45 knots increasing to 45/63 knots within 40/60 nm of the centre and to 64/85 knots within 25 nm of the centre. Maximum wind gusts to 120 knots near the centre. Seas high to phenomenal with heavy swells. Forecast Positions At 24 0000 UTC 20.9 S 157.0 E with central pressure 960 hPa At 24 1200 UTC 22.8 S 158.6 E with central pressure 960 hPa REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732200221 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. Next warning will be issued at 231900 UTC. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 231315 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN 1 CORRECTED HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1315 UTC 23 March 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Severe Tropical Cyclone Wati with a central pressure of 960 hectopascals was centred at 1200 UTC near 19.2 south 156.0 east moving southeast at 7 knots. Position good. AREA AFFECTED Within 230 nm in south-west quadrant and 80 nm in remaining quadrants. FORECAST Clockwise winds 34/45 knots increasing to 45/63 knots within 40/60 nm of the centre and to 64/85 knots within 25 nm of the centre. Maximum wind gusts to 120 knots near the centre. Seas high to phenomenal with heavy swells. Forecast Positions At 24 0000 UTC 20.9 S 157.0 E with central pressure 960 hPa At 24 1200 UTC 22.8 S 158.6 E with central pressure 960 hPa REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732200221 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. Next warning will be issued at 231900 UTC. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 231315 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN 1 CORRECTED HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1315 UTC 23 MARCH 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE WATI WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED AT 1200 UTC NEAR 19.2 SOUTH 156.0 EAST MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 7 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 230 NM IN SOUTH-WEST QUADRANT AND 80 NM IN REMAINING QUADRANTS. FORECAST CLOCKWISE WINDS 34/45 KNOTS INCREASING TO 45/63 KNOTS WITHIN 40/60 NM OF THE CENTRE AND TO 64/85 KNOTS WITHIN 25 NM OF THE CENTRE. MAXIMUM WIND GUSTS TO 120 KNOTS NEAR THE CENTRE. SEAS HIGH TO PHENOMENAL WITH HEAVY SWELLS. FORECAST POSITIONS AT 24 0000 UTC 20.9 S 157.0 E WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 HPA AT 24 1200 UTC 22.8 S 158.6 E WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 HPA REMARKS ALL SHIPS IN THE AREA PLEASE SEND WEATHER REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS. REGULAR WEATHER OBSERVING SHIPS USE NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER SHIPS PLEASE USE EITHER EMAIL TO MARWXQLD@BOM.GOV.AU OR FAX TO +61732200221 OR SATELLITE TO SAC 41 THROUGH LAND EARTH STATION PERTH 222. NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED AT 231900 UTC. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTPS31 PGTW 231500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (WATI) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z --- NEAR 19.0S 156.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 100 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.0S 156.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 20.4S 158.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z --- 22.7S 159.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z --- 25.8S 161.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z --- 29.0S 163.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 231500Z POSITION NEAR 19.3S 156.9E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 18P (WATI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 600 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE RECENT EASTWARD TRACK IS DUE TO A FINGER OF A STEERING RIDGE SITUATED EQUATORWARD OF THE SYSTEM. THIS RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REORIENT TO THE EAST OF TC 18P. THIS, COMBINED WITH THE BEGINNING OF INCLUSION IN THE BAROCLINIC ZONE, WILL ACCELERATE 18P TO THE SOUTHEAST PAST TAU 12. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE AND WILL RESULT IN DECLINING INTENSITY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WILL BE COMPLETE BY TAU 48. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z IS 29 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z, 240900, 241500Z AND 242100.// ** WTXS31 PGTW 231500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (FLOYD) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z --- NEAR 14.1S 108.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.1S 108.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 15.3S 108.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z --- 16.4S 108.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z --- 17.4S 108.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z --- 18.2S 109.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z --- 20.3S 109.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 231500Z POSITION NEAR 14.4S 108.8E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S (FLOYD), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 565 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE SYSTEM HAS BEGUN TO TRACK MORE POLEWARD AS A DEEPENING MIDLATITUDE TROUGH HAS CREATED A WEAKNESS IN THE STEERING RIDGE. INTENS- ITY WILL STEADILY DECREASE ON THE STORM AS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR INCREASES. THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANS- ITION NEAR TAU 72. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z IS 29 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z, 240300Z, 240900Z AND 241500Z.//