** WTAU01 ABRF 221841 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1841 UTC 22 March 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Severe Tropical Cyclone Wati with a central pressure of 955 hectopascals centred at 1200 UTC at 18.0 south 154.0 east and near stationary. Position good. AREA AFFECTED Within 120 nm of the cyclone but extending out to 240 nm in the southern quadrant. FORECAST Clockwise winds 34/45 knots. Maximum winds to 85 knots within 15 nm of the centre. Seas high to phenomenal and moderate to heavy east and southeast swells. Forecast positions: At 23 0600 UTC 18.7 S 154.7 E with central pressure 960 hPa At 23 1800 UTC 19.8 S 154.7 E with central pressure 965 hPa REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732200221 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. Next warning will be issued by 2300 UTC. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 221841 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1841 UTC 22 March 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Severe Tropical Cyclone Wati with a central pressure of 955 hectopascals centred at 1200 UTC at 18.0 south 154.0 east and near stationary. Position good. AREA AFFECTED Within 120 nm of the cyclone but extending out to 240 nm in the southern quadrant. FORECAST Clockwise winds 34/45 knots. Maximum winds to 85 knots within 15 nm of the centre. Seas high to phenomenal and moderate to heavy east and southeast swells. Forecast positions: At 23 0600 UTC 18.7 S 154.7 E with central pressure 960 hPa At 23 1800 UTC 19.8 S 154.7 E with central pressure 965 hPa REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732200221 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. Next warning will be issued by 2300 UTC. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 221841 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1841 UTC 22 MARCH 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE WATI WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 955 HECTOPASCALS CENTRED AT 1200 UTC AT 18.0 SOUTH 154.0 EAST AND NEAR STATIONARY. POSITION GOOD. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE CYCLONE BUT EXTENDING OUT TO 240 NM IN THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT. FORECAST CLOCKWISE WINDS 34/45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM WINDS TO 85 KNOTS WITHIN 15 NM OF THE CENTRE. SEAS HIGH TO PHENOMENAL AND MODERATE TO HEAVY EAST AND SOUTHEAST SWELLS. FORECAST POSITIONS: AT 23 0600 UTC 18.7 S 154.7 E WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 HPA AT 23 1800 UTC 19.8 S 154.7 E WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 HPA REMARKS ALL SHIPS IN THE AREA PLEASE SEND WEATHER REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS. REGULAR WEATHER OBSERVING SHIPS USE NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER SHIPS PLEASE USE EITHER EMAIL TO MARWXQLD@BOM.GOV.AU OR FAX TO +61732200221 OR SATELLITE TO SAC 41 THROUGH LAND EARTH STATION PERTH 222. NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BY 2300 UTC. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU05 APRF 221849 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:13S112E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1847UTC 22 MARCH 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1800UTC Tropical Cyclone Floyd located within 30 nautical miles of Latitude thirteen decimal two South [13.2S] Longitude one hundred and eleven decimal two East [111.2E] Recent movement : W at 8 knots. Maximum winds : 60 knots. Central pressure : 970 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 80 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Sustained winds to 60 knots near centre increasing to 80 knots by 23/1200UTC. Within 30 nautical miles of centre winds increasing to above 64 knots with very high seas and moderate to heavy swell developing by 23/0000UTC. Within 50 nautical miles of centre winds above 48 knots with high seas and moderate to heavy swell. Within 60 nautical miles of centre winds above 34 knots with very rough seas and moderate to heavy swell. At 0600UTC 23 March: 13.3 south 109.6 east Central pressure 955 hPa. Winds to 75 knots near centre. At 1800UTC 23 March: 13.8 south 108.1 east Central pressure 960 hPa. Winds to 80 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0100UTC 23 March 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU05 APRF 221849 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:13S112E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1847UTC 22 MARCH 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1800UTC Tropical Cyclone Floyd located within 30 nautical miles of Latitude thirteen decimal two South [13.2S] Longitude one hundred and eleven decimal two East [111.2E] Recent movement : W at 8 knots. Maximum winds : 60 knots. Central pressure : 970 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 80 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Sustained winds to 60 knots near centre increasing to 80 knots by 23/1200UTC. Within 30 nautical miles of centre winds increasing to above 64 knots with very high seas and moderate to heavy swell developing by 23/0000UTC. Within 50 nautical miles of centre winds above 48 knots with high seas and moderate to heavy swell. Within 60 nautical miles of centre winds above 34 knots with very rough seas and moderate to heavy swell. At 0600UTC 23 March: 13.3 south 109.6 east Central pressure 955 hPa. Winds to 75 knots near centre. At 1800UTC 23 March: 13.8 south 108.1 east Central pressure 960 hPa. Winds to 80 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0100UTC 23 March 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU05 APRF 221849 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:13S112E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1847UTC 22 MARCH 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1800UTC Tropical Cyclone Floyd located within 30 nautical miles of Latitude thirteen decimal two South [13.2S] Longitude one hundred and eleven decimal two East [111.2E] Recent movement : W at 8 knots. Maximum winds : 60 knots. Central pressure : 970 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 80 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Sustained winds to 60 knots near centre increasing to 80 knots by 23/1200UTC. Within 30 nautical miles of centre winds increasing to above 64 knots with very high seas and moderate to heavy swell developing by 23/0000UTC. Within 50 nautical miles of centre winds above 48 knots with high seas and moderate to heavy swell. Within 60 nautical miles of centre winds above 34 knots with very rough seas and moderate to heavy swell. At 0600UTC 23 March: 13.3 south 109.6 east Central pressure 955 hPa. Winds to 75 knots near centre. At 1800UTC 23 March: 13.8 south 108.1 east Central pressure 960 hPa. Winds to 80 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0100UTC 23 March 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU05 APRF 221849 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:13S112E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1847UTC 22 MARCH 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1800UTC Tropical Cyclone Floyd located within 30 nautical miles of Latitude thirteen decimal two South [13.2S] Longitude one hundred and eleven decimal two East [111.2E] Recent movement : W at 8 knots. Maximum winds : 60 knots. Central pressure : 970 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 80 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Sustained winds to 60 knots near centre increasing to 80 knots by 23/1200UTC. Within 30 nautical miles of centre winds increasing to above 64 knots with very high seas and moderate to heavy swell developing by 23/0000UTC. Within 50 nautical miles of centre winds above 48 knots with high seas and moderate to heavy swell. Within 60 nautical miles of centre winds above 34 knots with very rough seas and moderate to heavy swell. At 0600UTC 23 March: 13.3 south 109.6 east Central pressure 955 hPa. Winds to 75 knots near centre. At 1800UTC 23 March: 13.8 south 108.1 east Central pressure 960 hPa. Winds to 80 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0100UTC 23 March 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU01 ABRF 221853 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN 1 CORRECTED HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1853 UTC 22 March 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Severe Tropical Cyclone Wati with a central pressure of 955 hectopascals centred at 1800 UTC at 18.0 south 154.0 east and near stationary. Position good. AREA AFFECTED Within 120 nm of the cyclone but extending out to 240 nm in the southern quadrant. FORECAST Clockwise winds 34/45 knots. Maximum winds to 85 knots within 15 nm of the centre. Seas high to phenomenal and moderate to heavy east and southeast swells. Forecast positions: At 23 0600 UTC 18.7 S 154.7 E with central pressure 960 hPa At 23 1800 UTC 19.8 S 154.7 E with central pressure 965 hPa REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732200221 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. Next warning will be issued by 2300 UTC. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 221853 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN 1 CORRECTED HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1853 UTC 22 March 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Severe Tropical Cyclone Wati with a central pressure of 955 hectopascals centred at 1800 UTC at 18.0 south 154.0 east and near stationary. Position good. AREA AFFECTED Within 120 nm of the cyclone but extending out to 240 nm in the southern quadrant. FORECAST Clockwise winds 34/45 knots. Maximum winds to 85 knots within 15 nm of the centre. Seas high to phenomenal and moderate to heavy east and southeast swells. Forecast positions: At 23 0600 UTC 18.7 S 154.7 E with central pressure 960 hPa At 23 1800 UTC 19.8 S 154.7 E with central pressure 965 hPa REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732200221 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. Next warning will be issued by 2300 UTC. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 221853 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN 1 CORRECTED HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1853 UTC 22 MARCH 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE WATI WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 955 HECTOPASCALS CENTRED AT 1800 UTC AT 18.0 SOUTH 154.0 EAST AND NEAR STATIONARY. POSITION GOOD. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE CYCLONE BUT EXTENDING OUT TO 240 NM IN THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT. FORECAST CLOCKWISE WINDS 34/45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM WINDS TO 85 KNOTS WITHIN 15 NM OF THE CENTRE. SEAS HIGH TO PHENOMENAL AND MODERATE TO HEAVY EAST AND SOUTHEAST SWELLS. FORECAST POSITIONS: AT 23 0600 UTC 18.7 S 154.7 E WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 HPA AT 23 1800 UTC 19.8 S 154.7 E WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 HPA REMARKS ALL SHIPS IN THE AREA PLEASE SEND WEATHER REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS. REGULAR WEATHER OBSERVING SHIPS USE NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER SHIPS PLEASE USE EITHER EMAIL TO MARWXQLD@BOM.GOV.AU OR FAX TO +61732200221 OR SATELLITE TO SAC 41 THROUGH LAND EARTH STATION PERTH 222. NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BY 2300 UTC. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTPS32 PGTW 222100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (WATI) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z --- NEAR 18.1S 153.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - QUASI-STATIONARY POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.1S 153.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 18.3S 154.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 19.1S 154.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z --- 21.2S 156.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z --- 23.7S 157.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z --- 29.1S 161.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 222100Z POSITION NEAR 18.1S 153.8E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 18P (WATI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 560 NM NORTH OF BRISBANE, AUSTRALIA, REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOSS OF THE EMBEDDED CENTER AND DECREASED CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION DUE TO INCREASED NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. AS A TROUGH DEEPENS INTO THE CORAL SEA, TC 18P WILL TRACK TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AND BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 38 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z, 230900Z, 231500Z AND 232100Z.// ** WTXS31 PGTW 222100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (FLOYD) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z --- NEAR 13.4S 111.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.4S 111.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 13.7S 109.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 14.3S 108.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z --- 15.2S 107.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z --- 16.2S 107.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z --- 19.0S 108.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 222100Z POSITION NEAR 13.5S 110.6E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S (FLOYD), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 555 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE BEGINNING OF POLEWARD LINKAGE WITH AN UPPER LEVEL CYCLONE OVER WESTERN AUSTRALIA, INCREASING UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. TC 19S IS FORECAST TO REMAIN ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SITUATED OVER NORTHERN AUSTRALIA. BETWEEN TAUS 36 AND 48, AN APPROACHING MAJOR SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE AND ALLOW TC 19S TO TRACK POLEWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z, 230900Z, 231500Z AND 232100Z.//