** WTSR20 WSSS 220600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTAU01 ABRF 221238 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1238 UTC 22 MARCH 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE WATI WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 955 HECTOPASCALS CENTRED AT 1200 UTC AT 18.0 SOUTH 153.9 EAST AND NEAR STATIONARY. POSITION GOOD. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 170 NM IN SOUTH-EAST SECTOR, 110 NM IN SOUTH-WEST SECTOR AND 80 NM IN THE NORTHERN QUADRANT. FORECAST CLOCKWISE WINDS 34/45 KNOTS WITHIN 170NM OF THE CYCLONE IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT AND 100 NM IN THE SOUTH-WEST SECTOR EXPANDING TO 170 NM IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. CLOCKWISE WINDS 34/45 KNOTS WITHIN 80NM OF THE CYCLONE OTHERWISE. MAXIMUM WINDS TO 85 KNOTS WITHIN 15 NM OF THE CENTRE. SEAS HIGH TO PHENOMENAL AND MODERATE TO HEAVY EAST AND SOUTHEAST SWELLS. FORECAST POSITIONS: AT 23 0000 UTC 18.3 S 153.8 E WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 HPA AT 23 1200 UTC 18.8 S 154.1 E WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 HPA REMARKS ALL SHIPS IN THE AREA PLEASE SEND WEATHER REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS. REGULAR WEATHER OBSERVING SHIPS USE NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER SHIPS PLEASE USE EITHER EMAIL TO MARWXQLD@BOM.GOV.AU OR FAX TO +61732200221 OR SATELLITE TO SAC 41 THROUGH LAND EARTH STATION PERTH 222. NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BY 221900 UTC. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 221238 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1238 UTC 22 March 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Severe Tropical Cyclone Wati with a central pressure of 955 hectopascals centred at 1200 UTC at 18.0 south 153.9 east and near stationary. Position good. AREA AFFECTED Within 170 nm in south-east sector, 110 nm in south-west sector and 80 nm in the northern quadrant. FORECAST Clockwise winds 34/45 knots within 170nm of the cyclone in the southeast quadrant and 100 nm in the south-west sector expanding to 170 nm in the next 24 hours. Clockwise winds 34/45 knots within 80nm of the cyclone otherwise. Maximum winds to 85 knots within 15 nm of the centre. Seas high to phenomenal and moderate to heavy east and southeast swells. Forecast positions: At 23 0000 UTC 18.3 S 153.8 E with central pressure 955 hPa At 23 1200 UTC 18.8 S 154.1 E with central pressure 955 hPa REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732200221 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. Next warning will be issued by 221900 UTC. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU05 APRF 221247 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:13S112E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1245UTC 22 MARCH 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1200UTC Tropical Cyclone Floyd located within 30 nautical miles of Latitude thirteen decimal one South [13.1S] Longitude one hundred and twelve decimal zero East [112.0E] Recent movement : W at 8 knots. Maximum winds : 50 knots. Central pressure : 975 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 80 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Sustained winds to 50 knots near centre increasing to 65 knots by 23/0000UTC. Within 25 nautical miles of centre winds increasing to above 64 knots with very high seas and moderate to heavy swell developing by 23/0000UTC. Within 40 nautical miles of centre winds above 48 knots with high seas and moderate to heavy swell. Within 80 nautical miles of centre winds above 34 knots with very rough seas and moderate to heavy swell. At 0000UTC 23 March: 13.1 south 110.4 east Central pressure 965 hPa. Winds to 65 knots near centre. At 1200UTC 23 March: 13.5 south 108.9 east Central pressure 960 hPa. Winds to 65 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1900UTC 22 March 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU01 ABRF 221238 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1238 UTC 22 March 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Severe Tropical Cyclone Wati with a central pressure of 955 hectopascals centred at 1200 UTC at 18.0 south 153.9 east and near stationary. Position good. AREA AFFECTED Within 170 nm in south-east sector, 110 nm in south-west sector and 80 nm in the northern quadrant. FORECAST Clockwise winds 34/45 knots within 170nm of the cyclone in the southeast quadrant and 100 nm in the south-west sector expanding to 170 nm in the next 24 hours. Clockwise winds 34/45 knots within 80nm of the cyclone otherwise. Maximum winds to 85 knots within 15 nm of the centre. Seas high to phenomenal and moderate to heavy east and southeast swells. Forecast positions: At 23 0000 UTC 18.3 S 153.8 E with central pressure 955 hPa At 23 1200 UTC 18.8 S 154.1 E with central pressure 955 hPa REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732200221 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. Next warning will be issued by 221900 UTC. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU05 APRF 221247 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:13S112E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1245UTC 22 MARCH 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1200UTC Tropical Cyclone Floyd located within 30 nautical miles of Latitude thirteen decimal one South [13.1S] Longitude one hundred and twelve decimal zero East [112.0E] Recent movement : W at 8 knots. Maximum winds : 50 knots. Central pressure : 975 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 80 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Sustained winds to 50 knots near centre increasing to 65 knots by 23/0000UTC. Within 25 nautical miles of centre winds increasing to above 64 knots with very high seas and moderate to heavy swell developing by 23/0000UTC. Within 40 nautical miles of centre winds above 48 knots with high seas and moderate to heavy swell. Within 80 nautical miles of centre winds above 34 knots with very rough seas and moderate to heavy swell. At 0000UTC 23 March: 13.1 south 110.4 east Central pressure 965 hPa. Winds to 65 knots near centre. At 1200UTC 23 March: 13.5 south 108.9 east Central pressure 960 hPa. Winds to 65 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1900UTC 22 March 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTPS32 PGTW 221500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (WATI) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z --- NEAR 18.0S 153.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.0S 153.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 18.5S 154.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 19.2S 154.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 20.5S 155.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z --- 22.0S 156.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z --- 25.8S 158.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 221500Z POSITION NEAR 18.1S 153.8E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 18P (WATI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 460 NM EAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, HAS BECOME QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS RADIAL OUTFLOW HAS INCREASED, AND A POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL IS NOW WRAPPING INTO A MAJOR SHORTWAVE TROUGH EQUATORWARD OF NEW ZEALAND. OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS, TC 18P HAS SLOWLY DRIFTED SOUTHWEST DUE TO A WEAKLY DEFINED STEERING ENVIRONMENT. HOWEVER, DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A RIDGE TO THE EAST. THE INTENSITY OF TC 18P WILL REMAIN STEADY THROUGH TAU 24 THEN WEAKEN DUE TO TO INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 38 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z, 230300Z, 230900Z AND 231500Z.// BT #0001 ** WTXS31 PGTW 221500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (FLOYD) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z --- NEAR 13.4S 111.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.4S 111.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 13.4S 109.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 13.9S 108.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 14.6S 107.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z --- 15.5S 106.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z --- 16.9S 106.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 221500Z POSITION NEAR 13.4S 111.3E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S (FLOYD), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 545 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY SUGGESTS AN EMBEDDED CENTER, AND ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS AN INCREASE IN RADIAL OUTFLOW IN THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE. TC 19S IS FORECAST TO REMAIN ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SITUATED OVER NORTHERN AUSTRALIA. HOWEVER, BETWEEN TAUS 48 AND 72, AN APPROACHING MAJOR SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE AND ALLOW TC 19S TO TRACK POLEWARD. THE INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM WILL INCREASE AT A NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE UNTIL APPROXI- MATELY TAU 36. AFTER THIS TIME, INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL WEAKEN THE INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z, 230300Z, 230900Z AND 231500Z.//