** WTSR20 WSSS 210600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTAU01 ABRF 211238 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1238 UTC 21 March 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Tropical Cyclone Wati with central pressure 975 hectopascals centred at 211200UTC near 17.5S 154.1E and moving west-northwest at 7 knots. Position good. AREA AFFECTED Within 240nm of the cyclone centre in the southwest quadrant and within 100nm in remaining quadrants. FORECAST Clockwise winds 34/45 knots within 100nm of the cyclone, extending to 240nm in the southwest quadrant within the next 12 to 24 hours. Maximum winds to 60 knots within 25 nm of the centre, increasing to 80 knots near the centre during the next 24 hours. Forecast positions: Near 17.7S 153.0E at 220000UTC Near 17.9S 152.2E at 221200UTC REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732200221 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. Next warning will be issued by 211300 UTC. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 211238 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1238 UTC 21 March 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Tropical Cyclone Wati with central pressure 975 hectopascals centred at 211200UTC near 17.5S 154.1E and moving west-northwest at 7 knots. Position good. AREA AFFECTED Within 240nm of the cyclone centre in the southwest quadrant and within 100nm in remaining quadrants. FORECAST Clockwise winds 34/45 knots within 100nm of the cyclone, extending to 240nm in the southwest quadrant within the next 12 to 24 hours. Maximum winds to 60 knots within 25 nm of the centre, increasing to 80 knots near the centre during the next 24 hours. Forecast positions: Near 17.7S 153.0E at 220000UTC Near 17.9S 152.2E at 221200UTC REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732200221 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. Next warning will be issued by 211300 UTC. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 211238 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1238 UTC 21 MARCH 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION TROPICAL CYCLONE WATI WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 HECTOPASCALS CENTRED AT 211200UTC NEAR 17.5S 154.1E AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 7 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 240NM OF THE CYCLONE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT AND WITHIN 100NM IN REMAINING QUADRANTS. FORECAST CLOCKWISE WINDS 34/45 KNOTS WITHIN 100NM OF THE CYCLONE, EXTENDING TO 240NM IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 25 NM OF THE CENTRE, INCREASING TO 80 KNOTS NEAR THE CENTRE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITIONS: NEAR 17.7S 153.0E AT 220000UTC NEAR 17.9S 152.2E AT 221200UTC REMARKS ALL SHIPS IN THE AREA PLEASE SEND WEATHER REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS. REGULAR WEATHER OBSERVING SHIPS USE NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER SHIPS PLEASE USE EITHER EMAIL TO MARWXQLD@BOM.GOV.AU OR FAX TO +61732200221 OR SATELLITE TO SAC 41 THROUGH LAND EARTH STATION PERTH 222. NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BY 211300 UTC. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU05 APRF 211303 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:12S116E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1259UTC 21 MARCH 2006 STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1200UTC Tropical Cyclone Floyd located within 30 nautical miles of Latitude twelve decimal seven South [12.7S] Longitude one hundred and fifteen decimal zero East [115.0E] Recent movement : SW at 5 knots. Maximum winds : 45 knots. Central pressure : 984 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 90 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Within 40 nautical miles of the centre: Winds increasing to 45/50 knots by 22/0000UTC with very rough to high seas and moderate to heavy swell. Within 90 nautical miles: Winds above 34 knots with very rough seas and moderate to heavy swell. At 0000UTC 22 March: 13.3 south 113.1 east Central pressure 980 hPa. Winds to 50 knots near centre. At 1200UTC 22 March: 13.6 south 111.5 east Central pressure 972 hPa. Winds to 55 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1900UTC 21 March 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU05 APRF 211303 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:12S116E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1259UTC 21 MARCH 2006 STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1200UTC Tropical Cyclone Floyd located within 30 nautical miles of Latitude twelve decimal seven South [12.7S] Longitude one hundred and fifteen decimal zero East [115.0E] Recent movement : SW at 5 knots. Maximum winds : 45 knots. Central pressure : 984 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 90 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Within 40 nautical miles of the centre: Winds increasing to 45/50 knots by 22/0000UTC with very rough to high seas and moderate to heavy swell. Within 90 nautical miles: Winds above 34 knots with very rough seas and moderate to heavy swell. At 0000UTC 22 March: 13.3 south 113.1 east Central pressure 980 hPa. Winds to 50 knots near centre. At 1200UTC 22 March: 13.6 south 111.5 east Central pressure 972 hPa. Winds to 55 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1900UTC 21 March 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTPS32 PGTW 211500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (WATI) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z --- NEAR 17.7S 154.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.7S 154.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z --- 17.8S 153.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 18.2S 152.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 18.8S 153.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 19.6S 153.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z --- 22.3S 156.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 211500Z POSITION NEAR 17.7S 154.1E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 18P (WATI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 495 NM EAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS A SLIGHT WOBBLE IN THE DEEP CONVECTION AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER, AND THE CURRENT POSITION HAS TRACKED SLIGHTLY EQUATORWARD. TWO ANTICYCLONES ARE CONTROLLING THE STEERING FLOW OF TC 18P. ONE IS SITUATED EAST OF TC 18P, OVER VANUATU, WHILE A SMALLER ANTICYCLONE IS LOCATED OVER NORTHEAST AUSTRALIA. DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS, TC 18P WILL TRACK INTO A WEAKER STEERING ENVIRONMENT AS THE WESTERN ANTI- CYCLONE BECOMES MORE DIFFUSE AND THE EASTERN ANTICYCLONE REORIENTS ALONG A NORTHWEST-SOUTHEAST AXIS. AFTER TAU 36, THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD WITH THE DEEP LAYER MEAN FLOW. THE INTENSITY WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS, THEN DECREASE AS TC 18P MOVES INTO AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z IS 29 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z, 220300Z, 220900Z AND 221500Z.// BT #0001