** WTAU01 ABRF 181812 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1812 UTC 18 March 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Tropical cyclone Larry with central pressure 965 hectopascals centred at 181800UTC near 17.4S 152.8E and moving westwards at 14 knots. Position good. The cyclone is expected to continue intensifying as it moves in a general westerly direction. AREA AFFECTED Within 250nm of the low centre in the southern semi-circle and within 150 nm in the northern semi-circle. FORECAST Clockwise winds 34/45 knots with winds above 48 knots within 40nm and maximum winds reaching 70 knots near the centre. Maximum winds increasing to 90 knots near the centre in the next 12 to 24 hours. Seas rising from very rough to phenomenal over the next 24 hours on a heavy swell. Forecast positions Near 17.5S 149.9E at 190600UTC with maximum winds 80 knots; and Near 17.5S 147.2E at 191800UTC with maximum winds 90 knots. REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732398776 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 181812 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1812 UTC 18 MARCH 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION TROPICAL CYCLONE LARRY WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 HECTOPASCALS CENTRED AT 181800UTC NEAR 17.4S 152.8E AND MOVING WESTWARDS AT 14 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING AS IT MOVES IN A GENERAL WESTERLY DIRECTION. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 250NM OF THE LOW CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND WITHIN 150 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. FORECAST CLOCKWISE WINDS 34/45 KNOTS WITH WINDS ABOVE 48 KNOTS WITHIN 40NM AND MAXIMUM WINDS REACHING 70 KNOTS NEAR THE CENTRE. MAXIMUM WINDS INCREASING TO 90 KNOTS NEAR THE CENTRE IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. SEAS RISING FROM VERY ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS ON A HEAVY SWELL. FORECAST POSITIONS NEAR 17.5S 149.9E AT 190600UTC WITH MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS; AND NEAR 17.5S 147.2E AT 191800UTC WITH MAXIMUM WINDS 90 KNOTS. REMARKS ALL SHIPS IN THE AREA PLEASE SEND WEATHER REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS. REGULAR WEATHER OBSERVING SHIPS USE NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER SHIPS PLEASE USE EITHER EMAIL TO MARWXQLD@BOM.GOV.AU OR FAX TO +61732398776 OR SATELLITE TO SAC 41 THROUGH LAND EARTH STATION PERTH 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 181812 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1812 UTC 18 March 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Tropical cyclone Larry with central pressure 965 hectopascals centred at 181800UTC near 17.4S 152.8E and moving westwards at 14 knots. Position good. The cyclone is expected to continue intensifying as it moves in a general westerly direction. AREA AFFECTED Within 250nm of the low centre in the southern semi-circle and within 150 nm in the northern semi-circle. FORECAST Clockwise winds 34/45 knots with winds above 48 knots within 40nm and maximum winds reaching 70 knots near the centre. Maximum winds increasing to 90 knots near the centre in the next 12 to 24 hours. Seas rising from very rough to phenomenal over the next 24 hours on a heavy swell. Forecast positions Near 17.5S 149.9E at 190600UTC with maximum winds 80 knots; and Near 17.5S 147.2E at 191800UTC with maximum winds 90 knots. REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732398776 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 181812 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1812 UTC 18 March 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Tropical cyclone Larry with central pressure 965 hectopascals centred at 181800UTC near 17.4S 152.8E and moving westwards at 14 knots. Position good. The cyclone is expected to continue intensifying as it moves in a general westerly direction. AREA AFFECTED Within 250nm of the low centre in the southern semi-circle and within 150 nm in the northern semi-circle. FORECAST Clockwise winds 34/45 knots with winds above 48 knots within 40nm and maximum winds reaching 70 knots near the centre. Maximum winds increasing to 90 knots near the centre in the next 12 to 24 hours. Seas rising from very rough to phenomenal over the next 24 hours on a heavy swell. Forecast positions Near 17.5S 149.9E at 190600UTC with maximum winds 80 knots; and Near 17.5S 147.2E at 191800UTC with maximum winds 90 knots. REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732398776 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTPS31 PGTW 182100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17P (LARRY) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z --- NEAR 17.6S 152.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.6S 152.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z --- 17.9S 150.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z --- 18.2S 147.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z --- 18.5S 145.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 182100Z POSITION NEAR 17.7S 152.2E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 17P (LARRY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 410 NM EAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 17P CONTINUES TO TRACK ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF A RIDGE SITUATED TO THE SOUTH. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN IN A LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT ALTHOUGH THE LACK OF A WELL DEFINED OUTFLOW CHANNEL WILL LIMIT INTENSIFICATION. THE STORM WILL RAPIDLY WEAKEN AFTER TAU 24 AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE COASTAL MOUNTAINS BETWEEN TOWNSVILLE AND CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z, 190900Z, 191500Z, AND 192100Z.//