** WTSR20 WSSS 180600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTSR20 WSSS 180600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTAU01 ABRF 181239 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1238 UTC 18 March 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Tropical cyclone Larry with central pressure 970 hectopascals centred at 181200UTC near 17.2S 154.2E and moving westwards at 12 knots. Position good. The cyclone is expected to continue intensifying as it moves in a general westerly direction. AREA AFFECTED Within 250nm of the low centre in the southern semi-circle and within 150 nm in the northern semi-circle. FORECAST Clockwise winds 34/45 knots with winds above 48 knots within 40nm and maximum winds reaching 65 knots near the centre. Maximum winds increasing to 90 knots near the centre in the next 12 to 24 hours. Seas rising from very rough to phenomenal over the next 24 hours on a heavy swell. Forecast positions Near 17.6S 151.4E at 190000UTC with maximum winds 80 knots; and Near 17.6S 148.4E at 191200UTC with maximum winds 90 knots. REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732398776 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 181239 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1238 UTC 18 MARCH 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION TROPICAL CYCLONE LARRY WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 HECTOPASCALS CENTRED AT 181200UTC NEAR 17.2S 154.2E AND MOVING WESTWARDS AT 12 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING AS IT MOVES IN A GENERAL WESTERLY DIRECTION. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 250NM OF THE LOW CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND WITHIN 150 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. FORECAST CLOCKWISE WINDS 34/45 KNOTS WITH WINDS ABOVE 48 KNOTS WITHIN 40NM AND MAXIMUM WINDS REACHING 65 KNOTS NEAR THE CENTRE. MAXIMUM WINDS INCREASING TO 90 KNOTS NEAR THE CENTRE IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. SEAS RISING FROM VERY ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS ON A HEAVY SWELL. FORECAST POSITIONS NEAR 17.6S 151.4E AT 190000UTC WITH MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS; AND NEAR 17.6S 148.4E AT 191200UTC WITH MAXIMUM WINDS 90 KNOTS. REMARKS ALL SHIPS IN THE AREA PLEASE SEND WEATHER REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS. REGULAR WEATHER OBSERVING SHIPS USE NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER SHIPS PLEASE USE EITHER EMAIL TO MARWXQLD@BOM.GOV.AU OR FAX TO +61732398776 OR SATELLITE TO SAC 41 THROUGH LAND EARTH STATION PERTH 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 181239 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1238 UTC 18 March 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Tropical cyclone Larry with central pressure 970 hectopascals centred at 181200UTC near 17.2S 154.2E and moving westwards at 12 knots. Position good. The cyclone is expected to continue intensifying as it moves in a general westerly direction. AREA AFFECTED Within 250nm of the low centre in the southern semi-circle and within 150 nm in the northern semi-circle. FORECAST Clockwise winds 34/45 knots with winds above 48 knots within 40nm and maximum winds reaching 65 knots near the centre. Maximum winds increasing to 90 knots near the centre in the next 12 to 24 hours. Seas rising from very rough to phenomenal over the next 24 hours on a heavy swell. Forecast positions Near 17.6S 151.4E at 190000UTC with maximum winds 80 knots; and Near 17.6S 148.4E at 191200UTC with maximum winds 90 knots. REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732398776 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTPS31 PGTW 181500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17P (LARRY) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z --- NEAR 17.3S 154.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3S 154.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z --- 17.7S 151.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z --- 18.0S 148.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z --- 18.2S 146.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z --- 18.4S 143.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 181500Z POSITION NEAR 17.4S 153.7E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 17P (LARRY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 490 NM EAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 17P CONTINUES TO TRACK ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF A RIDGE SITUATED TO THE SOUTH. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN IN A LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT ALTHOUGH THE LACK OF A WELL DEFINED OUTFLOW CHANNEL WILL LIMIT INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z, 190300Z, 190900Z AND 191500Z.//