** WTSR20 WSSS 171800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTAU01 ABRF 180039 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 0039 UTC 18 MARCH 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION TROPICAL CYCLONE LARRY WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 HECTOPASCALS CENTRED AT 180000UTC NEAR 17.2S 156.6E AND MOVING WSW AT 13 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED DEEPEN. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 300NM OF THE LOW CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND WITHIN 200 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. FORECAST CLOCKWISE WINDS 34/45 KNOTS WITH MAXIMUM WINDS REACHING 50 KNOTS WITHIN 40 NM OF THE CENTRE. MAXIMUM WINDS INCREASING TO 65 KNOTS WITHIN 40 NM OF THE CENTRE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SEAS RISING VERY ROUGH TO HIGH. FORECAST POSITIONS NEAR 17.3S 154.3E AT 181200UTC WITH MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS; AND NEAR 17.6S 151.6E AT 190000UTC WITH MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. REMARKS ALL SHIPS IN THE AREA PLEASE SEND WEATHER REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS. REGULAR WEATHER OBSERVING SHIPS USE NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER SHIPS PLEASE USE EITHER EMAIL TO MARWXQLD@BOM.GOV.AU OR FAX TO +61732398776 OR SATELLITE TO SAC 41 THROUGH LAND EARTH STATION PERTH 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 180039 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 0039 UTC 18 March 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Tropical cyclone Larry with central pressure 985 hectopascals centred at 180000UTC near 17.2S 156.6E and moving WSW at 13 knots. Position good. The cyclone is expected deepen. AREA AFFECTED Within 300nm of the low centre in the southern semi-circle and within 200 nm in the northern semi-circle. FORECAST Clockwise winds 34/45 knots with maximum winds reaching 50 knots within 40 nm of the centre. Maximum winds increasing to 65 knots within 40 nm of the centre in the next 24 hours. Seas rising very rough to high. Forecast positions Near 17.3S 154.3E at 181200UTC with maximum winds 55 knots; and Near 17.6S 151.6E at 190000UTC with maximum winds 65 knots. REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732398776 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 180039 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 0039 UTC 18 March 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Tropical cyclone Larry with central pressure 985 hectopascals centred at 180000UTC near 17.2S 156.6E and moving WSW at 13 knots. Position good. The cyclone is expected deepen. AREA AFFECTED Within 300nm of the low centre in the southern semi-circle and within 200 nm in the northern semi-circle. FORECAST Clockwise winds 34/45 knots with maximum winds reaching 50 knots within 40 nm of the centre. Maximum winds increasing to 65 knots within 40 nm of the centre in the next 24 hours. Seas rising very rough to high. Forecast positions Near 17.3S 154.3E at 181200UTC with maximum winds 55 knots; and Near 17.6S 151.6E at 190000UTC with maximum winds 65 knots. REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732398776 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTPS31 PGTW 180300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/172121ZMAR2006// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17P (LARRY) WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z --- NEAR 16.9S 156.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.9S 156.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z --- 17.6S 154.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z --- 18.2S 152.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z --- 18.9S 150.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z --- 19.7S 147.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z --- 20.8S 144.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 180300Z POSITION NEAR 17.1S 156.4E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 17S (LARRY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 640 NM EAST OF CAIRNES, AUSTRALIA HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 17S WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF A RIDGE SITUATED TO THE SOUTH OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. INTENSIFICATION WILL OCCUR AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE DUE TO AN ENVIRONMENT OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THIS WARNING SUPER- SEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 172121Z MAR 06 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 172130) MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z IS 8 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z, 181500Z, 182100Z AND 190300Z.//