** WTSR20 WSSS 091800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTSR20 WSSS 091800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTIO21 FMEE 100009 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 10/03/2006 A 0000 UTC. NUMERO: 32/11 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE TEMPETE DEBUT DE VALIDITE: VENDREDI 10/03/2006 A 0000 UTC. PHENOMENE: DEPRESSION EXTRATROPICALE 11 (EX-DIWA) 985 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 40 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 36.5S / 67.0E (TRENTE-SIX DEGRES CINQ SUD ET SOIXANTE-SEPT DEGRES ZERO EST) A 0000 UTC DEPLACEMENT: EST-SUD-EST 20 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 350 MN DANS LE SECTEUR SUD ET JUSQU'A 500 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE EST. TEMPETE 50/55KT ET MER GROSSE A TRES GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 90 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT LOCALEMENT JUSQU'A 180 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE EST .. COUP DE VENT 35/45 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 120 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 240 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE EST. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 180 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 300 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE EST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 10/03/2006 A 12 UTC: 37.8S / 72.3E, VENT MAX = 50 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. A 24H POUR LE 11/03/2006 A 00 UTC: 39.5S / 77.4E, VENT MAX = 45 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE SYSTEME "EX-DIWA" PRESENTE MAINTENANT UNE STRUCTURE EXTRA-TROPICALE, C'EST A DIRE AVEC DES VENTS FORTS LOIN DU CENTRE, ET EN PARTICULIER DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE EST EN RAISON DE LA VITESSE PROPRE DU SYSTEME ET DU GRADIENT AVEC LES HAUTES PRESSIONS SUBTROPICALES. "EX-DIWA" CONTINUE EN DIRECTION DE L'EST-SUD-EST AU SEIN DE LA CIRCULATION POLAIRE EN SE DIRIGEANT VERS LES ILES DE SAINT-PAUL/AMSTERDAM QU'IL DEVRAIT FROLER DANS LA NUIT DU 10 AU 11. . ** WTIO24 FMEE 100009 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/03/2006 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 32/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 10/03/2006 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 11 (EX-DIWA) 985 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 36.5S / 67.0E (THIRTY SIX DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: EAST-SOUTH-EAST 20 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDING UP TO 350 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR AND UP TO 500 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STROM FORCE WINDS 50/55KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER., EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 180 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 240 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 180 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/03/10 AT 12 UTC: 37.8S / 72.3E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H, VALID 2006/03/11 AT 00 UTC: 39.5S / 77.4E, MAX WIND = 45 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. OTHER INFORMATIONS: "EX-DIWA" HAS NOW AN EXTRA-TROPICAL STRUCTURE, MAXIMUM WINDS EXIST FAR FROM THE CENTRE, ESPECIALLY IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE DU TO THE MOTION OF THE SYSTEM AND TO THE GRADIENT WITH SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. "EX-DIWA" KEEPS ON TRACKING EASTSOUTHEASTWARDS INTO THE POLAR WESTERLY CIRCULATION, TOWARDS SAINT-PAUL/AMSTERDAM ISLANDS IT SHOULD APPROACH DURING THE NIGHT OF THE 10 TO 11. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 100010 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 31/11/20052006 1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 11 (EX-DIWA) 2.A POSITION 2006/03/10 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 36.5S / 67.0E (THIRTY SIX DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 985 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 500 SE: 500 SO: 300 NO: 300 50 KT NE: 250 SE: 200 SO: 150 NO: 150 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/10 12 UTC: 37.8S/72.3E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2006/03/11 00 UTC: 39.5S/77.4E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2006/03/11 12 UTC: 40.4S/83.2E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2006/03/12 00 UTC: 42.5S/90.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2006/03/12 12 UTC: 44.3S/98.1E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: "EX-DIWA" HAS NOW AN EXTRA-TROPICAL STRUCTURE. THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTH AND MAINLY EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLES DUE TO THE MOTION OF THE SYSTEM AND TO THE GRADIENT WITH SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. "EX-DIWA " KEEPS ON TRACKING EASTSOUTHEASTWARDS INTO THE POLAR WESTERLY CIRCULATION, TOWARDS SAINT-PAUL/AMSTERDAM ISLANDS IT SHOULD APPROACH DURING THE NIGHT OF THE 10 TO 11.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 100010 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 31/11/20052006 1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 11 (EX-DIWA) 2.A POSITION 2006/03/10 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 36.5S / 67.0E (THIRTY SIX DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 985 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 500 SE: 500 SO: 300 NO: 300 50 KT NE: 250 SE: 200 SO: 150 NO: 150 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/10 12 UTC: 37.8S/72.3E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2006/03/11 00 UTC: 39.5S/77.4E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2006/03/11 12 UTC: 40.4S/83.2E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2006/03/12 00 UTC: 42.5S/90.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2006/03/12 12 UTC: 44.3S/98.1E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: "EX-DIWA" HAS NOW AN EXTRA-TROPICAL STRUCTURE. THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTH AND MAINLY EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLES DUE TO THE MOTION OF THE SYSTEM AND TO THE GRADIENT WITH SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. "EX-DIWA " KEEPS ON TRACKING EASTSOUTHEASTWARDS INTO THE POLAR WESTERLY CIRCULATION, TOWARDS SAINT-PAUL/AMSTERDAM ISLANDS IT SHOULD APPROACH DURING THE NIGHT OF THE 10 TO 11. .