** WTSR20 WSSS 090600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTIO30 FMEE 091208 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 29/11/20052006 1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 11 (EX-DIWA) 2.A POSITION 2006/03/09 AT 1200 UTC : 35.2S / 62.5E (THIRTY FIVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 985 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 500 SE: 600 SO: 300 NO: 300 50 KT NE: 300 SE: 200 SO: 150 NO: 150 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/10 00 UTC: 36.2S/67.3E, MAX WIND=060KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2006/03/10 12 UTC: 38.2S/73.1E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2006/03/11 00 UTC: 40.3S/78.6E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2006/03/11 12 UTC: 42.5S/84.8E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2006/03/12 00 UTC: 45.6S/92.1E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2006/03/12 12 UTC: 47.0S/98.0E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: "EX-DIWA" HAS NOW AN EXTRA-TROPICAL STRUCTURE. THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTH AND MAINLY EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLES DUE TO THE MOTION OF THE SYSTEM AND TO THE GRADIENT WITH SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. "EX-DIWA " KEEPS ON TRACKING EAST SOUTHEASTWARDS INTO THE POLAR WESTERLY CIRCULATION. . ** WTIO21 FMEE 091208 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 09/03/2006 A 1200 UTC. NUMERO: 030/11 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE TEMPETE DEBUT DE VALIDITE: JEUDI 09/03/2006 A 1200 UTC. PHENOMENE: DEPRESSION EXTRATROPICALE 11 (EX-DIWA) 985 HPA POSITION: 35.2S / 62.5E (TRENTE-CINQ DEGRES DEUX SUD ET SOIXANTE-DEUX DEGRES CINQ EST) A 1200 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-EST 19 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 150 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU 'A 300 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD ET JUSQU'A 450 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE EST. TEMPETE 50/60KT ET MER GROSSE A TRES GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 90 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT LOCALEMENT JUSQU'A 180 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE EST .. COUP DE VENT 35/45 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 120 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 240 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE EST. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 180 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 300 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE EST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 10/03/2006 A 00 UTC: 36.2S / 67.3E, VENT MAX = 60 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. A 24H POUR LE 10/03/2006 A 12 UTC: 38.2S / 73.1E, VENT MAX = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE SYSTEME "EX-DIWA" PRESENTE MAINTENANT UNE STRUCTURE EXTRA-TROPICALE, C'EST A DIRE AVEC DES VENTS FORTS LOIN DU CENTRE, ET EN PARTICULIER DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE EST EN RAISON DE LA VITESSE PROPRE DU SYSTEME ET DU GRADIENT AVEC LES HAUTES PRESSIONS SUBTROPICALES. "EX-DIWA" CONTINUE EN DIRECTION DE L 'EST SUD-EST AU SEIN DE LA CIRCULATION POLAIRE. . ** WTIO24 FMEE 091208 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 09/03/2006 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 030/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 09/03/2006 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 11 (EX-DIWA) 985 HPA POSITION: 35.2S / 62.5E (THIRTY FIVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 19 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE AND UP TO 450 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STROM FORCE WINDS 50/60KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER., EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 180 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 240 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 180 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/03/10 AT 00 UTC: 36.2S / 67.3E, MAX WIND = 60 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H, VALID 2006/03/10 AT 12 UTC: 38.2S / 73.1E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. OTHER INFORMATIONS: "EX-DIWA" HAS NOW AN EXTRA-TROPICAL STRUCTURE, MAXIMUM WINDS EXIST FAR FROM THE CENTRE, ESPECIALLY IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE DU TO THE MOTION OF THE SYSTEM AND TO THE GRADIENT WITH SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. "EX-DIWA" KEEPS ON TRACKING EAST SOUTHEASTWARDS INTO THE POLAR WESTERLY CIRCULATION. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 091208 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 29/11/20052006 1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 11 (EX-DIWA) 2.A POSITION 2006/03/09 AT 1200 UTC : 35.2S / 62.5E (THIRTY FIVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 985 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 500 SE: 600 SO: 300 NO: 300 50 KT NE: 300 SE: 200 SO: 150 NO: 150 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/10 00 UTC: 36.2S/67.3E, MAX WIND=060KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2006/03/10 12 UTC: 38.2S/73.1E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2006/03/11 00 UTC: 40.3S/78.6E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2006/03/11 12 UTC: 42.5S/84.8E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2006/03/12 00 UTC: 45.6S/92.1E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2006/03/12 12 UTC: 47.0S/98.0E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: "EX-DIWA" HAS NOW AN EXTRA-TROPICAL STRUCTURE. THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTH AND MAINLY EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLES DUE TO THE MOTION OF THE SYSTEM AND TO THE GRADIENT WITH SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. "EX-DIWA " KEEPS ON TRACKING EAST SOUTHEASTWARDS INTO THE POLAR WESTERLY CIRCULATION.=