** WTSR20 WSSS 081800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTIO22 FMEE 090013 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 09/03/2006 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 028/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 09/03/2006 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 11 (EX-DIWA) 985 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 32.3S / 59.6E (THIRTY TWO DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 20 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 400 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN AND EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLES. STROM FORCE WINDS 50/55KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER., EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 40 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/03/09 AT 12 UTC: 34.5S / 62.5E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H, VALID 2006/03/10 AT 00 UTC: 36.6S / 67.5E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. OTHER INFORMATIONS: "EX-DIWA" IS NOW CONSIDERED AS AN EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION, WITH MAXIMUM WINDS FAR FROM THE CENTRE, ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE DU TO THE MOTION OF THE SYSTEM AND TO THE GRADIENT WITH SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. "EX-DIWA" KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARDS TOWARDS THE POLAR WESTERLY CI RCULATION.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 090013 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 27/11/20052006 1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 11 (EX-DIWA) 2.A POSITION 2006/03/09 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 32.3S / 59.6E (THIRTY TWO DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 985 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 330 SE: 600 SO: 500 NO: 270 50 KT NE: 060 SE: 120 SO: 120 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/09 12 UTC: 34.5S/62.5E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2006/03/10 00 UTC: 36.6S/67.5E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2006/03/10 12 UTC: 38.7S/72.9E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2006/03/11 00 UTC: 40.8S/78.7E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2006/03/11 12 UTC: 42.8S/85.1E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: "EX-DIWA" HAS COMPLETED THE EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION : THE ELLIPTIC LLCC IS GETTING POORLY ORGANIZED (AQUA-1 2059Z), THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS FAR SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTRE. THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE MOTION OF THE SYSTEM AND TO THE GRADI ENT WITH SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. "EX-DIWA" KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARDS TOWARDS THE POLAR WESTERLY CIRCULATION. . ** WTIO21 FMEE 090013 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 09/03/2006 A 0000 UTC. NUMERO: 028/11 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE TEMPETE DEBUT DE VALIDITE: JEUDI 09/03/2006 A 0000 UTC. PHENOMENE: DEPRESSION EXTRATROPICALE 11 (EX-DIWA) 985 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 40 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 32.3S / 59.6E (TRENTE-DEUX DEGRES TROIS SUD ET CINQUANTE-NEUF DEGRES SIX EST) A 0000 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-EST 20 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 100 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU 'A 400 MN DANS LE SUD ET L'EST. TEMPETE 50/55KT ET MER GROSSE A TRES GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT LOCALEMENT JUSQU'A 60 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. COUP DE VENT 35/40 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 60 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 120 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 150 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 300 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 09/03/2006 A 12 UTC: 34.5S / 62.5E, VENT MAX = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. A 24H POUR LE 10/03/2006 A 00 UTC: 36.6S / 67.5E, VENT MAX = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE SYSTEME "EX-DIWA" EST MAINTENANT ANALYSE COMME UNE DEPRESSION EXTRA-TROPICALE, AVEC DES VENTS FORTS LOIN DU CENTRE, ESSENTIELLEMENT DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST EN RAISON DE LA VITESSE PROPRE DU SYSTEME ET DU GRADIENT AVEC LES HAUTES PRESSIONS SUBTROPICALES. "EX-DIWA" CONTINUE EN DIRECTION DU SUD- EST VERS LA CIRCULATION POLAIRE. . ** WTIO22 FMEE 090013 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 09/03/2006 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 028/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 09/03/2006 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 11 (EX-DIWA) 985 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 32.3S / 59.6E (THIRTY TWO DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 20 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 400 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN AND EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLES. STROM FORCE WINDS 50/55KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER., EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 40 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/03/09 AT 12 UTC: 34.5S / 62.5E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H, VALID 2006/03/10 AT 00 UTC: 36.6S / 67.5E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. OTHER INFORMATIONS: "EX-DIWA" IS NOW CONSIDERED AS AN EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION, WITH MAXIMUM WINDS FAR FROM THE CENTRE, ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE DU TO THE MOTION OF THE SYSTEM AND TO THE GRADIENT WITH SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. "EX-DIWA" KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARDS TOWARDS THE POLAR WESTERLY CI RCULATION. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 090013 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 27/11/20052006 1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 11 (EX-DIWA) 2.A POSITION 2006/03/09 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 32.3S / 59.6E (THIRTY TWO DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 985 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 330 SE: 600 SO: 500 NO: 270 50 KT NE: 060 SE: 120 SO: 120 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/09 12 UTC: 34.5S/62.5E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2006/03/10 00 UTC: 36.6S/67.5E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2006/03/10 12 UTC: 38.7S/72.9E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2006/03/11 00 UTC: 40.8S/78.7E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2006/03/11 12 UTC: 42.8S/85.1E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: "EX-DIWA" HAS COMPLETED THE EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION : THE ELLIPTIC LLCC IS GETTING POORLY ORGANIZED (AQUA-1 2059Z), THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS FAR SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTRE. THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE MOTION OF THE SYSTEM AND TO THE GRADI ENT WITH SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. "EX-DIWA" KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARDS TOWARDS THE POLAR WESTERLY CIRCULATION.= ** WTIN20 DEMS 090600 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 09-03-2006 AAA TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN(THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC(.) CONVECTIVE CLOUDS OVER PARTS OF SOUTH WEST OF BAY OF BENGAL SOUTH WESTERLIES PREVAIL OVER THE INDIAN REGION(.)