** WTIO22 FMEE 081808 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/03/2006 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 027/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 08/03/2006 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 980 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF POINT 30.4S / 58.9E (THIRTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 18 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 500 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STROM FORCE WINDS 50/55KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER., EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 40 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, WHERE 60 KT WINDS ARE LIKELY NEAR THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/03/09 AT 06 UTC: 32.8S / 61.2E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 24H, VALID 2006/03/09 AT 18 UTC: 35.6S / 63.7E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. OTHER INFORMATIONS: "DIWA" ACCELERATES ON ITS SOUTHEASTWARDS TRACK TOWARDS THE POLAR WESTERLY CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE MOTION OF THE SYSTEM AND TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.= ** WTIO21 FMEE 081808 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 08/03/2006 A 1800 UTC. NUMERO: 027/11 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE TEMPETE DEBUT DE VALIDITE: MERCREDI 08/03/2006 A 1800 UTC. PHENOMENE: FORTE TEMPETE TROPICALE 11 (DIWA) 980 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 60 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 30.4S / 58.9E (TRENTE DEGRES QUATRE SUD ET CINQUANTE-HUIT DEGRES NEUF EST) A 1800 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-EST 18 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 100 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU 'A 500 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. TEMPETE 50/55KT ET MER GROSSE A TRES GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT LOCALEMENT JUSQU'A 60 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST, OU DES VENTS DE 60KT SONT POSSIBLES PRES DU CENTRE. COUP DE VENT 35/40 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 60 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 120 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 150 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 300 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 09/03/2006 A 06 UTC: 32.8S / 61.2E, VENT MAX = 55 KT, DEVENANT EXTRATROPICAL. A 24H POUR LE 09/03/2006 A 18 UTC: 35.6S / 63.7E, VENT MAX = 50 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE SYSTEME "DIWA" ACCELERE SUR SA TRAJECTOIRE EN DIRECTION DU SUD-EST ET REJOINT PROGRESSIVEMENT LA CIRCULATION POLAIRE D'OUEST. LES VENTS LES PLUS FORTS SONT SITUES DANS LE SUD-EST DU SYSTEME EN RAISON DU DEPLACEMENT PROPRE DU SYSTEME ET DU GRADIENT AVEC LES HAUTES PRESSIONS SUBTROPICALES. . ** WTIO22 FMEE 081808 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/03/2006 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 027/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 08/03/2006 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 980 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF POINT 30.4S / 58.9E (THIRTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 18 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 500 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STROM FORCE WINDS 50/55KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER., EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 40 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, WHERE 60 KT WINDS ARE LIKELY NEAR THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/03/09 AT 06 UTC: 32.8S / 61.2E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 24H, VALID 2006/03/09 AT 18 UTC: 35.6S / 63.7E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. OTHER INFORMATIONS: "DIWA" ACCELERATES ON ITS SOUTHEASTWARDS TRACK TOWARDS THE POLAR WESTERLY CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE MOTION OF THE SYSTEM AND TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 081809 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 26/11/20052006 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 2.A POSITION 2006/03/08 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF POINT 30.4S / 58.9E (THIRTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/4.0 /W 1.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 980 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 330 SE: 600 SO: 500 NO: 270 50 KT NE: 060 SE: 120 SO: 120 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/09 06 UTC: 32.8S/61.2E, MAX WIND=055KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2006/03/09 18 UTC: 35.6S/63.7E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2006/03/10 06 UTC: 37.1S/67.9E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2006/03/10 18 UTC: 40.9S/74.8E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2006/03/11 06 UTC: 44.4S/82.3E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: "DIWA" ACCELERATES ON ITS SOUTHEASTWARDS TRACK. THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS GETTING DISORGANIZED BY AN INCREASING VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND "DIWA" HAS BEGUN AN EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 081809 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 26/11/20052006 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 2.A POSITION 2006/03/08 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF POINT 30.4S / 58.9E (THIRTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/4.0 /W 1.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 980 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 330 SE: 600 SO: 500 NO: 270 50 KT NE: 060 SE: 120 SO: 120 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/09 06 UTC: 32.8S/61.2E, MAX WIND=055KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2006/03/09 18 UTC: 35.6S/63.7E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2006/03/10 06 UTC: 37.1S/67.9E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2006/03/10 18 UTC: 40.9S/74.8E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2006/03/11 06 UTC: 44.4S/82.3E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: "DIWA" ACCELERATES ON ITS SOUTHEASTWARDS TRACK. THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS GETTING DISORGANIZED BY AN INCREASING VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND "DIWA" HAS BEGUN AN EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION. . ** WTXS31 PGTW 082100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (DIWA) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z --- NEAR 29.7S 58.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 29.7S 58.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 32.8S 61.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 082100Z POSITION NEAR 30.5S 59.3E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (DIWA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 530 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF LA REUNION, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 16S IS IN THE PROCESS OF BE- COMING EXTRATROPICAL AS EVIDENT BY A BROAD CIRRUS SHIELD POLEWARD OF THE SYSTEM AND SIGNS OF COLD AIR WRAPPING FROM THE SOUTH. THE SYSTEM WILL BE FULLY EXTRATROPICAL BY TAU 12. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 12 FEET.//