** WTSR20 WSSS 080600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTIO22 FMEE 081212 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/03/2006 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 026/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 08/03/2006 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 980 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 28.6S / 57.0E (TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 14 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STROM FORCE WINDS 50/55KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER., EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 40 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, WHERE 60KT ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, AND UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/03/09 AT 00 UTC: 32.2S / 58.7E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H, VALID 2006/03/09 AT 12 UTC: 35.3S / 61.6E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. OTHER INFORMATIONS: DUE TO THE SHIFT OF SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST, THE SYSTEM IS ACCELERATING GLOBALLY SOUTHEASTWARDS. IT SHOULD EVACUATE AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL DURING NEXT NIGHT, AND KEEP STRONG WINDS, MAINLY IN THE EASTERN PART, DUE TO THE SPEED OF ITS OWN MOTION AND TO THE GRADIENT WITH SUBTROPICAL HIG H PRESSURES.= ** WTIO22 FMEE 081212 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/03/2006 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 026/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 08/03/2006 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 980 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 28.6S / 57.0E (TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 14 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STROM FORCE WINDS 50/55KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER., EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 40 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, WHERE 60KT ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, AND UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/03/09 AT 00 UTC: 32.2S / 58.7E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H, VALID 2006/03/09 AT 12 UTC: 35.3S / 61.6E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. OTHER INFORMATIONS: DUE TO THE SHIFT OF SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST, THE SYSTEM IS ACCELERATING GLOBALLY SOUTHEASTWARDS. IT SHOULD EVACUATE AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL DURING NEXT NIGHT, AND KEEP STRONG WINDS, MAINLY IN THE EASTERN PART, DUE TO THE SPEED OF ITS OWN MOTION AND TO THE GRADIENT WITH SUBTROPICAL HIG H PRESSURES. . ** WTIO21 FMEE 081212 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 08/03/2006 A 1200 UTC. NUMERO: 026/11 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE TEMPETE DEBUT DE VALIDITE: MERCREDI 08/03/2006 A 1200 UTC. PHENOMENE: FORTE TEMPETE TROPICALE 11 (DIWA) 980 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 28.6S / 57.0E (VINGT-HUIT DEGRES SIX SUD ET CINQUANTE-SEPT DEGRES ZERO EST) A 1200 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-SUD-EST 14 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 50 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 300 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. TEMPETE 50/55KT ET MER GROSSE A TRES GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT LOCALEMENT JUSQU'A 40MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE EST, OU DES VENTS DE 60KT SONT POSSIBLES PRES DU CENTRE. COUP DE VENT 35/40 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 60 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 120 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 100 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 300 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 09/03/2006 A 00 UTC: 32.2S / 58.7E, VENT MAX = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. A 24H POUR LE 09/03/2006 A 12 UTC: 35.3S / 61.6E, VENT MAX = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: SUITE AU DECALAGE DES HAUTES PRESSIONS SUBTROPICALES VERS L'EST, LE SYSTEME S'ACCELERE GLOBALEMENT VERS LE SUD-EST. IL DEVRAIT S'EVACUER DANS LE DOMAINE EXTRATROPICAL ET CHANGER DE STRUCTURE AU COURS DE LA NUIT PROCHAINE, TOUT EN CONSERVANT DES VENTS FORTS PRINCIPALEMENT DANS LA PARTIE EST EN RAISON DU DEPLACEMENT PROPRE DU SYSTEME ET DU GRADIENT AVEC LES HAUTES PRESSIONS SUBTROPICALES. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 081220 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 25/11/20052006 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 2.A POSITION 2006/03/08 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 28.6S / 57.0E (TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/4.0 MOINS /W 1.0/6 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 980 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 300 SE: 600 SO: 500 NO: 200 50 KT NE: 050 SE: 080 SO: 050 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/09 00 UTC: 32.2S/58.7E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2006/03/09 12 UTC: 35.3S/61.6E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2006/03/10 00 UTC: 36.8S/66.4E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2006/03/10 12 UTC: 39.3S/72.7E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2006/03/11 00 UTC: 42.7S/79.4E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2006/03/11 12 UTC: 45.6S/85.5E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: DUE TO THE SHIFT OF SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES TO THE EAST, THE SYSTEM IS ACCELERATING GLOBALLY SOUTHEASTWARDS. CONVECTION STARTED DO DISORGANIZED ITSELF DUE TO AN INCREASING VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. IT SHOULD EVACUATE AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL DURING NEXT NIGHT, UNDERGOING A MORE AND MORE STRONG NORTHWESTERLY WINDSHEAR, OVER WATERS COOLER THAN 26AOC (SOUTH OF 30AOS).= ** WTIO30 FMEE 081220 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 25/11/20052006 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 2.A POSITION 2006/03/08 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 28.6S / 57.0E (TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/4.0 MOINS /W 1.0/6 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 980 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 300 SE: 600 SO: 500 NO: 200 50 KT NE: 050 SE: 080 SO: 050 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/09 00 UTC: 32.2S/58.7E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2006/03/09 12 UTC: 35.3S/61.6E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2006/03/10 00 UTC: 36.8S/66.4E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2006/03/10 12 UTC: 39.3S/72.7E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2006/03/11 00 UTC: 42.7S/79.4E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2006/03/11 12 UTC: 45.6S/85.5E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: DUE TO THE SHIFT OF SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES TO THE EAST, THE SYSTEM IS ACCELERATING GLOBALLY SOUTHEASTWARDS. CONVECTION STARTED DO DISORGANIZED ITSELF DUE TO AN INCREASING VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. IT SHOULD EVACUATE AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL DURING NEXT NIGHT, UNDERGOING A MORE AND MORE STRONG NORTHWESTERLY WINDSHEAR, OVER WATERS COOLER THAN 26AoC (SOUTH OF 30AoS). . ** WTIO22 FMEE 081227 CCA *** *************** CORRECTIVE ************** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/03/2006 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 026/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 08/03/2006 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 980 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 28.9S / 57.4E (TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 15 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STROM FORCE WINDS 50/55KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER., EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 40 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, WHERE 60KT ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, AND UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/03/09 AT 00 UTC: 32.2S / 58.7E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H, VALID 2006/03/09 AT 12 UTC: 35.3S / 61.6E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. OTHER INFORMATIONS: DUE TO THE SHIFT OF SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST, THE SYSTEM IS ACCELERATING GLOBALLY SOUTHEASTWARDS. IT SHOULD EVACUATE AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL DURING NEXT NIGHT, AND KEEP STRONG WINDS, MAINLY IN THE EASTERN PART, DUE TO THE SPEED OF ITS OWN MOTION AND TO THE GRADIENT WITH SUBTROPICAL HIG H PRESSURES. . ** WTIO21 FMEE 081227 CCA *** *************** CORRECTIF *************** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 08/03/2006 A 1200 UTC. NUMERO: 026/11 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE TEMPETE DEBUT DE VALIDITE: MERCREDI 08/03/2006 A 1200 UTC. PHENOMENE: FORTE TEMPETE TROPICALE 11 (DIWA) 980 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 28.9S / 57.4E (VINGT-HUIT DEGRES NEUF SUD ET CINQUANTE-SEPT DEGRES QUATRE EST) A 1200 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-EST 15 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 50 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 300 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. TEMPETE 50/55KT ET MER GROSSE A TRES GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT LOCALEMENT JUSQU'A 40MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE EST, OU DES VENTS DE 60KT SONT POSSIBLES PRES DU CENTRE. COUP DE VENT 35/40 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 60 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 120 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 100 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 300 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 09/03/2006 A 00 UTC: 32.2S / 58.7E, VENT MAX = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. A 24H POUR LE 09/03/2006 A 12 UTC: 35.3S / 61.6E, VENT MAX = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: SUITE AU DECALAGE DES HAUTES PRESSIONS SUBTROPICALES VERS L'EST, LE SYSTEME S'ACCELERE GLOBALEMENT VERS LE SUD-EST. IL DEVRAIT S'EVACUER DANS LE DOMAINE EXTRATROPICAL ET CHANGER DE STRUCTURE AU COURS DE LA NUIT PROCHAINE, TOUT EN CONSERVANT DES VENTS FORTS PRINCIPALEMENT DANS LA PARTIE EST EN RAISON DU DEPLACEMENT PROPRE DU SYSTEME ET DU GRADIENT AVEC LES HAUTES PRESSIONS SUBTROPICALES. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 081227 CCA *** *************** CORRECTIVE ************** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 25/11/20052006 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 2.A POSITION 2006/03/08 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 28.9S / 57.4E (TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/4.0 MOINS /W 1.0/6 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 980 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 300 SE: 600 SO: 500 NO: 200 50 KT NE: 050 SE: 080 SO: 050 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/09 00 UTC: 32.2S/58.7E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2006/03/09 12 UTC: 35.3S/61.6E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2006/03/10 00 UTC: 36.8S/66.4E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2006/03/10 12 UTC: 39.3S/72.7E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2006/03/11 00 UTC: 42.7S/79.4E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2006/03/11 12 UTC: 45.6S/85.5E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: DUE TO THE SHIFT OF SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES TO THE EAST, THE SYSTEM IS ACCELERATING GLOBALLY SOUTHEASTWARDS. CONVECTION STARTED DO DISORGANIZED ITSELF DUE TO AN INCREASING VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. IT SHOULD EVACUATE AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL DURING NEXT NIGHT, UNDERGOING A MORE AND MORE STRONG NORTHWESTERLY WINDSHEAR, OVER WATERS COOLER THAN 26AoC (SOUTH OF 30AoS). . ** WTIO22 FMEE 081227 CCA *** *************** CORRECTIVE ************** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/03/2006 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 026/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 08/03/2006 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 980 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 28.9S / 57.4E (TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 15 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STROM FORCE WINDS 50/55KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER., EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 40 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, WHERE 60KT ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, AND UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/03/09 AT 00 UTC: 32.2S / 58.7E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H, VALID 2006/03/09 AT 12 UTC: 35.3S / 61.6E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. OTHER INFORMATIONS: DUE TO THE SHIFT OF SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST, THE SYSTEM IS ACCELERATING GLOBALLY SOUTHEASTWARDS. IT SHOULD EVACUATE AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL DURING NEXT NIGHT, AND KEEP STRONG WINDS, MAINLY IN THE EASTERN PART, DUE TO THE SPEED OF ITS OWN MOTION AND TO THE GRADIENT WITH SUBTROPICAL HIG H PRESSURES.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 081227 CCA *** *************** CORRECTIVE ************** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 25/11/20052006 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 2.A POSITION 2006/03/08 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 28.9S / 57.4E (TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/4.0 MOINS /W 1.0/6 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 980 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 300 SE: 600 SO: 500 NO: 200 50 KT NE: 050 SE: 080 SO: 050 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/09 00 UTC: 32.2S/58.7E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2006/03/09 12 UTC: 35.3S/61.6E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2006/03/10 00 UTC: 36.8S/66.4E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2006/03/10 12 UTC: 39.3S/72.7E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2006/03/11 00 UTC: 42.7S/79.4E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2006/03/11 12 UTC: 45.6S/85.5E, MAX WIND=055KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: DUE TO THE SHIFT OF SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES TO THE EAST, THE SYSTEM IS ACCELERATING GLOBALLY SOUTHEASTWARDS. CONVECTION STARTED DO DISORGANIZED ITSELF DUE TO AN INCREASING VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. IT SHOULD EVACUATE AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL DURING NEXT NIGHT, UNDERGOING A MORE AND MORE STRONG NORTHWESTERLY WINDSHEAR, OVER WATERS COOLER THAN 26AOC (SOUTH OF 30AOS).= ** WTNT80 EGRR 081657 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 08.03.2006 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ANALYSED OR FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA IN THE NEXT THREE DAYS THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 081657