** WTSR20 WSSS 071800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTIO22 FMEE 080015 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/03/2006 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 024/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 08/03/2006 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 985 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 26.2S / 54.9E (TWENTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STROM FORCE WINDS 50KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, AND UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/03/08 AT 12 UTC: 28.8S / 56.4E, MAX WIND = 45 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. 24H, VALID 2006/03/09 AT 00 UTC: 31.8S / 57.7E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. OTHER INFORMATIONS: DIWA HAS INCREASED SPEED OF MOVEMENT SOUTHEASTWARDS OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS EXTEND FAR FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REGULARLY SPEED UP SOUTHEASTWARDS AND EVACUATE TOWARDS THE EXTRATROPICAL LATITUDES.= ** WTIO22 FMEE 080015 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/03/2006 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 024/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 08/03/2006 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 985 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 26.2S / 54.9E (TWENTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STROM FORCE WINDS 50KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, AND UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/03/08 AT 12 UTC: 28.8S / 56.4E, MAX WIND = 45 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. 24H, VALID 2006/03/09 AT 00 UTC: 31.8S / 57.7E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. OTHER INFORMATIONS: DIWA HAS INCREASED SPEED OF MOVEMENT SOUTHEASTWARDS OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS EXTEND FAR FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REGULARLY SPEED UP SOUTHEASTWARDS AND EVACUATE TOWARDS THE EXTRATROPICAL LATITUDES. . ** WTIO21 FMEE 080015 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 08/03/2006 A 0000 UTC. NUMERO: 024/11 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE TEMPETE DEBUT DE VALIDITE: MERCREDI 08/03/2006 A 0000 UTC. PHENOMENE: FORTE TEMPETE TROPICALE 11 (DIWA) 985 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 26.2S / 54.9E (VINGT-SIX DEGRES DEUX SUD ET CINQUANTE-QUATRE DEGRES NEUF EST) A 0000 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-EST 10 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 50 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 300 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. TEMPETE 50KT ET MER GROSSE A TRES GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 15 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE. COUP DE VENT 35/40 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 50 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 120 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 100 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 250 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 08/03/2006 A 12 UTC: 28.8S / 56.4E, VENT MAX = 45 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. A 24H POUR LE 09/03/2006 A 00 UTC: 31.8S / 57.7E, VENT MAX = 50 KT, DEVENANT EXTRATROPICAL. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: DIWA A ACCELERE VERS LE SUD-EST AU COURS DES SIX DERNIERES HEURES. LES VENTS FORTS S'ETENDENT LOIN DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD EN RAISON DU GRADIENT AVEC LES HAUTES PRESSIONS SUBTROPICALES. LE SYSTEME EST PREVU CONTINUER D'ACCELERER REGULIEREMENT VERS LE SUD-EST ET S'EVACUER VERS LE DOMAINE EXTRATROPICAL. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 080027 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 23/11/20052006 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 2.A POSITION 2006/03/08 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 26.2S / 54.9E (TWENTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.5 /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 985 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 350 SE: 500 SO: 500 NO: 200 50 KT NE: 020 SE: 040 SO: 040 NO: 020 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/08 12 UTC: 28.8S/56.4E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 24H: 2006/03/09 00 UTC: 31.8S/57.7E, MAX WIND=050KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2006/03/09 12 UTC: 35.0S/61.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2006/03/10 00 UTC: 37.5S/65.5E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2006/03/10 12 UTC: 40.0S/70.0E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2006/03/11 00 UTC: 42.0S/75.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: DIWA HAS INCREASED SPEED OF MOVEMENT SOUTHEASTWARDS TOWARDS THE TROUGH AND SHOULD BEGIN THE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BEYOND 24 HOURS. LAST SATELLITE PICTURES SHOW A CIRRUS BOW DEPICTING AN INCREASING WESTERLY WINDSHEAR. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 080027 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 23/11/20052006 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 2.A POSITION 2006/03/08 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 26.2S / 54.9E (TWENTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.5 /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 985 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 350 SE: 500 SO: 500 NO: 200 50 KT NE: 020 SE: 040 SO: 040 NO: 020 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/08 12 UTC: 28.8S/56.4E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 24H: 2006/03/09 00 UTC: 31.8S/57.7E, MAX WIND=050KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2006/03/09 12 UTC: 35.0S/61.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2006/03/10 00 UTC: 37.5S/65.5E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2006/03/10 12 UTC: 40.0S/70.0E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2006/03/11 00 UTC: 42.0S/75.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: DIWA HAS INCREASED SPEED OF MOVEMENT SOUTHEASTWARDS TOWARDS THE TROUGH AND SHOULD BEGIN THE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BEYOND 24 HOURS. LAST SATELLITE PICTURES SHOW A CIRRUS BOW DEPICTING AN INCREASING WESTERLY WINDSHEAR.= ** WTMA20 FIMP 080000 *** WIND SPEEDS IN KNOTS. TTT WARNING OF SEVERE TROPICAL STORM. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 'DIWA' 985 HPA AT 08/0000 UTC WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF 26.2S 54.9E (TWENTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST). MOVEMENT SOUTH EAST 10 KNOTS. SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTH EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE AND UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. T.O.O : 08/0040 UTC= END=