** WTPH20 RPMM 061800 *** T T T WARNING 02 AT 1800 06 MARCH TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ZERO FIVE POINT ZERO NORTH ONE THREE FOUR POINT TWO EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO FOUR METERS PER SECOND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN TWO ZERO ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE ONE ZERO ZERO ZERO HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS ONE FIVE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 071800 ZERO FIVE POINT SEVEN NORTH ONE THREE ONE POINT TWO EAST AT 081800 ZERO SIX POINT THREE NORTH ONE TWO EIGHT POINT ONE EAST AND AT 091800 ZERO SIX POINT NINE NORTH ONE TWO FIVE POINT ZERO EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN DEPRESSION AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WETHER MANILA= ** WTSR20 WSSS 061800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPH RPLL 061800Z *** TTT WARNING 02 AT 1800 06 MARCH TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT 05.0N 134.2E FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AT 04MPS MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 200 KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS 15MPS NEAR CENTER FORECAST TO POSITIONS AT 071800 05.7N 131.2E AT 081800 06.3N 128.1E AND AT 091800 06.9N 125.0E ALL SHIPS WITHIN DEPRESSION AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE- HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD= ** WTPN31 PGTW 062100 COR *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WARNING NR 012A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z --- NEAR 4.1N 135.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 4.1N 135.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z --- 4.2N 133.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z --- 4.8N 131.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z --- 5.6N 129.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 6.7N 127.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z --- 8.2N 124.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 062100Z POSITION NEAR 4.1N 134.7E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 01W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 195 NM SOUTH OF PALAU, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z IS 8 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z, 070900Z, 071500Z AND 072100Z. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: ADDED 72 HOUR POSITION.// ** WTIO22 FMEE 070017 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/03/2006 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 020/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 07/03/2006 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 985 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.5S / 53.4E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY THREE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STROM FORCE WINDS 50KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 25 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 70NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, AND UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/03/07 AT 12 UTC: 24.4S / 53.9E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. 24H, VALID 2006/03/08 AT 00 UTC: 25.4S / 54.5E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. OTHER INFORMATIONS: "DIWA" HAS VEERED SOUTHEASTWARDS AND INTENSIFYIED IN A FAVORBALE ENVIRONMENT. STRONG WINDS EXTEND FAR FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO GRADIENT EFFECT WITH SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARDS AND THEN TO ACCELERATE DURING EVACUATING BEYOND 48 HOURS. . ** WTIO22 FMEE 070017 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/03/2006 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 020/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 07/03/2006 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 985 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.5S / 53.4E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY THREE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STROM FORCE WINDS 50KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 25 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 70NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, AND UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/03/07 AT 12 UTC: 24.4S / 53.9E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. 24H, VALID 2006/03/08 AT 00 UTC: 25.4S / 54.5E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. OTHER INFORMATIONS: "DIWA" HAS VEERED SOUTHEASTWARDS AND INTENSIFYIED IN A FAVORBALE ENVIRONMENT. STRONG WINDS EXTEND FAR FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO GRADIENT EFFECT WITH SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARDS AND THEN TO ACCELERATE DURING EVACUATING BEYOND 48 HOURS.= ** WTIO21 FMEE 070017 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 07/03/2006 A 0000 UTC. NUMERO: 020/11 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE TEMPETE DEBUT DE VALIDITE: MARDI 07/03/2006 A 0000 UTC. PHENOMENE: FORTE TEMPETE TROPICALE 11 (DIWA) 985 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 23.5S / 53.4E (VINGT-TROIS DEGRES CINQ SUD ET CINQUANTE-TROIS DEGRES QUATRE EST) A 0000 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-EST 5 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 150 MN, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 250 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE NORD-EST. TEMPETE 50KT ET MER GROSSE A TRES GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 25 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE. COUP DE VENT 35/40 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 70 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 120 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 120 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 250 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 07/03/2006 A 12 UTC: 24.4S / 53.9E, VENT MAX = 50 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. A 24H POUR LE 08/03/2006 A 00 UTC: 25.4S / 54.5E, VENT MAX = 50 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: DIWA A REDRESSE SA TRAJECTOIRE VERS LE SUD-EST ET S'INTENSIFIE DANS UN ENVIRONEMENT FAVORABLE. LES VENTS FORTS S'ETENDENT LOIN DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD EN RAISON DU GRADIENT AVEC LES HAUTES PRESSIONS SUBTROPICALES. LE SYSTEME EST PREVU CONTINUER DE SE DEPLACER LENTEMENT VERS LE SUD-EST PUIS ACCELERER AU DELA DE 48H EN S'EVACUANT. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 070035 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 19/11/20052006 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 2.A POSITION 2006/03/07 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.5S / 53.4E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY THREE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.5/3.5 /W 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 985 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 250 SE: 500 SO: 350 NO: 250 50 KT NE: 020 SE: 040 SO: 040 NO: 020 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1100 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/07 12 UTC: 24.4S/53.9E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 24H: 2006/03/08 00 UTC: 25.4S/54.5E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 36H: 2006/03/08 12 UTC: 26.7S/55.3E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2006/03/09 00 UTC: 28.1S/56.2E, MAX WIND=050KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2006/03/09 12 UTC: 30.2S/57.9E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2006/03/10 00 UTC: 32.0S/61.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=3.5 CENTER HAS BEEN RELOCATED. "DIWA" HAS VEERED SOUTHEASTWARDS AND INTENSIFYIED IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. STRONG WINDS EXTEND FAR FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO GRADIENT EFFECT WITH SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. BEYOND 25S, DIWA SHOULD UNDERGO INCREASING WESTERLY WINDSHEAR AND THUS UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR INTENSIFICATION. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARDS AND THEN TO ACCELERATE DURING EVACUATING BEYOND 48 HOURS AND BEGINNING AN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AND START TO EVACUATE SOUTHEASTWARDS THANKS TO A TROUGH.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 070035 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 19/11/20052006 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 2.A POSITION 2006/03/07 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.5S / 53.4E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY THREE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.5/3.5 /W 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 985 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 250 SE: 500 SO: 350 NO: 250 50 KT NE: 020 SE: 040 SO: 040 NO: 020 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1100 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/07 12 UTC: 24.4S/53.9E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 24H: 2006/03/08 00 UTC: 25.4S/54.5E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 36H: 2006/03/08 12 UTC: 26.7S/55.3E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2006/03/09 00 UTC: 28.1S/56.2E, MAX WIND=050KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2006/03/09 12 UTC: 30.2S/57.9E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2006/03/10 00 UTC: 32.0S/61.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=3.5 CENTER HAS BEEN RELOCATED. "DIWA" HAS VEERED SOUTHEASTWARDS AND INTENSIFYIED IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. STRONG WINDS EXTEND FAR FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO GRADIENT EFFECT WITH SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. BEYOND 25S, DIWA SHOULD UNDERGO INCREASING WESTERLY WINDSHEAR AND THUS UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR INTENSIFICATION. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARDS AND THEN TO ACCELERATE DURING EVACUATING BEYOND 48 HOURS AND BEGINNING AN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AND START TO EVACUATE SOUTHEASTWARDS THANKS TO A TROUGH. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 070036 CCA *** *************** CORRECTIVE ************** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 19/11/20052006 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 2.A POSITION 2006/03/07 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.5S / 53.4E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY THREE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.5/3.5 /D 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 985 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 250 SE: 500 SO: 350 NO: 250 50 KT NE: 020 SE: 040 SO: 040 NO: 020 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1100 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/07 12 UTC: 24.4S/53.9E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 24H: 2006/03/08 00 UTC: 25.4S/54.5E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 36H: 2006/03/08 12 UTC: 26.7S/55.3E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2006/03/09 00 UTC: 28.1S/56.2E, MAX WIND=050KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2006/03/09 12 UTC: 30.2S/57.9E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2006/03/10 00 UTC: 32.0S/61.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=3.5 CENTER HAS BEEN RELOCATED. "DIWA" HAS VEERED SOUTHEASTWARDS AND INTENSIFYIED IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. STRONG WINDS EXTEND FAR FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO GRADIENT EFFECT WITH SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. BEYOND 25S, DIWA SHOULD UNDERGO INCREASING WESTERLY WINDSHEAR AND THUS UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR INTENSIFICATION. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARDS AND THEN TO ACCELERATE DURING EVACUATING BEYOND 48 HOURS AND BEGINNING AN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AND START TO EVACUATE SOUTHEASTWARDS THANKS TO A TROUGH.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 070036 CCA *** *************** CORRECTIVE ************** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 19/11/20052006 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 2.A POSITION 2006/03/07 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.5S / 53.4E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY THREE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.5/3.5 /D 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 985 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 250 SE: 500 SO: 350 NO: 250 50 KT NE: 020 SE: 040 SO: 040 NO: 020 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1100 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/07 12 UTC: 24.4S/53.9E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 24H: 2006/03/08 00 UTC: 25.4S/54.5E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 36H: 2006/03/08 12 UTC: 26.7S/55.3E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2006/03/09 00 UTC: 28.1S/56.2E, MAX WIND=050KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2006/03/09 12 UTC: 30.2S/57.9E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2006/03/10 00 UTC: 32.0S/61.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=3.5 CENTER HAS BEEN RELOCATED. "DIWA" HAS VEERED SOUTHEASTWARDS AND INTENSIFYIED IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. STRONG WINDS EXTEND FAR FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO GRADIENT EFFECT WITH SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. BEYOND 25S, DIWA SHOULD UNDERGO INCREASING WESTERLY WINDSHEAR AND THUS UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR INTENSIFICATION. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARDS AND THEN TO ACCELERATE DURING EVACUATING BEYOND 48 HOURS AND BEGINNING AN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AND START TO EVACUATE SOUTHEASTWARDS THANKS TO A TROUGH. . ** WTPN31 PGTW 070300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z --- NEAR 4.1N 134.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 4.1N 134.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z --- 4.2N 133.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 070300Z POSITION NEAR 4.1N 134.1E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 01W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 195 NM SOUTH OF PALAU, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. A 062104Z QUIKSCAT PASS REVEALS AN AREA OF ELONGATED TROUGHING AND A DISCERNIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WAS UNABLE TO BE LOCATED USING ANIMATED MULTIPLE SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES SPORADIC DEEP CONVECTION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z IS 6 FEET.// ** WTPH20 RPMM 070000 *** TTT WARNING 03 ( FINAL) AT 0000 07 MARCH TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS DISSIPATED WITH THIS DEVELOPMENT THIS THE FINAL WARNING FROM WEATHER MANILA = ** WTPQ31 PGUM 070336 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W ADVISORY NUMBER 13 200 PM GUAM LST TUE MAR 7 2006 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W IS DISSIPATING... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 4.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 134.1 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 220 MILES SOUTH OF KOROR AND 155 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SONSOROL. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W IS MOVING WEST AT 8 MPH. THIS MOTION WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W DISSIPATES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE WITHIN 12 HOURS. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...4.1 DEGREES NORTH AND 134.1 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 8 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 MPH. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY THAT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W. $$ MIDDLEBROOKE ** WTPH RPLL 070000 *** TTT WARNING 03 (FINAL) AT 0000 07 MARCH TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS DISSIPATED WITH THIS DEVELOPMENT THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING FROM WEATHER MANILA= ** WTNT80 EGRR 070555 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 07.03.2006 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 23.1S 38.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 09.03.2006 23.1S 38.5W WEAK 12UTC 09.03.2006 22.8S 38.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.03.2006 23.8S 37.0W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.03.2006 25.3S 36.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.03.2006 26.4S 35.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.03.2006 31.2S 31.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.03.2006 31.7S 27.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.03.2006 32.4S 23.9W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 13.03.2006 33.2S 19.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 070555