** WTIO22 FMEE 061808 *** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/03/2006 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 019/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 06/03/2006 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 990 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.7S / 52.5E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 350 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERNSEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE UP TO 120 NM FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, AND UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/03/07 AT 06 UTC: 24.4S / 52.6E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. 24H, VALID 2006/03/07 AT 18 UTC: 25.6S / 53.1E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. OTHER INFORMATIONS: UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE REBUILDING SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES IN THE SOUTHWEST, "DIWA" SLOW DOWN. THE SYSTEM KEEPS ON GLOBALLY TRACKING SOUTHWARDS AND INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY. STRONG WINDS EXTEND FAR FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO GRADIENT EFFECT WITH SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. . ** WTIO21 FMEE 061808 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 06/03/2006 A 1800 UTC. NUMERO: 019/11 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE COUP DE VENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: LUNDI 06/03/2006 A 1800 UTC. PHENOMENE: TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE 11 (DIWA) 990 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 23.7S / 52.5E (VINGT-TROIS DEGRES SEPT SUD ET CINQUANTE-DEUX DEGRES CINQ EST) A 1800 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-SUD-EST 4 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 150 MN, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 350 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. COUP DE VENT 35/40 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST JUSQU'A 120 MN DU CENTRE GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 120 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 250 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 07/03/2006 A 06 UTC: 24.4S / 52.6E, VENT MAX = 50 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. A 24H POUR LE 07/03/2006 A 18 UTC: 25.6S / 53.1E, VENT MAX = 50 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: SOUS L'INFLUENCE DES HAUTES PRESSIONS SUBTROPICALE QUI SE RECONSTRUISENT PAR LE SUD-OUEST, DIWA A RALENTI. LE SYSTEME POURSUIT UNE TRAJECTOIRE GLOBALEMENT VERS LE SUD ET S'INTENSIFIE LEGEREMENT. LES VENTS FORTS S'ETENDENT LOIN DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD EN RAISON DU GRADIENT AVEC LES HAUTES PRESSIONS SUBTROPICALES. . ** WTIO22 FMEE 061808 *** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/03/2006 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 019/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 06/03/2006 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 990 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.7S / 52.5E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 350 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERNSEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE UP TO 120 NM FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, AND UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/03/07 AT 06 UTC: 24.4S / 52.6E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. 24H, VALID 2006/03/07 AT 18 UTC: 25.6S / 53.1E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. OTHER INFORMATIONS: UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE REBUILDING SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES IN THE SOUTHWEST, "DIWA" SLOW DOWN. THE SYSTEM KEEPS ON GLOBALLY TRACKING SOUTHWARDS AND INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY. STRONG WINDS EXTEND FAR FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO GRADIENT EFFECT WITH SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 061813 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 18/11/20052006 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 2.A POSITION 2006/03/06 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.7S / 52.5E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /S 0.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 990 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 250 SE: 500 SO: 350 NO: 250 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/07 06 UTC: 24.4S/52.6E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 24H: 2006/03/07 18 UTC: 25.6S/53.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 36H: 2006/03/08 06 UTC: 26.9S/53.5E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 48H: 2006/03/08 18 UTC: 28.4S/54.3E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 60H: 2006/03/09 06 UTC: 30.4S/55.4E, MAX WIND=040KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2006/03/09 18 UTC: 33.3S/58.5E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: A BOUY LOCATED NEAR 22.1S/53.4E SHOWS AT 1600UTC A SEA LEVEL PRESSURE AT 996.1 HPA. IT REPRESENTS A FALL OF -1.0 HPA IN RELATION TO 24H BEFORE EVEN TROUGH THE SYSTEM MOVE OFF. THE MSLP IS LIKELY WEAKENING IN THIS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR INTENSIFICATION. BEYOND 25S, DIWA SHOULD UNDERGO INCREASING WESTERLY WINDSHEAR AND THUS UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR INTENSIFICATION. DIWA KEEPS ON SLOWLY TRACKING GLOBALLY SOUTHWARDS, SLOWING DOWN BY A BUILDING SUBTROPICAL HIGH PESSURES IN THE SOUTH-WEST. BEYOND 36 TO 48 HOURS, DIWA SHOULD BEGIN AN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AND START TO EVACUATE SOUTHEASTWARDS THANKS TO A TROUGH.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 061813 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 18/11/20052006 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 2.A POSITION 2006/03/06 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.7S / 52.5E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /S 0.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 990 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 250 SE: 500 SO: 350 NO: 250 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/07 06 UTC: 24.4S/52.6E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 24H: 2006/03/07 18 UTC: 25.6S/53.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 36H: 2006/03/08 06 UTC: 26.9S/53.5E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 48H: 2006/03/08 18 UTC: 28.4S/54.3E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 60H: 2006/03/09 06 UTC: 30.4S/55.4E, MAX WIND=040KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2006/03/09 18 UTC: 33.3S/58.5E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: A BOUY LOCATED NEAR 22.1S/53.4E SHOWS AT 1600UTC A SEA LEVEL PRESSURE AT 996.1 HPA. IT REPRESENTS A FALL OF -1.0 HPA IN RELATION TO 24H BEFORE EVEN TROUGH THE SYSTEM MOVE OFF. THE MSLP IS LIKELY WEAKENING IN THIS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR INTENSIFICATION. BEYOND 25S, DIWA SHOULD UNDERGO INCREASING WESTERLY WINDSHEAR AND THUS UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR INTENSIFICATION. DIWA KEEPS ON SLOWLY TRACKING GLOBALLY SOUTHWARDS, SLOWING DOWN BY A BUILDING SUBTROPICAL HIGH PESSURES IN THE SOUTH-WEST. BEYOND 36 TO 48 HOURS, DIWA SHOULD BEGIN AN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AND START TO EVACUATE SOUTHEASTWARDS THANKS TO A TROUGH. . ** WTXS31 PGTW 062100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (DIWA) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z --- NEAR 23.2S 52.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.2S 52.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z --- 24.2S 54.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z --- 26.1S 57.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z --- 28.5S 60.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 062100Z POSITION NEAR 23.5S 53.2E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (DIWA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTHWEST OF LA REUNION HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW WITH THE DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED ON THE WEST-SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. TC 16S HAS CRESTED THE RIDGE AXIS AND IS FORECAST TO BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY TAU 24. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z AND 072100Z.// ** WTPN31 PGTW 062100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z --- NEAR 4.1N 135.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 4.1N 135.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z --- 4.2N 133.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z --- 4.8N 131.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z --- 5.7N 129.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 6.8N 127.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 062100Z POSITION NEAR 4.1N 134.7E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 01W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 195 NM SOUTH OF PALAU, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z IS 8 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z, 070900Z, 071500Z AND 072100Z.// ** WTPQ31 PGUM 062138 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W ADVISORY NUMBER 12 800 AM GUAM LST TUE MAR 7 2006 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W TO PASS NEAR SONSOROL TONIGHT... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 4.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 134.7 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 220 MILES SOUTH OF KOROR 275 MILES SOUTH OF KAYANGEL 350 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NGULU 440 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF YAP 190 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SONSOROL TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 7 MPH. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W IS EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. THIS TRACK WOULD TAKE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W ABOUT 50 MILES SOUTH OF SONSOROL TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS...BUT IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...4.1 DEGREES NORTH AND 134.7 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 7 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM GUAM LST. $$ HENDRICKS ** WTPH20 RPMM 061800 *** T T T WARNING 02 AT 1800 06 MARCH TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ZERO FIVE POINT ZERO NORTH ONE THREE FOUR POINT TWO EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO FOUR METERS PER SECOND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN TWO ZERO ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE ONE ZERO ZERO ZERO HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS ONE FIVE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 071800 ZERO FIVE POINT SEVEN NORTH ONE THREE ONE POINT TWO EAST AT 081800 ZERO SIX POINT THREE NORTH ONE TWO EIGHT POINT ONE EAST AND AT 091800 ZERO SIX POINT NINE NORTH ONE TWO FIVE POINT ZERO EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN DEPRESSION AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WETHER MANILA= ** WTPH RPLL 061800Z *** TTT WARNING 02 AT 1800 06 MARCH TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT 05.0N 134.2E FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AT 04MPS MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 200 KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS 15MPS NEAR CENTER FORECAST TO POSITIONS AT 071800 05.7N 131.2E AT 081800 06.3N 128.1E AND AT 091800 06.9N 125.0E ALL SHIPS WITHIN DEPRESSION AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE- HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD= ** WTXS31 PGTW 062100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (DIWA) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z --- NEAR 23.2S 52.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.2S 52.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z --- 24.2S 54.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z --- 26.1S 57.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z --- 28.5S 60.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 062100Z POSITION NEAR 23.5S 53.2E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (DIWA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTHWEST OF LA REUNION HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW WITH THE DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED ON THE WEST-SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. TC 16S HAS CRESTED THE RIDGE AXIS AND IS FORECAST TO BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY TAU 24. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z AND 072100Z.// ** WTPN31 PGTW 062100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z --- NEAR 4.1N 135.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 4.1N 135.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z --- 4.2N 133.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z --- 4.8N 131.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z --- 5.7N 129.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 6.8N 127.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 062100Z POSITION NEAR 4.1N 134.7E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 01W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 195 NM SOUTH OF PALAU, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z IS 8 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z, 070900Z, 071500Z AND 072100Z.// ** WTPQ31 PGUM 062138 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W ADVISORY NUMBER 12 800 AM GUAM LST TUE MAR 7 2006 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W TO PASS NEAR SONSOROL TONIGHT... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 4.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 134.7 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 220 MILES SOUTH OF KOROR 275 MILES SOUTH OF KAYANGEL 350 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NGULU 440 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF YAP 190 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SONSOROL TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 7 MPH. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W IS EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. THIS TRACK WOULD TAKE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W ABOUT 50 MILES SOUTH OF SONSOROL TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS...BUT IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...4.1 DEGREES NORTH AND 134.7 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 7 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM GUAM LST. $$ HENDRICKS ** WTPQ31 PGUM 062138 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W ADVISORY NUMBER 12 800 AM GUAM LST TUE MAR 7 2006 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W TO PASS NEAR SONSOROL TONIGHT... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 4.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 134.7 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 220 MILES SOUTH OF KOROR 275 MILES SOUTH OF KAYANGEL 350 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NGULU 440 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF YAP 190 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SONSOROL TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 7 MPH. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W IS EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. THIS TRACK WOULD TAKE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W ABOUT 50 MILES SOUTH OF SONSOROL TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS...BUT IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...4.1 DEGREES NORTH AND 134.7 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 7 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM GUAM LST. $$ HENDRICKS