** WTIO22 FMEE 060614 *** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/03/2006 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 017/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 06/03/2006 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 993 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.5S / 52.2E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY TWO DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE UP TO 120 NM FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, AND UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/03/06 AT 18 UTC: 23.5S / 52.2E, MAX WIND = 45 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. 24H, VALID 2006/03/07 AT 06 UTC: 24.8S / 52.5E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. OTHER INFORMATIONS: DIWA KEEPS ON GENERALLY TRACKING SOUTHWARDS AND SHOULD SLIGHTLY INTENSIFY . WINDS EXTENSION HAS BEEN MEASURED THANKS TO SATELLITE DATA. STRONG WINDS EXTEND FAR FROM THE CENTRE DUE TO GRADIENT EFFECT WITH SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.= ** WTIO21 FMEE 060614 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 06/03/2006 A 0600 UTC. NUMERO: 017/11 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE COUP DE VENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: LUNDI 06/03/2006 A 0600 UTC. PHENOMENE: TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE 11 (DIWA) 993 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 22.5S / 52.2E (VINGT-DEUX DEGRES CINQ SUD ET CINQUANTE-DEUX DEGRES DEUX EST) A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-SUD-OUEST 6 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 150 MN, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 300 MN DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-EST. COUP DE VENT 35/40 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST JUSQU'A 120 MN DU CENTRE GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 120 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 250 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 06/03/2006 A 18 UTC: 23.5S / 52.2E, VENT MAX = 45 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. A 24H POUR LE 07/03/2006 A 06 UTC: 24.8S / 52.5E, VENT MAX = 50 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: DIWA POURSUIT UNE TRAJECTOIRE GENERALEMENT SUD, ET DEVRAIT S'INTENSIFIER LEGEREMENT. L'EXTENSION DES VENTS A ETE CALIBREE GRACE A DES DONNEES SATELLITAIRES. LES VENTS FORTS S'ETENDENT LOIN DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD -EST EN RAISON DU GRADIENT AVEC LES HAUTES PRESSIONS SUBTROPICALES. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 060620 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 16/11/20052006 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 2.A POSITION 2006/03/06 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.5S / 52.2E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY TWO DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 993 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 250 SE: 500 SO: 350 NO: 250 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1100 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/06 18 UTC: 23.5S/52.2E, MAX WIND=045KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 24H: 2006/03/07 06 UTC: 24.8S/52.5E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 36H: 2006/03/07 18 UTC: 26.0S/53.3E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 48H: 2006/03/08 06 UTC: 27.3S/54.2E, MAX WIND=040KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2006/03/08 18 UTC: 29.0S/55.5E, MAX WIND=040KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2006/03/09 06 UTC: 31.0S/56.5E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: DIWA KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHWARDS, ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH CENTRED IN THE SOUTHEAST, TOWARDS A WEAKNESS OF THESE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. THE SYSTEM SEEMS TO ORGANIZE AS A CURVED BAND PATTERN. ACCORDING TO QUIKSCAT DATA AT 0200Z, STRONG WINDS EXISTS NOW ALL AROUND THE CENTRE. ENVIRONMENT REMAINS RELATIVELY FAVORABLE TO AN INTENSIFICATION FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN THE SYSTEM SHOULD UNDERGO AN INCREASING WINDSHEAR AND BEYOND BEGIN AN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 060620 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 16/11/20052006 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 2.A POSITION 2006/03/06 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.5S / 52.2E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY TWO DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 993 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 250 SE: 500 SO: 350 NO: 250 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1100 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/06 18 UTC: 23.5S/52.2E, MAX WIND=045KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 24H: 2006/03/07 06 UTC: 24.8S/52.5E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 36H: 2006/03/07 18 UTC: 26.0S/53.3E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 48H: 2006/03/08 06 UTC: 27.3S/54.2E, MAX WIND=040KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2006/03/08 18 UTC: 29.0S/55.5E, MAX WIND=040KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2006/03/09 06 UTC: 31.0S/56.5E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: DIWA KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHWARDS, ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH CENTRED IN THE SOUTHEAST, TOWARDS A WEAKNESS OF THESE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. THE SYSTEM SEEMS TO ORGANIZE AS A CURVED BAND PATTERN. ACCORDING TO QUIKSCAT DATA AT 0200Z, STRONG WINDS EXISTS NOW ALL AROUND THE CENTRE. ENVIRONMENT REMAINS RELATIVELY FAVORABLE TO AN INTENSIFICATION FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN THE SYSTEM SHOULD UNDERGO AN INCREASING WINDSHEAR AND BEYOND BEGIN AN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION.= ** WTIN20 DEMS 060620 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 06-03-2006 AAA TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN(THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC(.) WESTERLIES PREVAIL OVER THE INDIAN REGION(.) ** WTIO30 FMEE 060623 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 16/11/20052006 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 2.A POSITION 2006/03/06 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.5S / 52.2E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY TWO DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 993 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 250 SE: 500 SO: 350 NO: 250 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1100 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/06 18 UTC: 23.5S/52.2E, MAX WIND=045KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 24H: 2006/03/07 06 UTC: 24.8S/52.5E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 36H: 2006/03/07 18 UTC: 26.0S/53.3E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 48H: 2006/03/08 06 UTC: 27.3S/54.2E, MAX WIND=040KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2006/03/08 18 UTC: 29.0S/55.5E, MAX WIND=040KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2006/03/09 06 UTC: 31.0S/56.5E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: DIWA KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHWARDS, ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH CENTRED IN THE SOUTHEAST, TOWARDS A WEAKNESS OF THESE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. THE SYSTEM SEEMS TO ORGANIZE AS A CURVED BAND PATTERN. ACCORDING TO QUIKSCAT DATA AT 0200Z, STRONG WINDS EXISTS NOW ALL AROUND THE CENTRE. ENVIRONMENT REMAINS RELATIVELY FAVORABLE TO AN INTENSIFICATION FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN THE SYSTEM SHOULD UNDERGO AN INCREASING WINDSHEAR AND BEYOND BEGIN AN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 060623 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 16/11/20052006 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 2.A POSITION 2006/03/06 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.5S / 52.2E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY TWO DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 993 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 250 SE: 500 SO: 350 NO: 250 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1100 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/06 18 UTC: 23.5S/52.2E, MAX WIND=045KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 24H: 2006/03/07 06 UTC: 24.8S/52.5E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 36H: 2006/03/07 18 UTC: 26.0S/53.3E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 48H: 2006/03/08 06 UTC: 27.3S/54.2E, MAX WIND=040KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2006/03/08 18 UTC: 29.0S/55.5E, MAX WIND=040KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2006/03/09 06 UTC: 31.0S/56.5E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: DIWA KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHWARDS, ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH CENTRED IN THE SOUTHEAST, TOWARDS A WEAKNESS OF THESE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. THE SYSTEM SEEMS TO ORGANIZE AS A CURVED BAND PATTERN. ACCORDING TO QUIKSCAT DATA AT 0200Z, STRONG WINDS EXISTS NOW ALL AROUND THE CENTRE. ENVIRONMENT REMAINS RELATIVELY FAVORABLE TO AN INTENSIFICATION FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN THE SYSTEM SHOULD UNDERGO AN INCREASING WINDSHEAR AND BEYOND BEGIN AN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. . ** WTAU05 APRF 060643 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:12S119E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 0632UTC 6 MARCH 2006 CANCELLATION OF GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 0600UTC tropical low, located within 60 nautical miles of Latitude twelve decimal six degrees South [12.6S] Longitude one hundred and eighteen decimal zero degrees East [118.0E] Recent movement southeast at 10 knots. Maximum winds 25 knots. Central pressure 1000 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Nil. FORECAST The low is no longer expected to develop into a tropical cyclone. Winds are expected to remain below 34 knots. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU05 APRF 060643 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:12S119E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 0632UTC 6 MARCH 2006 CANCELLATION OF GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 0600UTC tropical low, located within 60 nautical miles of Latitude twelve decimal six degrees South [12.6S] Longitude one hundred and eighteen decimal zero degrees East [118.0E] Recent movement southeast at 10 knots. Maximum winds 25 knots. Central pressure 1000 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Nil. FORECAST The low is no longer expected to develop into a tropical cyclone. Winds are expected to remain below 34 knots. WEATHER PERTH ** WTIO22 FMEE 060614 *** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/03/2006 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 017/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 06/03/2006 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 993 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.5S / 52.2E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY TWO DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE UP TO 120 NM FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, AND UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/03/06 AT 18 UTC: 23.5S / 52.2E, MAX WIND = 45 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. 24H, VALID 2006/03/07 AT 06 UTC: 24.8S / 52.5E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. OTHER INFORMATIONS: DIWA KEEPS ON GENERALLY TRACKING SOUTHWARDS AND SHOULD SLIGHTLY INTENSIFY .. WINDS EXTENSION HAS BEEN MEASURED THANKS TO SATELLITE DATA. STRONG WINDS EXTEND FAR FROM THE CENTRE DUE TO GRADIENT EFFECT WITH SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. . ** WTPN31 PGTW 060900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z --- NEAR 4.3N 136.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 4.3N 136.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z --- 4.0N 135.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z --- 3.9N 133.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z --- 4.3N 131.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z --- 5.4N 128.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 6.9N 126.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 060900Z POSITION NEAR 4.2N 136.4E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 01W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM SOUTHEAST OF PALAU, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z IS 08 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z, 062100Z, 070300Z AND 070900Z.// ** WTXS31 PGTW 060900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (DIWA) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z --- NEAR 22.4S 51.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.4S 51.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z --- 23.3S 51.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z --- 24.3S 52.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z --- 25.7S 53.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z --- 27.2S 55.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 060900Z POSITION NEAR 22.6S 51.8E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (DIWA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LA REUNION HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED TO THE EAST. TC 16S WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK POLEWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A 700 MB STEERING RIDGE ANCHORED TO THE EAST AND BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY TAU 24. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z AND 070900Z.// ** WTNT80 EGRR 060943 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 06.03.2006 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 23.1S 38.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 08.03.2006 23.1S 38.1W WEAK 12UTC 08.03.2006 23.9S 38.0W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.03.2006 24.2S 38.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.03.2006 25.2S 37.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.03.2006 26.7S 36.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.03.2006 27.7S 35.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.03.2006 29.6S 32.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.03.2006 32.9S 27.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.03.2006 37.4S 19.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 060943 ** WTPQ31 PGUM 060955 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W ADVISORY NUMBER 10 800 PM GUAM LST MON MAR 6 2006 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W SLOWLY MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. AT 7 PM GUAM LST...0900Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 4.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 136.4 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 255 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KOROR 295 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KAYANGEL 295 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NGULU 385 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF YAP 300 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SONSOROL TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W IS DRIFTING SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 6 MPH. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W SHOULD TURN WEST WITH A SLOW INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. THIS TRACK WOULD TAKE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W ABOUT 60 MILES SOUTH OF SONSOROL TUESDAY EVENING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS...BUT IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM. REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...4.2 DEGREES NORTH AND 136.4 DEGREES EAST...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 6 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM GUAM LST TUESDAY. $$ AHN