** WTSR20 WSSS 051800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTIO22 FMEE 060006 *** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/03/2006 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 016/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 06/03/2006 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 993 HPA POSITION: 22.1S / 53.0E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY THREE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT . CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 25/30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, BUT LOCALLY REACHING GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE WITHIN 250 NM OF THE CENTRE, AND LOCALLY REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SE MI-CIRCLE WITHIN 400 NM OF THE CENTER. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/03/06 AT 12 UTC: 22.8S / 53.0E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. 24H, VALID 2006/03/07 AT 00 UTC: 23.6S / 53.1E, MAX WIND = 45 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: SYSTEM INTENSITY REMAINS MODERATE, MAXIMUM WINDS EXTEND RATHER FAR FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE UNDER CONVECTION AND DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE RIDGE IN THE SOUTHEAST. "DIWA" IS EXPECTED TO TRACK GLOBALLY SOUTHWARDS INTENSIFYING GRADUALLY BEYOND 24 HOURS AND THEN VEERING SOUTHEASTWARDS AT MEDIUM RANGE ACCELERATING.= ** WTIO21 FMEE 060006 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 06/03/2006 A 0000 UTC. NUMERO: 016/11 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE COUP DE VENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: LUNDI 06/03/2006 A 0000 UTC. PHENOMENE: TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE 11 (DIWA) 993 HPA POSITION: 22.1S / 53.0E (VINGT-DEUX DEGRES UN SUD ET CINQUANTE-TROIS DEGRES ZERO EST) A 0000 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD 4 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 200 MN, PRINCIPALEMENT DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD , S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 300 MN DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-EST. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 25/30 KT ET MER FORTE PRES DU CENTRE, MAIS ATTEIGNANT LOCALEMENT LE COUP DE VENT 35/40 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST JUSQU'A 250 MN DU CENTRE, ET LOCALEMENT LE GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST JUSQU'A 40 0 MN DU CENTRE. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 06/03/2006 A 12 UTC: 22.8S / 53.0E, VENT MAX = 40 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. A 24H POUR LE 07/03/2006 A 00 UTC: 23.6S / 53.1E, VENT MAX = 45 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE SYSTEME RESTE D'INTENSITE MODEREE AVEC DES VENTS FORTS S'ETENDANT ASSEZ LOIN DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST SOUS LA CONVECTION ET EN RAISON DU GRADIENT AVEC LA DORSALE DANS LE SUD-EST. "DIWA" DEVRAIT ADOPTER UNE TRAJECTOIRE GLOBALLEMENT VERS LE SUD EN S'INTENSIFIANT REGULIEREMENT AU DELA DE 24HEURES PUIS VIRER VERS LE SUD- -EST A MOYENNE ECHEANCE EN DIRECTION DU DOMAINE EXTRATROPICAL EN ACCELERANT. . ** WTIO22 FMEE 060006 *** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/03/2006 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 016/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 06/03/2006 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 993 HPA POSITION: 22.1S / 53.0E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY THREE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT .. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 25/30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, BUT LOCALLY REACHING GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE WITHIN 250 NM OF THE CENTRE, AND LOCALLY REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SE MI-CIRCLE WITHIN 400 NM OF THE CENTER. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/03/06 AT 12 UTC: 22.8S / 53.0E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. 24H, VALID 2006/03/07 AT 00 UTC: 23.6S / 53.1E, MAX WIND = 45 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: SYSTEM INTENSITY REMAINS MODERATE, MAXIMUM WINDS EXTEND RATHER FAR FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE UNDER CONVECTION AND DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE RIDGE IN THE SOUTHEAST. "DIWA" IS EXPECTED TO TRACK GLOBALLY SOUTHWARDS INTENSIFYING GRADUALLY BEYOND 24 HOURS AND THEN VEERING SOUTHEASTWARDS AT MEDIUM RANGE ACCELERATING. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 060011 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 15/11/20052006 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 2.A POSITION 2006/03/06 AT 0000 UTC : 22.1S / 53.0E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY THREE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 993 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 350 SE: 700 SO: 350 NO: 120 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/06 12 UTC: 22.8S/53.0E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 24H: 2006/03/07 00 UTC: 23.6S/53.1E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2006/03/07 12 UTC: 25.0S/54.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2006/03/08 00 UTC: 26.5S/55.1E, MAX WIND=055KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2006/03/08 12 UTC: 28.3S/56.5E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 72H: 2006/03/09 00 UTC: 31.0S/58.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: SYSTEM INTENSITY REMAINS MODERATE, MAXIMUM WINDS EXTEND RATHER FAR FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE RIDGE IN THE SOUTHEAST. "DIWA" IS EXPECTED TO TRACK GLOBALLY SOUTHWARDS TOWARDS A LITTLE TROUGH. IT IS EXPECTED INTENSIFYING GRADUALLY BEYOND 24 HOURS DUE TO BETTER ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS, MAINLY AN HIGHER UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND A WEAKENING VERTICAL WINDSHEAR WITH A TRACK SOUTHEASTWARDS, ACCELERATING.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 060011 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 15/11/20052006 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 2.A POSITION 2006/03/06 AT 0000 UTC : 22.1S / 53.0E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY THREE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 993 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 350 SE: 700 SO: 350 NO: 120 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/06 12 UTC: 22.8S/53.0E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 24H: 2006/03/07 00 UTC: 23.6S/53.1E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 36H: 2006/03/07 12 UTC: 25.0S/54.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2006/03/08 00 UTC: 26.5S/55.1E, MAX WIND=055KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2006/03/08 12 UTC: 28.3S/56.5E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 72H: 2006/03/09 00 UTC: 31.0S/58.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: SYSTEM INTENSITY REMAINS MODERATE, MAXIMUM WINDS EXTEND RATHER FAR FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE RIDGE IN THE SOUTHEAST. "DIWA" IS EXPECTED TO TRACK GLOBALLY SOUTHWARDS TOWARDS A LITTLE TROUGH. IT IS EXPECTED INTENSIFYING GRADUALLY BEYOND 24 HOURS DUE TO BETTER ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS, MAINLY AN HIGHER UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND A WEAKENING VERTICAL WINDSHEAR WITH A TRACK SOUTHEASTWARDS, ACCELERATING. . ** WTAU05 APRF 060045 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:12S119E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 0042UTC 6 MARCH 2006 GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 0000UTC tropical low, located within 90 nautical miles of Latitude eleven decimal seven degrees South [11.7S] Longitude one hundred and eighteen decimal zero degrees East [118.0E] Recent movement west at 6 knots. Maximum winds 25 knots. Central pressure 1000 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 70 nautical miles of centre. FORECAST Low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 24 hours, causing 25/35 knot winds and rough seas and moderate swell. At 1200UTC 06 March: Within 110 nautical miles of 12.3 south 118.2 east Central pressure 998 hPa. Winds to 25 knots near centre. At 0000UTC 07 March: Within 130 nautical miles of 13.8 south 120.2 east Central pressure 992 hPa. Winds to 35 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0700UTC 06 March. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU05 APRF 060045 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:12S119E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 0042UTC 6 MARCH 2006 GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 0000UTC tropical low, located within 90 nautical miles of Latitude eleven decimal seven degrees South [11.7S] Longitude one hundred and eighteen decimal zero degrees East [118.0E] Recent movement west at 6 knots. Maximum winds 25 knots. Central pressure 1000 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 70 nautical miles of centre. FORECAST Low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 24 hours, causing 25/35 knot winds and rough seas and moderate swell. At 1200UTC 06 March: Within 110 nautical miles of 12.3 south 118.2 east Central pressure 998 hPa. Winds to 25 knots near centre. At 0000UTC 07 March: Within 130 nautical miles of 13.8 south 120.2 east Central pressure 992 hPa. Winds to 35 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0700UTC 06 March. WEATHER PERTH ** WTPQ20 RJTD 060000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 060000UTC 04.6N 136.1E POOR MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 1008HPA MXWD 030KT FORECAST 24HF 070000UTC 04.8N 133.8E 150NM 70% MOVE W SLOWLY PRES 1002HPA MXWD 035KT = ** WTPQ30 RJTD 060000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 4 FOR TD LOCATED AT 04.6N 136.1E 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 060000 UTC IS POOR. TD WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TD WILL MOVE WEST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TD WILL BE GRADED UP TO TS WITHIN 24 HOURS. TD WILL DEVELOP BECAUSE CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURE NEAR CYCLONE CENTER HAS BECOME COLDER. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 2.5 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTPQ31 PGUM 060141 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A 1100 AM GUAM LST MON MAR 6 2006 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W RELOCATED WELL SOUTHEAST OF KOROR... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR KOROR AND KAYANGEL IS CANCELLED AS OF 1100 AM GUAM LST. IN ITS PLACE...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR KOROR AND KAYANGEL. THIS MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE ARE NOT EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS...BUT ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SONSOROL IN THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU. AT 10 AM GUAM LST...0000Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WAS RELOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 5.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 137.2 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 245 MILES SOUTHEAST OF KOROR 270 MILES SOUTHEAST OF KAYANGEL 220 MILES SOUTH OF NGULU 310 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF YAP 345 MILES EAST OF SONSOROL TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...BUT APPEARS TO BE STARTING A WESTWARD MOVEMENT. THIS WESTWARD TRACK IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH SLOWLY INCREASING FORWARD SPEED. THIS TRACK WOULD TAKE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WELL SOUTH OF KOROR LATE TUESDAY MORNING...AND NEAR SONSOROL TUESDAY EVENING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN AND MAY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM AGAIN TONIGHT. REPEATING THE 10 AM POSITION...5.1 DEGREES NORTH AND 137.2 DEGREES EAST...BEGINNING TO DRIFT WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 5 PM. $$ MIDDLEBROOKE ** WTPQ81 PGUM 060159 *** HLSPQ1 PMZ161-060500- TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 1200 PM GUAM LST MON MAR 6 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM 01W RELOCATED WELL SOUTHEAST OF KOROR... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR KOROR AND KAYANGEL IS CANCELLED AS OF 1100 AM GUAM LST. IN ITS PLACE...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR KOROR AND KAYANGEL. THIS MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE ARE NOT EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS...BUT ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SONSOROL IN THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU. ... INFORMATION... AT 10 AM GUAM LST...0000Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WAS RELOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 5.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 137.2 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 245 MILES SOUTHEAST OF KOROR 270 MILES SOUTHEAST OF KAYANGEL 220 MILES SOUTH OF NGULU 310 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF YAP 345 MILES EAST OF SONSOROL MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...BUT APPEARS TO BE STARTING A WESTWARD MOVEMENT. ...KOROR AND KAYANGEL... PORTIONS OF PALAU ARE NOW IN TROPICAL STORM CONDITION 3. AS NOW FORECAST...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W IS EXPECTED TO PASS WELL SOUTH OF KOROR LATE TUESDAY MORNING. PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TUESDAY MORNING INTO EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS FROM YOUR EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. SINCE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W HAS BEHAVED VERY ERRATICALLY SO FAR... PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE...AS FURTHER CHANGES ARE POSSIBLE. ...WIND INFORMATION... NORTHEAST WINDS SHOULD INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH THIS EVENING...THEN INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 MPH OVERNIGHT. WINDS MAY BRIEFLY REACH TROPICAL STORM FORCE AT 30 TO 40 MPH LATE TUESDAY MORNING INTO TUESDAY AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFT TO SOUTHEAST AND DIMINISH TO 20 TO 30 MPH BY LATE TUESDAY EVENING. ... SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... EXPECT HAZARDOUS SURF AT 10 TO 12 FEET ALONG NORTH...NORTHEAST AND EAST FACING EXPOSURES THROUGH TONIGHT. SURF WILL REMAIN ABOVE HAZARDOUS LEVELS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ...OTHER EFFECTS... RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES IS POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W PASSES SOUTH OF KOROR. LOCAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. ...SONSOROL... IF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST...IT WILL PASS NEAR SONSOROL LATE TUESDAY. PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS FROM THE KOROR EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. SINCE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W HAS BEHAVED VERY ERRATICALLY SO FAR... PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE...AS FURTHER CHANGES ARE POSSIBLE. ...WIND INFORMATION... IF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W INTENSIFIES AND CONTINUES MOVING WEST... SONSOROL MAY EXPERIENCE A BRIEF PERIOD OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE FROM THE WEST TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ... SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... SURF ALONG NORTH...NORTHEAST AND EAST FACING EXPOSURES WILL BE 6 TO 8 FEET TONIGHT...INCREASING TO HAZARDOUS 10 TO 12 FEET TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. ...OTHER EFFECTS... RAINFALL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES IS POSSIBLE AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W PASSES NEAR SONSOROL ON TUESDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY 3 PM GUAM LST. $$ MIDDLEBROOKE ** WTPN31 PGTW 060300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WARNING NR 009 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z --- NEAR 5.1N 137.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 5.1N 137.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z --- 4.7N 136.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z --- 4.6N 135.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z --- 5.2N 132.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z --- 5.6N 130.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z --- 7.3N 127.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 060300Z POSITION NEAR 5.0N 137.2E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 01W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 210 NM SOUTHEAST OF PALAU, HAS BEEN RELOCATED SOUTHWEST FROM LAST WARNINGS POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z, 061500Z, 062100Z AND 070300Z.// ** WTPN31 PGTW 060300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WARNING NR 009 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z --- NEAR 5.1N 137.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 5.1N 137.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z --- 4.7N 136.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z --- 4.6N 135.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z --- 5.2N 132.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z --- 5.6N 130.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z --- 7.3N 127.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 060300Z POSITION NEAR 5.0N 137.2E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 01W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 210 NM SOUTHEAST OF PALAU, HAS BEEN RELOCATED SOUTHWEST FROM LAST WARNINGS POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z, 061500Z, 062100Z AND 070300Z.// ** WTPQ31 PGUM 060340 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W ADVISORY NUMBER 9 200 PM GUAM LST MON MAR 6 2006 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W EXPECTED TO REMAIN A DEPRESSION... THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR KOROR...KAYANGEL AND SONSOROL IS CANCELLED AS OF 2 PM GUAM LST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY INTO A TROPICAL STORM. AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 5.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 137.2 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTHEAST OF KOROR 275 MILES SOUTHEAST OF KAYANGEL 230 MILES SOUTH OF NGULU 315 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF YAP 345 MILES EAST OF SONSOROL TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W IS DRIFTING SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 4 MPH. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W SHOULD TURN WEST WITH A SLOW INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. THIS TRACK WOULD TAKE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WELL SOUTH OF KOROR TUESDAY AFTERNOON...AND NEAR SONSOROL TUESDAY EVENING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS...BUT IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...5.0 DEGREES NORTH AND 137.2 DEGREES EAST...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 4 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 PM GUAM LST. $$ MIDDLEBROOKE ** WTPQ20 RJTD 060300 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 060300UTC 04.2N 136.1E POOR MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 1006HPA MXWD 030KT FORECAST 24HF 070300UTC 04.3N 133.5E 150NM 70% MOVE W 06KT PRES 1002HPA MXWD 035KT = ** WTPQ81 PGUM 060415 *** HLSPQ1 PMZ161-060900- TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 200 PM GUAM LST MON MAR 6 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM 01W NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR KOROR...KAYANGEL AND SONSOROL IS CANCELLED AS OF 2 PM GUAM LST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY INTO A TROPICAL STORM. ... INFORMATION... AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 5.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 137.2 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTHEAST OF KOROR 275 MILES SOUTHEAST OF KAYANGEL 230 MILES SOUTH OF NGULU 315 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF YAP 345 MILES EAST OF SONSOROL MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W IS DRIFTING SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 4 MPH. ...KOROR AND KAYANGEL... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED AT KOROR OR KAYANGEL. SINCE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W HAS BEHAVED VERY ERRATICALLY SO FAR... CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST ADVISORIES AND STATEMENTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. IF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W UNEXPECTEDLY INTENSIFIES INTO A TROPICAL STORM...A WATCH OR WARNING MAY AGAIN BE NECESSARY. ...WIND INFORMATION... NORTHEAST WINDS SHOULD INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH THIS EVENING...AND BECOME EAST BY LATE TUESDAY. ... SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... EXPECT HAZARDOUS SURF AT 10 TO 12 FEET ALONG NORTH...NORTHEAST AND EAST FACING EXPOSURES THROUGH TONIGHT. SURF WILL REMAIN ABOVE HAZARDOUS LEVELS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ...OTHER EFFECTS... RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IS POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W PASSES SOUTH OF KOROR. LOCAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. ...SONSOROL... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED AT SONSOROL. SINCE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W HAS BEHAVED VERY ERRATICALLY SO FAR... CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST ADVISORIES AND STATEMENTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. IF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W UNEXPECTEDLY INTENSIFIES INTO A TROPICAL STORM...A WATCH OR WARNING MAY AGAIN BE NECESSARY. ...WIND INFORMATION... NORTHEAST WINDS SHOULD INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH THIS EVENING...AND BECOME EAST BY LATE TUESDAY. ... SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... SURF ALONG NORTH...NORTHEAST AND EAST FACING EXPOSURES WILL BE 6 TO 8 FEET TONIGHT...INCREASING TO HAZARDOUS 9 TO 11 FEET TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. ...OTHER EFFECTS... RAINFALL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES IS POSSIBLE AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W PASSES NEAR SONSOROL ON TUESDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS...THIS IS THE LAST LOCAL STATEMENT THAT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THE EXPECTED EFFECTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W...REFER TO THE LATEST SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR MICRONESIA...WWPQ80 PGUM. $$ MIDDLEBROOKE