** WTIO30 FMEE 040605 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 8/11/20052006 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 2.A POSITION 2006/03/04 AT 0600 UTC : 18.3S / 55.5E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 993 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 600 SE: 600 SO: 060 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/04 18 UTC: 19.0S/54.6E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 24H: 2006/03/05 06 UTC: 19.8S/53.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2006/03/05 18 UTC: 20.4S/53.0E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 48H: 2006/03/06 06 UTC: 21.0S/52.0E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 60H: 2006/03/06 18 UTC: 21.8S/50.9E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 72H: 2006/03/07 06 UTC: 22.5S/49.6E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE CENTER IS COMPLETELY EXPOSED NORTH-WEST OF THE CONVECTION, UNDER A NORTHWESTERLY SHEAR CONSTRAINT. THE SYSTEM REMAINS OF WEAK INTENSITY, BUT WITH STRONG WINDS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT UNDER CONVECTION AND WITH THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE TRACK IS NOW WEST SOUTH-WESTWARDS, AND MAY BE PARTIALLY INFLUENCE BY A SLIGHT FUJIWARA EFFECT (BINARY INTERACTION) WITH AN OTHER WEAK LOW LOCATED SOUTH OF AGALEGA ISLAND (TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NR 12).= ** WTIO22 FMEE 040605 *** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/03/2006 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 009/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 04/03/2006 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 993 HPA POSITION: 18.3S / 55.5E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 8 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 400 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE CENTRE, LOCALLYUP TO 80 NM OF THE SYSTEM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE AND UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/03/04 AT 18 UTC: 19.0S / 54.6E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. 24H, VALID 2006/03/05 AT 06 UTC: 19.8S / 53.8E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE CENTER IS COMPLETELY EXPOSED NORTH-WEST OF THE CONVECTION, UNDER A NORTHWESTERLY SHEAR CONSTRAINT. THE SYSTEM REMAINS OF WEAK INTENSITY, BUT WITH STRONG WINDS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT UNDER CONVECTION AND WITH THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE TRACK IS NOW WEST SOUTH-WESTWARDS.= ** WTIO22 FMEE 040605 *** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/03/2006 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 009/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 04/03/2006 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 993 HPA POSITION: 18.3S / 55.5E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 8 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 400 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE CENTRE, LOCALLYUP TO 80 NM OF THE SYSTEM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE AND UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/03/04 AT 18 UTC: 19.0S / 54.6E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. 24H, VALID 2006/03/05 AT 06 UTC: 19.8S / 53.8E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE CENTER IS COMPLETELY EXPOSED NORTH-WEST OF THE CONVECTION, UNDER A NORTHWESTERLY SHEAR CONSTRAINT. THE SYSTEM REMAINS OF WEAK INTENSITY, BUT WITH STRONG WINDS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT UNDER CONVECTION AND WITH THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE TRACK IS NOW WEST SOUTH-WESTWARDS. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 040605 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 8/11/20052006 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 2.A POSITION 2006/03/04 AT 0600 UTC : 18.3S / 55.5E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 993 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 600 SE: 600 SO: 060 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/04 18 UTC: 19.0S/54.6E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 24H: 2006/03/05 06 UTC: 19.8S/53.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 36H: 2006/03/05 18 UTC: 20.4S/53.0E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 48H: 2006/03/06 06 UTC: 21.0S/52.0E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 60H: 2006/03/06 18 UTC: 21.8S/50.9E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 72H: 2006/03/07 06 UTC: 22.5S/49.6E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE CENTER IS COMPLETELY EXPOSED NORTH-WEST OF THE CONVECTION, UNDER A NORTHWESTERLY SHEAR CONSTRAINT. THE SYSTEM REMAINS OF WEAK INTENSITY, BUT WITH STRONG WINDS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT UNDER CONVECTION AND WITH THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE TRACK IS NOW WEST SOUTH-WESTWARDS, AND MAY BE PARTIALLY INFLUENCE BY A SLIGHT FUJIWARA EFFECT (BINARY INTERACTION) WITH AN OTHER WEAK LOW LOCATED SOUTH OF AGALEGA ISLAND (TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NR 12). . ** WTIO21 FMEE 040605 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 04/03/2006 A 0600 UTC. NUMERO: 009/11 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE COUP DE VENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: SAMEDI 04/03/2006 A 0600 UTC. PHENOMENE: TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE 11 (DIWA) 993 HPA POSITION: 18.3S / 55.5E (DIX-HUIT DEGRES TROIS SUD ET CINQUANTE-CINQ DEGRES CINQ EST) A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-OUEST 8 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 90 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 400 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 25/30 KT PRES DU CENTRE, MAIS ATTEIGNANT LOCALEMENT LE COUP DE VENT 35/40 KT DANS LA QUADRANT EST ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE JUSQU'A 260 MN DU CENTRE. ET LOCALEMENT LE GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 500 MN DANS LE QUADRANT EST A SUD-EST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 04/03/2006 A 18 UTC: 19.0S / 54.6E, VENT MAX = 40 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. A 24H POUR LE 05/03/2006 A 06 UTC: 19.8S / 53.8E, VENT MAX = 40 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE CENTRE EST EXPOSE AU NORD-OUEST DE LA CONVECTION, AVEC UNE CONTRAINTE CISAILLEE DE NORD-OUEST. LE SYSTEME RESTE DE FAIBLE INTENSITE, AVEC NEANMOINS DES VENTS FORTS DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-EST SOUS LA CONVECTION ET DANS LE GRADIENT AVEC LA DORSALE PRESENTE AU SUD-EST DU SYSTEME. LA TRAJECTOIRE S'EST REDRESSEE OUEST-SUD-OUEST. . ** WTIN20 DEMS 040635 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 04-03-2006 AAA TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN(THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC(.) CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER PARTS SOUTH EAST ARABIAN SEA AND MALDIVES AND ADJOINING COMMORIN AREA (.) SOUTH WESTERLY PREVAIL OVER THE INDIAN REGION(.) ** WTIO22 FMEE 040636 *** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/03/2006 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 001/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 04/03/2006 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 12 1000 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.7S / 55.4E (TWELVE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: UNDETERMINED THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. CLOCKWISE CIRCLATION 25 KT REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WIND 30 KT AND MORERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/03/04 AT 18 UTC: 13.6S / 57.2E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, DEPR. TROPICALE. 24H, VALID 2006/03/05 AT 06 UTC: 15.0S / 58.9E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, DEPR. TROPICALE. OTHER INFORMATIONS:= ** WTIO30 FMEE 040636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/12/20052006 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 12 2.A POSITION 2006/03/04 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.7S / 55.4E (TWELVE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/04 18 UTC: 13.6S/57.2E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2006/03/05 06 UTC: 15.0S/58.9E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 36H: 2006/03/05 18 UTC: 16.7S/60.4E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 48H: 2006/03/06 06 UTC: 18.4S/61.5E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 60H: 2006/03/06 18 UTC: 20.9S/62.0E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 72H: 2006/03/07 06 UTC: 23.7S/61.4E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:= ** WTIO21 FMEE 040636 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 04/03/2006 A 0600 UTC. NUMERO: 001/12 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVERTISSEMENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: SAMEDI 04/03/2006 A 0600 UTC. PHENOMENE: PERTURBATION TROPICALE 12 1000 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 12.7S / 55.4E (DOUZE DEGRES SEPT SUD ET CINQUANTE-CINQ DEGRES QUATRE EST) A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT: INDETERMINE ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 120 MN . CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 25 KT, ATTEIGNANT LOCALEMENT LE GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER AGITEE A FORTE. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 04/03/2006 A 18 UTC: 13.6S / 57.2E, VENT MAX = 30 KT, DEPR. TROPICALE. A 24H POUR LE 05/03/2006 A 06 UTC: 15.0S / 58.9E, VENT MAX = 30 KT, DEPR. TROPICALE. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: . ** WTIO22 FMEE 040636 *** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/03/2006 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 001/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 04/03/2006 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 12 1000 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.7S / 55.4E (TWELVE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: UNDETERMINED THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. CLOCKWISE CIRCLATION 25 KT REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WIND 30 KT AND MORERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/03/04 AT 18 UTC: 13.6S / 57.2E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, DEPR. TROPICALE. 24H, VALID 2006/03/05 AT 06 UTC: 15.0S / 58.9E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, DEPR. TROPICALE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: . ** WTIO30 FMEE 040636 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/12/20052006 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 12 2.A POSITION 2006/03/04 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.7S / 55.4E (TWELVE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/04 18 UTC: 13.6S/57.2E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2006/03/05 06 UTC: 15.0S/58.9E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 36H: 2006/03/05 18 UTC: 16.7S/60.4E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 48H: 2006/03/06 06 UTC: 18.4S/61.5E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 60H: 2006/03/06 18 UTC: 20.9S/62.0E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 72H: 2006/03/07 06 UTC: 23.7S/61.4E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: . ** WTIO22 FMEE 040702 CCA *** *************** CORRECTIVE ************** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/03/2006 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 009/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 04/03/2006 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 993 HPA POSITION: 18.3S / 55.5E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 8 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 400 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 25/30 KT NEAR THE CENTER, BUT REACHING LOCALLY GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT WITHIN 260 NM OF THE CENTRE, AND RACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT WITHIN 2500 NM OF THE CENTER. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/03/04 AT 18 UTC: 19.0S / 54.6E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. 24H, VALID 2006/03/05 AT 06 UTC: 19.8S / 53.8E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE CENTER IS COMPLETELY EXPOSED NORTH-WEST OF THE CONVECTION, UNDER A NORTHWESTERLY SHEAR CONSTRAINT. THE SYSTEM REMAINS OF WEAK INTENSITY, BUT WITH STRONG WINDS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT UNDER CONVECTION AND WITH THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE TRACK IS NOW WEST SOUTH-WESTWARDS.= ** WTIO21 FMEE 040702 CCA *** *************** CORRECTIF *************** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 04/03/2006 A 0600 UTC. NUMERO: 009/11 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE COUP DE VENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: SAMEDI 04/03/2006 A 0600 UTC. PHENOMENE: TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE 11 (DIWA) 993 HPA POSITION: 18.3S / 55.5E (DIX-HUIT DEGRES TROIS SUD ET CINQUANTE-CINQ DEGRES CINQ EST) A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-OUEST 8 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 90 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 400 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 25/30 KT PRES DU CENTRE, MAIS ATTEIGNANT LOCALEMENT LE COUP DE VENT 35/40 KT DANS LA QUADRANT EST ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE JUSQU'A 260 MN DU CENTRE. ET LOCALEMENT LE GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 500 MN DANS LE QUADRANT EST A SUD-EST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 04/03/2006 A 18 UTC: 19.0S / 54.6E, VENT MAX = 40 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. A 24H POUR LE 05/03/2006 A 06 UTC: 19.8S / 53.8E, VENT MAX = 40 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE CENTRE EST EXPOSE AU NORD-OUEST DE LA CONVECTION, AVEC UNE CONTRAINTE CISAILLEE DE NORD-OUEST. LE SYSTEME RESTE DE FAIBLE INTENSITE, AVEC NEANMOINS DES VENTS FORTS DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-EST SOUS LA CONVECTION ET DANS LE GRADIENT AVEC LA DORSALE PRESENTE AU SUD-EST DU SYSTEME. LA TRAJECTOIRE S'EST REDRESSEE OUEST-SUD-OUEST. . ** WTIO22 FMEE 040702 CCA *** *************** CORRECTIVE ************** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/03/2006 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 009/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 04/03/2006 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 993 HPA POSITION: 18.3S / 55.5E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 8 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 400 NM IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 25/30 KT NEAR THE CENTER, BUT REACHING LOCALLY GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT WITHIN 260 NM OF THE CENTRE, AND RACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT WITHIN 2500 NM OF THE CENTER. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/03/04 AT 18 UTC: 19.0S / 54.6E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. 24H, VALID 2006/03/05 AT 06 UTC: 19.8S / 53.8E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE CENTER IS COMPLETELY EXPOSED NORTH-WEST OF THE CONVECTION, UNDER A NORTHWESTERLY SHEAR CONSTRAINT. THE SYSTEM REMAINS OF WEAK INTENSITY, BUT WITH STRONG WINDS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT UNDER CONVECTION AND WITH THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE TRACK IS NOW WEST SOUTH-WESTWARDS. . ** WTPN31 PGTW 040900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ//TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL STORM 01W WARNING NR 002 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z --- NEAR 5.0N 138.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 5.0N 138.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z --- 5.1N 137.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z --- 5.4N 137.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z --- 5.7N 136.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z --- 6.0N 134.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z --- 6.7N 130.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z --- 8.9N 127.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 11.7N 123.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT --- REMARKS: 040900Z POSITION NEAR 5.0N 138.2E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 01W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PALAU, HAS SLOWLY TRACKED WESTWARD AT 01 KNOT OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z, 042100Z, 050300Z AND 050900Z.// ** WTXS31 PGTW 040900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (DIWA) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z --- NEAR 18.2S 55.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.2S 55.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z --- 19.9S 54.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z --- 21.2S 52.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z --- 22.2S 51.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z --- 22.8S 50.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 040900Z POSITION NEAR 18.6S 55.2E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (DIWA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM NORTH OF LA REUNION HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE UPPER LEVEL CONVECTION HAS BEGUN TO DECOUPLE FROM THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TC 16S IS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF 700 MB RIDGING TO THE SOUTHEAST. OUTFLOW CONTINUES TO BE HINDERED BY A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ON THE EQUATORWARD SIDE AND WEAK POLEWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042100Z AND 050900Z.// ** WTPQ31 PGUM 040938 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 01W ADVISORY NUMBER 2 800 PM GUAM LST SAT MAR 4 2006 ...01W HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. AT 7 PM GUAM LST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 5.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 138.2 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 305 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KOROR IN PALAU 320 MILES SOUTHEAST OF KAYANGEL IN PALAU 230 MILES SOUTH OF NGULU IN YAP STATE 310 MILES SOUTH OF YAP...AND 410 MILES EAST OF SONSOROL IN PALAU TROPICAL STORM 01W IS VERY SLOWLY DRIFTING WEST AT 1 MPH. A SLIGHT INCREASE OF FORWARDING SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 MPH. REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...5.0 DEGREES NORTH AND 138.2 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 1 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM GUAM LST SUNDAY. $$ AHN ** WTIO22 FMEE 041119 *** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/03/2006 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 002/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 04/03/2006 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 12 1000 HPA POSITION: 15.7S / 57.6E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 20 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS FROM 40 NM TO 450 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER IN THE NORTHWESTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCLATION 25 KT REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WIND 30 KT AND MORERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/03/05 AT 00 UTC: 16.8S / 57.6E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, DISSIPATING. 24H, VALID 2006/03/05 AT 12 UTC: . OTHER INFORMATIONS: CENTER RELOCATED MORE SOUTHWARDS DUE TO VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE SYSTEM SEEMS TO BE ANNIHILATED BY THE PRESENCE OF THE MODERATE TROPICAL STORM DIWA IN THE SOUTH. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GO ON WEAKENING. LAST WARNING ABOUT THIS SYSTEM UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 041119 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 2/12/20052006 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 12 2.A POSITION 2006/03/04 AT 1200 UTC : 15.7S / 57.6E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /W 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/05 00 UTC: 16.8S/57.6E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: CENTER RELOCATED MORE SOUTHWARDS DUE TO VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE SYSTEM SEEMS TO BE ANNIHILATED BY THE PRESENCE OF THE MODERATE TROPICAL STORM DIWA IN THE SOUTH. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GO ON WEAKENING. LAST WARNING ABOUT THIS SYSTEM UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION.= ** WTIO22 FMEE 041119 *** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/03/2006 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 002/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 04/03/2006 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 12 1000 HPA POSITION: 15.7S / 57.6E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 20 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS FROM 40 NM TO 450 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER IN THE NORTHWESTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCLATION 25 KT REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WIND 30 KT AND MORERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/03/05 AT 00 UTC: 16.8S / 57.6E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, DISSIPATING. 24H, VALID 2006/03/05 AT 12 UTC: .. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CENTER RELOCATED MORE SOUTHWARDS DUE TO VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE SYSTEM SEEMS TO BE ANNIHILATED BY THE PRESENCE OF THE MODERATE TROPICAL STORM DIWA IN THE SOUTH. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GO ON WEAKENING. LAST WARNING ABOUT THIS SYSTEM UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 041119 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 2/12/20052006 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 12 2.A POSITION 2006/03/04 AT 1200 UTC : 15.7S / 57.6E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /W 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/05 00 UTC: 16.8S/57.6E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: CENTER RELOCATED MORE SOUTHWARDS DUE TO VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE SYSTEM SEEMS TO BE ANNIHILATED BY THE PRESENCE OF THE MODERATE TROPICAL STORM DIWA IN THE SOUTH. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GO ON WEAKENING. LAST WARNING ABOUT THIS SYSTEM UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION. . ** WTIO21 FMEE 041119 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 04/03/2006 A 1200 UTC. NUMERO: 002/12 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVERTISSEMENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: SAMEDI 04/03/2006 A 1200 UTC. PHENOMENE: PERTURBATION TROPICALE 12 1000 HPA POSITION: 15.7S / 57.6E (QUINZE DEGRES SEPT SUD ET CINQUANTE-SEPT DEGRES SIX EST) A 1200 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-SUD-EST 20 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS ENTRE 40 MN ET 450 MN DU CENTRE DANS LE SECTEUR NORD-OUEST .. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 25 KT, ATTEIGNANT LOCALEMENT LE GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER AGITEE A FORTE. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 05/03/2006 A 00 UTC: 16.8S / 57.6E, VENT MAX = 20 KT, SE DISSIPANT. A 24H POUR LE 05/03/2006 A 12 UTC: .. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: CENTRE RELOCASLISE PLUS AU SUD SUITE AU CISAILLEMENT. LE SYSTEME SEMBLE ANNIHILE PAR LA PRESENCE DE LA TEMPETE TROPICALE DIWA AU SUD. LE SYSTEME EST PREVU POURSUIVRE SON AFFAIBLISSEMENT. DERNIER BULLETIN SUR CE SYSTEME SAUF REINTENSIFICATION. .