** WTIO22 FMEE 040022 *** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/03/2006 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 008/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 04/03/2006 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 993 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.7S / 56.7E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SIX DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 350 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE CENTRE, LOCALLYUP TO 80 NM OF THE SYSTEM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE AND UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/03/04 AT 12 UTC: 18.9S / 55.9E, MAX WIND = 45 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. 24H, VALID 2006/03/05 AT 00 UTC: 20.0S / 54.8E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM SEEMS TO CHANGE OF STRUCTURE; ASSOCIATED CLOUD LINES SEEM TO CONSOLIDATE AND COME CLOSE TO THE CENTRE. STRONG WINDS STILL CAN EXTEND FAR FROM THE ESTIMATED CENTRE DUE TO THIS CHANGE OF STRUCTURE. DIWA IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON INTENSIFYING GRADUALLY, FOLLOWING A SOUTHWESTWARDS TRACK.= ** WTIO21 FMEE 040022 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 04/03/2006 A 0000 UTC. NUMERO: 008/11 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE COUP DE VENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: SAMEDI 04/03/2006 A 0000 UTC. PHENOMENE: TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE 11 (DIWA) 993 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 17.7S / 56.7E (DIX-SEPT DEGRES SEPT SUD ET CINQUANTE-SIX DEGRES SEPT EST) A 0000 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-SUD-OUEST 7 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 60 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 350 MN DANS LE SECTEUR EST. COUP DE VENT 35/40 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE JUSQU'A 30 MN DU CENTRE, LOCALEMENT JUSQU'A 80 MN DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE EST. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 50 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE ET JUSQU'A 120 MN DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE EST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 04/03/2006 A 12 UTC: 18.9S / 55.9E, VENT MAX = 45 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. A 24H POUR LE 05/03/2006 A 00 UTC: 20.0S / 54.8E, VENT MAX = 50 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE SYSTEME SEMBLE CHANGER DE STRUCTURE SUR LES DERNIERES IMAGES : LES BANDES NUAGEUSES ASSOCIEES SE SONT COMPACTEES ET SE SONT RAPPROCHEES DU CENTRE. L'EXTENSION DES VENTS FORTS PEUT ENCORE ETRE IMPORTANTE EN LIAISON AVEC CE CHANGEMENT DE STRUCTURE. DIWA EST PREVU POURSUIVRE SON INTENSIFICATION EN SUIVANT UNE TRAJECTOIRE VERS LE SUD-OUEST. . ** WTIO22 FMEE 040022 *** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/03/2006 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 008/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 04/03/2006 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 993 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.7S / 56.7E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SIX DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 350 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE CENTRE, LOCALLYUP TO 80 NM OF THE SYSTEM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE AND UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/03/04 AT 12 UTC: 18.9S / 55.9E, MAX WIND = 45 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. 24H, VALID 2006/03/05 AT 00 UTC: 20.0S / 54.8E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM SEEMS TO CHANGE OF STRUCTURE; ASSOCIATED CLOUD LINES SEEM TO CONSOLIDATE AND COME CLOSE TO THE CENTRE. STRONG WINDS STILL CAN EXTEND FAR FROM THE ESTIMATED CENTRE DUE TO THIS CHANGE OF STRUCTURE. DIWA IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON INTENSIFYING GRADUALLY, FOLLOWING A SOUTHWESTWARDS TRACK. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 040049 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 7/11/20052006 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 2.A POSITION 2006/03/04 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.7S / 56.7E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SIX DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 993 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 250 SE: 250 SO: 150 NO: 150 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 1100 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/04 12 UTC: 18.9S/55.9E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 24H: 2006/03/05 00 UTC: 20.0S/54.8E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 36H: 2006/03/05 12 UTC: 21.0S/53.6E, MAX WIND=055KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2006/03/06 00 UTC: 22.1S/52.4E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2006/03/06 12 UTC: 23.5S/51.2E, MAX WIND=070KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 72H: 2006/03/07 00 UTC: 25.0S/50.3E, MAX WIND=080KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=3.0- THE SYSTEM SEEMS TO CHANGE OF STRUCTURE; OVER THE LAST HOURS, CONVECTION HAS CONSOLIDATED CLOSE TO THE ESTIMATED CENTRE. THE SYSTEM SEEMS TO UNDERGO WESTERLY WINDSHEAR. RADAR IMAGERY AT LA REUNION DOES NOT SHOW CLEAR CENTRE FEATURE YET. DIWA IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON INTENSIFY GRADUALLY. THE SYSTEM SHOULD GLOBALLY TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS, ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES CENTRED IN THE SOUTHEAST. A SECOND MINIMUM EXISTS NORTHEAST OF MADAGASCAR, LOCATED NEAR 12.0S/55.0E= ** WTIO30 FMEE 040049 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 7/11/20052006 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 2.A POSITION 2006/03/04 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.7S / 56.7E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SIX DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 993 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 250 SE: 250 SO: 150 NO: 150 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 1100 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/04 12 UTC: 18.9S/55.9E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 24H: 2006/03/05 00 UTC: 20.0S/54.8E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 36H: 2006/03/05 12 UTC: 21.0S/53.6E, MAX WIND=055KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2006/03/06 00 UTC: 22.1S/52.4E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2006/03/06 12 UTC: 23.5S/51.2E, MAX WIND=070KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 72H: 2006/03/07 00 UTC: 25.0S/50.3E, MAX WIND=080KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=3.0- THE SYSTEM SEEMS TO CHANGE OF STRUCTURE; OVER THE LAST HOURS, CONVECTION HAS CONSOLIDATED CLOSE TO THE ESTIMATED CENTRE. THE SYSTEM SEEMS TO UNDERGO WESTERLY WINDSHEAR. RADAR IMAGERY AT LA REUNION DOES NOT SHOW CLEAR CENTRE FEATURE YET. DIWA IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON INTENSIFY GRADUALLY. THE SYSTEM SHOULD GLOBALLY TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS, ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES CENTRED IN THE SOUTHEAST. A SECOND MINIMUM EXISTS NORTHEAST OF MADAGASCAR, LOCATED NEAR 12.0S/55.0E . ** WTIO30 FMEE 040051 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 7/11/20052006 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 2.A POSITION 2006/03/04 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.7S / 56.7E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SIX DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 993 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 250 SE: 250 SO: 150 NO: 100 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 1100 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/04 12 UTC: 18.9S/55.9E, MAX WIND=045KT , MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H: 2006/03/05 00 UTC: 20.0S/54.8E, MAX WIND=050KT , SEVERE TROP. STORM. 36H: 2006/03/05 12 UTC: 21.0S/53.6E, MAX WIND=055KT , SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2006/03/06 00 UTC: 22.1S/52.4E, MAX WIND=060KT , SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2006/03/06 12 UTC: 23.5S/51.2E, MAX WIND=070KT , TROPICAL CYCLONE. 72H: 2006/03/07 00 UTC: 25.0S/50.3E, MAX WIND=080KT , TROPICAL CYCLONE. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=3.0- THE SYSTEM SEEMS TO CHANGE OF STRUCTURE; OVER THE LAST HOURS, CONVECTION HAS CONSOLIDATED CLOSE TO THE ESTIMATED CENTRE. THE SYSTEM SEEMS TO UNDERGO WESTERLY WINDSHEAR. RADAR IMAGERY AT LA REUNION DOES NOT SHOW CLEAR CENTRE FEATURE YET. DIWA IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON INTENSIFY GRADUALLY. THE SYSTEM SHOULD GLOBALLY TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS, ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES CENTRED IN THE SOUTHEAST. A SECOND MINIMUM EXISTS NORTHEAST OF MADAGASCAR, LOCATED NEAR 12.0S/55.0E= ** WTIO30 FMEE 040051 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 7/11/20052006 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 11 (DIWA) 2.A POSITION 2006/03/04 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.7S / 56.7E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SIX DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 993 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 250 SE: 250 SO: 150 NO: 100 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 1100 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/03/04 12 UTC: 18.9S/55.9E, MAX WIND=045KT , MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H: 2006/03/05 00 UTC: 20.0S/54.8E, MAX WIND=050KT , SEVERE TROP. STORM. 36H: 2006/03/05 12 UTC: 21.0S/53.6E, MAX WIND=055KT , SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2006/03/06 00 UTC: 22.1S/52.4E, MAX WIND=060KT , SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2006/03/06 12 UTC: 23.5S/51.2E, MAX WIND=070KT , TROPICAL CYCLONE. 72H: 2006/03/07 00 UTC: 25.0S/50.3E, MAX WIND=080KT , TROPICAL CYCLONE. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=3.0- THE SYSTEM SEEMS TO CHANGE OF STRUCTURE; OVER THE LAST HOURS, CONVECTION HAS CONSOLIDATED CLOSE TO THE ESTIMATED CENTRE. THE SYSTEM SEEMS TO UNDERGO WESTERLY WINDSHEAR. RADAR IMAGERY AT LA REUNION DOES NOT SHOW CLEAR CENTRE FEATURE YET. DIWA IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON INTENSIFY GRADUALLY. THE SYSTEM SHOULD GLOBALLY TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS, ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES CENTRED IN THE SOUTHEAST. A SECOND MINIMUM EXISTS NORTHEAST OF MADAGASCAR, LOCATED NEAR 12.0S/55.0E . ** WTXS31 PGTW 040300 *** 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z --- NEAR 16.8S 56.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.8S 56.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 18.3S 55.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z --- 19.9S 54.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 21.2S 52.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z --- 22.0S 51.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 040300Z POSITION NEAR 17.2S 56.5E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (DIWA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 275 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF LA REUNION HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 16S IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF 700 MB RIDGING TO THE SOUTHEAST AND WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK TO THE SOUTHWEST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. INTENSIFICATION WILL BE GRADUAL AS OUTFLOW IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY HINDERED BY A SECOND LOW TO THE IMMEDIATE NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 032051Z MAR 06 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 032100 ) MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z AND 050300Z.// ** WTXS31 PGTW 032100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT/032051ZMAR2006// RMKS/ REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/032051Z MAR 06// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// ** WTPN31 PGTW 040300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ//TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING/040151ZMAR2006// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/032121Z MAR 06// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z --- NEAR 5.3N 138.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 5.3N 138.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 5.6N 137.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z --- 5.9N 137.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 6.2N 136.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z --- 6.3N 135.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z --- 6.5N 132.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 040300Z POSITION NEAR 5.4N 138.1E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 01W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 240 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PALAU, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 032121Z MAR 06 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORM- ATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 032030). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z, 041500Z, 042100Z AND 050300Z.// ** WTXS31 PGTW 040300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION WARNING/0420152ZMAR2006// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/032051Z MAR 06// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS// 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z --- NEAR 16.8S 56.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.8S 56.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 18.3S 55.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z --- 19.9S 54.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 21.2S 52.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z --- 22.0S 51.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 040300Z POSITION NEAR 17.2S 56.5E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (DIWA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 275 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF LA REUNION HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 16S IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF 700 MB RIDGING TO THE SOUTHEAST AND WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK TO THE SOUTHWEST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. INTENSIFICATION WILL BE GRADUAL AS OUTFLOW IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY HINDERED BY A SECOND LOW TO THE IMMEDIATE NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 032051Z MAR 06 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 032100 ) MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z AND 050300Z.// ** WTPQ31 PGUM 040347 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W ADVISORY NUMBER 1 200 PM GUAM LST MON NOV 7 2005 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W FORMS EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PALAU... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 5.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 138.0 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 285 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KOROR IN PALAU 300 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KAYANGEL IN PALAU 205 MILES SOUTH OF NGULU IN YAP STATE 283 MILES SOUTH OF YAP...AND 405 MILES EAST OF SONSOROL IN PALAU TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W IS DRIFTING NORTHWEST AT 3 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST. THIS FORECAST TRACK SHOULD TAKE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W SOUTH OF PALAU. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AND MAY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...5.5 DEGREES NORTH AND 138.0 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 3 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 PM GUAM LST SATURDAY NIGHT. $$ ZIOBRO ** WTPQ31 PGUM 040545 CCA *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W ADVISORY NUMBER 1...CORRECTION 200 PM GUAM LST SAT MAR 4 2006 CORRECTION TO DAY AND DATE ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W FORMS EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PALAU... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 5.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 138.0 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 285 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KOROR IN PALAU 300 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KAYANGEL IN PALAU 205 MILES SOUTH OF NGULU IN YAP STATE 283 MILES SOUTH OF YAP...AND 405 MILES EAST OF SONSOROL IN PALAU TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W IS DRIFTING NORTHWEST AT 3 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST. THIS FORECAST TRACK SHOULD TAKE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W SOUTH OF PALAU. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AND MAY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...5.5 DEGREES NORTH AND 138.0 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 3 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 PM GUAM LST SATURDAY NIGHT. $$ ZIOBRO