** WTSR20 WSSS 230600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTAU01 ABRF 231205 *** IDQ20008 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1204 UTC 23 February 2006 STORM WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Tropical Cyclone Kate with a central pressure of 985 hectopascals located at 231200 UTC near 11.3 south 147.4 east and moving east at 10 knots. Position fair. AREA AFFECTED Within 60 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Clockwise winds 35/45 knots within 60 nautical miles of the centre and increasing to 50 knots with 20nm of centre. Maximum winds increasing to 55 to 60 knots near the centre over the next 24 hours. Seas rising very rough to high. Forecast position at 240000 UTC 11.3 south and 149.0 east with central pressure 980 hPa and maximum winds to 55 knots. Forecast position at 241200 UTC 11.2 south and 149.5 east with central pressure 975 hPa and maximum winds to 60 knots. REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732398776 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 231205 *** IDQ20008 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1204 UTC 23 February 2006 STORM WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Tropical Cyclone Kate with a central pressure of 985 hectopascals located at 231200 UTC near 11.3 south 147.4 east and moving east at 10 knots. Position fair. AREA AFFECTED Within 60 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Clockwise winds 35/45 knots within 60 nautical miles of the centre and increasing to 50 knots with 20nm of centre. Maximum winds increasing to 55 to 60 knots near the centre over the next 24 hours. Seas rising very rough to high. Forecast position at 240000 UTC 11.3 south and 149.0 east with central pressure 980 hPa and maximum winds to 55 knots. Forecast position at 241200 UTC 11.2 south and 149.5 east with central pressure 975 hPa and maximum winds to 60 knots. REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732398776 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 231205 *** IDQ20008 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1204 UTC 23 FEBRUARY 2006 STORM WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION TROPICAL CYCLONE KATE WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 985 HECTOPASCALS LOCATED AT 231200 UTC NEAR 11.3 SOUTH 147.4 EAST AND MOVING EAST AT 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE CENTRE. FORECAST CLOCKWISE WINDS 35/45 KNOTS WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE CENTRE AND INCREASING TO 50 KNOTS WITH 20NM OF CENTRE. MAXIMUM WINDS INCREASING TO 55 TO 60 KNOTS NEAR THE CENTRE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SEAS RISING VERY ROUGH TO HIGH. FORECAST POSITION AT 240000 UTC 11.3 SOUTH AND 149.0 EAST WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HPA AND MAXIMUM WINDS TO 55 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AT 241200 UTC 11.2 SOUTH AND 149.5 EAST WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 HPA AND MAXIMUM WINDS TO 60 KNOTS. REMARKS ALL SHIPS IN THE AREA PLEASE SEND WEATHER REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS. REGULAR WEATHER OBSERVING SHIPS USE NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER SHIPS PLEASE USE EITHER EMAIL TO MARWXQLD@BOM.GOV.AU OR FAX TO +61732398776 OR SATELLITE TO SAC 41 THROUGH LAND EARTH STATION PERTH 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTIO20 FMEE 231216 *** SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 23/02/2006 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 003/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 23/02/2006 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10 998 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.5S / 81.6E (TEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY ONE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY 2 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/02/24 AT 00 UTC: 10.8S / 81.2E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. 24H, VALID 2006/02/24 AT 12 UTC: 11.2S / 81.0E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS SLOWLY INTENSIFYING AND ASSOCIATED CLUSTERS ORGANIZE. THE SYSTEM HAS REMAINED QUASI STATIONARY OVER THE LAST HOURS. THE CENTRE SEEMS TO BE LOCATED IN THE NORTHEASTERN PART OF THE MAIN CONVECTION, DUE TO A SLIGHT NORTHEASTERLY WINDSHEAR IT SHOULD GENERALLY TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS AND GRADUALLY INTENSIFY THANKS TO VERY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT.= ** WTIO20 FMEE 231216 *** SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 23/02/2006 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 003/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 23/02/2006 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10 998 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.5S / 81.6E (TEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY ONE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY 2 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/02/24 AT 00 UTC: 10.8S / 81.2E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. 24H, VALID 2006/02/24 AT 12 UTC: 11.2S / 81.0E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS SLOWLY INTENSIFYING AND ASSOCIATED CLUSTERS ORGANIZE. THE SYSTEM HAS REMAINED QUASI STATIONARY OVER THE LAST HOURS. THE CENTRE SEEMS TO BE LOCATED IN THE NORTHEASTERN PART OF THE MAIN CONVECTION, DUE TO A SLIGHT NORTHEASTERLY WINDSHEAR IT SHOULD GENERALLY TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS AND GRADUALLY INTENSIFY THANKS TO VERY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. . ** WTIO21 FMEE 231216 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 23/02/2006 A 1200 UTC. NUMERO: 003/10 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE GRAND FRAIS DEBUT DE VALIDITE: JEUDI 23/02/2006 A 1200 UTC. PHENOMENE: DEPRESSION TROPICALE 10 998 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 10.5S / 81.6E (DIX DEGRES CINQ SUD ET QUATRE-VINGT-UN DEGRES SIX EST) A 1200 UTC DEPLACEMENT: QUASI-STATIONNAIRE 2 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 60 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 250 MN DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-OUEST. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 40 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 24/02/2006 A 00 UTC: 10.8S / 81.2E, VENT MAX = 40 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. A 24H POUR LE 24/02/2006 A 12 UTC: 11.2S / 81.0E, VENT MAX = 50 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE SYSTEME S'INTENSIFIE LENTEMENT ET LES AMAS NUAGEUX ASSOCIES S'ORGANISENT. DEMEURE QUASI-STATIONNAIRE AU COURS DES DERNIERES HEURES, LE CENTRE SEMBLE SE SITUER DANS LA PARTIE NORD-EST DE LA CONVECTION PRINCIPALE, DU FAIT D'UN LEGER CISAILLEMENT DE NORD-EST. IL DEVRAIT POURSUIVRE UNE TRAJECTOIRE GENERALE VERS LE SUD-OUEST, ET S'INTENSIFIER REGULIEREMENT AVEC LES BONNES CONDITIONS ENVIRONNEMENTALES DONT IL BENEFICIE. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 231223 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 3/10/20052006 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10 2.A POSITION 2006/02/23 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.5S / 81.6E (TEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY ONE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /D 1.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 080 SE: 080 SO: 080 NO: 080 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/02/24 00 UTC: 10.8S/81.2E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 24H: 2006/02/24 12 UTC: 11.2S/81.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 36H: 2006/02/25 00 UTC: 11.7S/80.7E, MAX WIND=055KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2006/02/25 12 UTC: 12.3S/80.4E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2006/02/26 00 UTC: 12.9S/80.1E, MAX WIND=065KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 72H: 2006/02/26 12 UTC: 13.5S/79.7E, MAX WIND=070KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: SYSTEM IS INTENSIFYING; CONVECTION CONSOLIDATES AND KEEP ON ORGANIZING. THE CENTRE HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE LAST HOURS, AND SEEMS TO BE LOCATED IN THE NORTHEASTERN PART OF THE CDO. ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE TO INTENSIFICATION; GOOD LOW LEVEL INFLOWS OF TRADE WINDS AND MONSOON, WEAK NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WINDSHEAR (THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED UNDER UPPER LEVEL RIDGE), AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE (GOOD EQUATOWARDS AND POLEWARDS OUTFLOW CHANNELS). MOST OF THE AVAILABLE NWP ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT TO SLOWLY TRACK THE SYSTEM SOUTHWESTWARDS AND GRADUALLY INTENSIFY IT.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 231223 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 3/10/20052006 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10 2.A POSITION 2006/02/23 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.5S / 81.6E (TEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY ONE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /D 1.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 080 SE: 080 SO: 080 NO: 080 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/02/24 00 UTC: 10.8S/81.2E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 24H: 2006/02/24 12 UTC: 11.2S/81.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 36H: 2006/02/25 00 UTC: 11.7S/80.7E, MAX WIND=055KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2006/02/25 12 UTC: 12.3S/80.4E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 60H: 2006/02/26 00 UTC: 12.9S/80.1E, MAX WIND=065KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 72H: 2006/02/26 12 UTC: 13.5S/79.7E, MAX WIND=070KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: SYSTEM IS INTENSIFYING; CONVECTION CONSOLIDATES AND KEEP ON ORGANIZING. THE CENTRE HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE LAST HOURS, AND SEEMS TO BE LOCATED IN THE NORTHEASTERN PART OF THE CDO. ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE TO INTENSIFICATION; GOOD LOW LEVEL INFLOWS OF TRADE WINDS AND MONSOON, WEAK NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WINDSHEAR (THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED UNDER UPPER LEVEL RIDGE), AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE (GOOD EQUATOWARDS AND POLEWARDS OUTFLOW CHANNELS). MOST OF THE AVAILABLE NWP ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT TO SLOWLY TRACK THE SYSTEM SOUTHWESTWARDS AND GRADUALLY INTENSIFY IT. . ** WTAU01 ABRF 231644 *** IDQ20008 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1644 UTC 23 FEBRUARY 2006 STORM WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION TROPICAL CYCLONE KATE WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS RELOCATED AT 231600 UTC NEAR 11.5 SOUTH 146.4 EAST AND NOW MOVING VERY SLOWLY EAST. POSITION FAIR. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE CENTRE. FORECAST CLOCKWISE WINDS 30/40 KNOTS. MAXIMUM WINDS MAY INCREASE TO 50 KNOTS NEAR THE CENTRE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SEAS RISING VERY ROUGH TO HIGH. FORECAST POSITION AT 240000 UTC 11.5 SOUTH AND 147.0 EAST WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 HPA AND MAXIMUM WINDS TO 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AT 241200 UTC 11.5 SOUTH AND 147.5 EAST WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 HPA AND MAXIMUM WINDS TO 50 KNOTS. REMARKS ALL SHIPS IN THE AREA PLEASE SEND WEATHER REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS. REGULAR WEATHER OBSERVING SHIPS USE NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER SHIPS PLEASE USE EITHER EMAIL TO MARWXQLD@BOM.GOV.AU OR FAX TO +61732398776 OR SATELLITE TO SAC 41 THROUGH LAND EARTH STATION PERTH 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 231644 *** IDQ20008 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1644 UTC 23 February 2006 STORM WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Tropical Cyclone Kate with a central pressure of 990 hectopascals was relocated at 231600 UTC near 11.5 south 146.4 east and now moving very slowly east. Position fair. AREA AFFECTED Within 60 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Clockwise winds 30/40 knots. Maximum winds may increase to 50 knots near the centre over the next 24 hours. Seas rising very rough to high. Forecast position at 240000 UTC 11.5 south and 147.0 east with central pressure 988 hPa and maximum winds to 45 knots. Forecast position at 241200 UTC 11.5 south and 147.5 east with central pressure 985 hPa and maximum winds to 50 knots. REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732398776 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 231644 *** IDQ20008 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 1644 UTC 23 February 2006 STORM WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Tropical Cyclone Kate with a central pressure of 990 hectopascals was relocated at 231600 UTC near 11.5 south 146.4 east and now moving very slowly east. Position fair. AREA AFFECTED Within 60 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Clockwise winds 30/40 knots. Maximum winds may increase to 50 knots near the centre over the next 24 hours. Seas rising very rough to high. Forecast position at 240000 UTC 11.5 south and 147.0 east with central pressure 988 hPa and maximum winds to 45 knots. Forecast position at 241200 UTC 11.5 south and 147.5 east with central pressure 985 hPa and maximum winds to 50 knots. REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732398776 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. WEATHER BRISBANE